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Updated game-by-game predictions for Wisconsin basketball after its crushing loss to Indiana

Wisconsin basketball returns to the hardwood Saturday afternoon against the No. 13 Illinois Fighting Illini.

The Badgers’ struggles since the start of February have been well-documented. The team is 2-6 in that time, including a 0-5 road record and inexplicable losses at last-place Michigan and on Tuesday against struggling Indiana.

After entering the month ranked No. 6 in the AP Poll and bordering on a 1-seed in Joe Lunardi’s bracketology, Wisconsin is now unranked in all polls and threatening to drop to a 5-seed or 6-seed in the NCAA Tournament.

Related: Wisconsin basketball social media reacts to the arena evacuation, Wisconsin’s loss to Indiana

Wisconsin’s Big Ten title hopes are long gone with Purdue taking care of business at the top of the conference. What Greg Gard’s team needs is momentum, and any sign of hope entering postseason play.

Three games remain in the regular season for that to happen. Here is how ESPN BPI predicts those contests:

March 2 vs. Illinois

Feb 13, 2024; Champaign, Illinois, USA; Illinois Fighting Illini guard Terrence Shannon Jr.(0) gets a hand from teammates during the second half against the Michigan Wolverines at State Farm Center. Mandatory Credit: Ron Johnson-USA TODAY Sports
Feb 13, 2024; Champaign, Illinois, USA; Illinois Fighting Illini guard Terrence Shannon Jr.(0) gets a hand from teammates during the second half against the Michigan Wolverines at State Farm Center. Mandatory Credit: Ron Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

Matchup predictor: 51.6% Wisconsin wins (down from 51.8%)

Illinois BPI Rank: No. 11

Illinois 2023-24 record: 20-7 (11-5 Big Ten)

March 7 vs. Rutgers

Feb 10, 2024; Piscataway, New Jersey, USA; Rutgers Scarlet Knights center Clifford Omoruyi (11) dunks the ball against Wisconsin Badgers forward Steven Crowl (22) and forward Tyler Wahl (5) during the second half at Jersey Mike’s Arena. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports
Feb 10, 2024; Piscataway, New Jersey, USA; Rutgers Scarlet Knights center Clifford Omoruyi (11) dunks the ball against Wisconsin Badgers forward Steven Crowl (22) and forward Tyler Wahl (5) during the second half at Jersey Mike’s Arena. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

Matchup predictor: 93.1% Wisconsin wins (up from 87.9%)

Rutgers BPI Rank: No. 93

Rutgers 2023-24 record: 14-13 (6-10 Big Ten)

March 10 at Purdue

Feb 4, 2024; Madison, Wisconsin, USA; Wisconsin Badgers guard Chucky Hepburn (23) dribbles the ball against Purdue Boilermakers guard Braden Smith (3) during the first half at the Kohl Center. Mandatory Credit: Kayla Wolf-USA TODAY Sports
Feb 4, 2024; Madison, Wisconsin, USA; Wisconsin Badgers guard Chucky Hepburn (23) dribbles the ball against Purdue Boilermakers guard Braden Smith (3) during the first half at the Kohl Center. Mandatory Credit: Kayla Wolf-USA TODAY Sports

Matchup predictor: 12.1% Wisconsin wins (down from 12.9%)

Purdue BPI Rank: No. 2

Purdue 2023-24 record: 25-3 (14-3 Big Ten)

Overall

Feb 4, 2024; Madison, Wisconsin, USA; Wisconsin Badgers head coach Greg Gard talks with his players during the second half against the Purdue Boilermakers at the Kohl Center. Mandatory Credit: Kayla Wolf-USA TODAY Sports
Feb 4, 2024; Madison, Wisconsin, USA; Wisconsin Badgers head coach Greg Gard talks with his players during the second half against the Purdue Boilermakers at the Kohl Center. Mandatory Credit: Kayla Wolf-USA TODAY Sports

BPI Rank: 22

Projected W-L: 19.6-11.4 (11.6-8.4 Big Ten)

% Chance Wisconsin wins Big Ten: <0.1

Remaining Strength of Schedule Rank: No. 22

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Story originally appeared on Badgers Wire