UFC Fight Night 186 predictions: Jairzinho Rozenstruik or Ciryl Gane in heavyweight showdown?

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Matt Erickson
·3 min read
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Rozenstruik
vs.
Gane

Ankalaev
vs.
Krylov

De La Rosa
vs.
Silva

Munhoz
vs.
Rivera

Hill
vs.
Yoder

Caceres
vs.
Croom

MMA Junkie readers’
consensus picks
2021: 14-15

gane2021


Gane
(63%)

ankalaev2021


Ankalaev
(81%)

silva2021


Silva
(52%)

munhoz2021


Munhoz
(57%)

hill2021


Hill
(78%)

caceres2021


Caceres
(72%)

Dan Tom
@DanTomMMA
2021: 18-11

trophy copy

2020 Champion

gane2021


Gane

ankalaev2021


Ankalaev

silva2021


Silva

rivera2021


Rivera

hill2021


Hill

caceres2021


Caceres

Danny Segura
@dannyseguratv
2021: 18-11

rozenstruik2021


Rozenstruik

ankalaev2021


Ankalaev

silva2021


Silva

munhoz2021


Munhoz

hill2021


Hill

caceres2021


Caceres

George Garcia
@MMAjunkieGeorge
2021: 17-12

rozenstruik2021


Rozenstruik

ankalaev2021


Ankalaev

delarosa2021


De La Rosa

munhoz2021


Munhoz

yoder2021


Yoder

caceres2021


Caceres

Ken Hathaway
@kenshathaway
2021: 16-13

trophy copy

2018 Champion

gane2021


Gane

ankalaev2021


Ankalaev

silva2021


Silva

rivera2021


Rivera

hill2021


Hill

caceres2021


Caceres

Brian Garcia
@thegoze
2021: 16-13

trophy copy

2017 Champion

rozenstruik2021


Rozenstruik

ankalaev2021


Ankalaev

delarosa2021


De La Rosa

rivera2021


Rivera

hill2021


Hill

caceres2021


Caceres

John Morgan
@MMAjunkieJohn
2021: 16-13

gane2021


Gane

ankalaev2021


Ankalaev

silva2021


Silva

rivera2021


Rivera

hill2021


Hill

caceres2021


Caceres

Abbey Subhan
@kammakaze
2021: 15-14

gane2021


Gane

ankalaev2021


Ankalaev

silva2021


Silva

rivera2021


Rivera

hill2021


Hill

croom2021


Croom

Simon Head
@simonhead
2021: 15-14

trophy copy

2019 Champion*

gane2021


Gane

ankalaev2021


Ankalaev

delarosa2021


De La Rosa

rivera2021


Rivera

hill2021


Hill

croom2021


Croom

Mike Bohn
@MikeBohnMMA
2021: 15-14

trophy copy

2014 Champion

rozenstruik2021


Rozenstruik

ankalaev2021


Ankalaev

silva2021


Silva

rivera2021


Rivera

hill2021


Hill

caceres2021


Caceres

Farah Hannoun
@Farah_Hannoun
2021: 14-15

gane2021


Gane

ankalaev2021


Ankalaev

silva2021


Silva

rivera2021


Rivera

hill2021


Hill

caceres2021


Caceres

Simon Samano
@SJSamano
2021: 14-15

gane2021


Gane

ankalaev2021


Ankalaev

delarosa2021


De La Rosa

munhoz2021


Munhoz

hill2021


Hill

caceres2021


Caceres

Matt Erickson
@MMAjunkieMatt
2021: 13-16

rozenstruik2021


Rozenstruik

ankalaev2021


Ankalaev

delarosa2021


De La Rosa

munhoz2021


Munhoz

hill2021


Hill

caceres2021


Caceres

Nolan King
@mma_kings
2021: 11-18

gane2021


Gane

ankalaev2021


Ankalaev

silva2021


Silva

munhoz2021


Munhoz

hill2021


Hill

caceres2021


Caceres

(This story was updated at 3 p.m. ET on Friday, Feb. 26, 2021, to reflect the addition of Angela Hill vs. Ashley Yoder to the main card.)

The UFC has a big heavyweight fight in the headlining spot for the second straight week.

UFC Fight Night 186 takes place Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. The event streams on ESPN+.

(Click here to open a PDF of the staff picks grid in a separate window.)

In the main event, Jairzinho Rozenstruik (11-1 MMA, 5-1 UFC) takes on the unbeaten Ciryl Gane (7-0 MMA, 4-0 UFC). The winner is expected to stay in the hunt for a title shot. Gane is the third biggest favorite on the card at -250 at BetMGM, but he’s only got an 8-5 picks lead from our 13 editors, writers, videographers and radio hosts.

In the co-feature, Magomed Ankalaev (14-1 MMA, 5-1 UFC) is a prohibitive -350 favorite at light heavyweight against Nikita Krylov (27-7 MMA, 8-5 UFC), and Ankalaev is our lone unanimous pick on the main card.

It’s a close fight from a betting perspective between Montana De La Rosa (11-6 MMA, 4-2 UFC) and Mayra Bueno Silva (7-1 MMA, 2-1 UFC) at women’s flyweight. Silva is a slight favorite at -145, and she’s got an 8-5 lead in the picks.

Pedro Munhoz (18-5 MMA, 8-5 UFC) and Jimmie Rivera (23-4 MMA, 7-3 UFC) meet in a crucial bantamweight rematch. They fought more than five years ago and Rivera won a split decision. Rivera is a -155 favorite this time around and has an 8-5 picks lead.

It’s not unanimous, but 4-1 favorite Angela Hill (12-9 MMA, 7-9 UFC) has a big picks lead over Ashley Yoder (8-6 MMA, 3-6 UFC) in their women’s strawweight fight. Hill is the choice of all but one of our staff members.

And to open the main card, Alex Caceres (17-12 MMA, 12-10 UFC) meets Kevin Croom (21-12 MMA, 0-0 UFC) in a featherweight fight. Caceres is a 2-1 favorite and has a big 11-2 lead in our picks.

In the MMA Junkie reader consensus picks, Gane (63 percent), Ankalaev (81 percent), Silva (52 percent), Munhoz (57 percent) and Caceres (72 percent) are the choices.

Check out all the picks above.

List

UFC Fight Night 186 breakdown: Ciryl Gane should prove too much for Jairzinho Rozenstruik

List

UFC Fight Night 186 commentary team, broadcast plans set

List

UFC Fight Night 186 pre-event facts: Angela Hill sets bar for strawweight fights