UFC Fight Night 186 predictions: Jairzinho Rozenstruik or Ciryl Gane in heavyweight showdown?
Rozenstruik | Ankalaev | De La Rosa | Munhoz | Hill | Caceres | |
MMA Junkie readers’ |
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Dan Tom 2020 Champion |
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Danny Segura |
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George Garcia |
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Ken Hathaway 2018 Champion |
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Brian Garcia 2017 Champion |
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John Morgan |
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Abbey Subhan |
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Simon Head 2019 Champion* |
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Mike Bohn 2014 Champion |
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Farah Hannoun |
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Simon Samano |
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Matt Erickson |
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Nolan King |
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(This story was updated at 3 p.m. ET on Friday, Feb. 26, 2021, to reflect the addition of Angela Hill vs. Ashley Yoder to the main card.)
The UFC has a big heavyweight fight in the headlining spot for the second straight week.
UFC Fight Night 186 takes place Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. The event streams on ESPN+.
(Click here to open a PDF of the staff picks grid in a separate window.)
In the main event, Jairzinho Rozenstruik (11-1 MMA, 5-1 UFC) takes on the unbeaten Ciryl Gane (7-0 MMA, 4-0 UFC). The winner is expected to stay in the hunt for a title shot. Gane is the third biggest favorite on the card at -250 at BetMGM, but he’s only got an 8-5 picks lead from our 13 editors, writers, videographers and radio hosts.
In the co-feature, Magomed Ankalaev (14-1 MMA, 5-1 UFC) is a prohibitive -350 favorite at light heavyweight against Nikita Krylov (27-7 MMA, 8-5 UFC), and Ankalaev is our lone unanimous pick on the main card.
It’s a close fight from a betting perspective between Montana De La Rosa (11-6 MMA, 4-2 UFC) and Mayra Bueno Silva (7-1 MMA, 2-1 UFC) at women’s flyweight. Silva is a slight favorite at -145, and she’s got an 8-5 lead in the picks.
Pedro Munhoz (18-5 MMA, 8-5 UFC) and Jimmie Rivera (23-4 MMA, 7-3 UFC) meet in a crucial bantamweight rematch. They fought more than five years ago and Rivera won a split decision. Rivera is a -155 favorite this time around and has an 8-5 picks lead.
It’s not unanimous, but 4-1 favorite Angela Hill (12-9 MMA, 7-9 UFC) has a big picks lead over Ashley Yoder (8-6 MMA, 3-6 UFC) in their women’s strawweight fight. Hill is the choice of all but one of our staff members.
And to open the main card, Alex Caceres (17-12 MMA, 12-10 UFC) meets Kevin Croom (21-12 MMA, 0-0 UFC) in a featherweight fight. Caceres is a 2-1 favorite and has a big 11-2 lead in our picks.
In the MMA Junkie reader consensus picks, Gane (63 percent), Ankalaev (81 percent), Silva (52 percent), Munhoz (57 percent) and Caceres (72 percent) are the choices.
Check out all the picks above.