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UFC on ESPN 40 predictions: Santos or Hill? And who will be next ‘TUF’ winners?

·3 min read
In this article:
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Santos
vs.
Hill

Luque
vs.
Neal

Pauga
vs.
Usman

Miller
vs.
Walker

Sakai
vs.
Spivac

Cachoeira
vs.
Lipski

MMA Junkie readers’
consensus picks
127-74

hill2022


Hill
(77%)

luque2022


Luque
(86%)

pauga2022


Pauga
(56%)

walker2022


Walker
(57%)

spivac2022


Spivac
(78%)

lipski2022


Lipski
(73%)

Ken Hathaway
@kenshathaway
136-70

trophy copy

2018 Champion

hill2022


Hill

luque2022


Luque

pauga2022


Pauga

miller2022


Miller

spivac2022


Spivac

cachoeira2022


Cachoeira

Mike Bohn
@MikeBohn
132-74

trophy copy

2014 Champion

hill2022


Hill

luque2022


Luque

pauga2022


Pauga

miller2022


Miller

spivac2022


Spivac

lipski2022


Lipski

Abbey Subhan
@kammakaze
132-74

hill2022


Hill

luque2022


Luque

usman2022


Usman

walker2022


Walker

spivac2022


Spivac

lipski2022


Lipski

Matthew Wells
@MrMWells
128-78

hill2022


Hill

neal2022


Neal

usman2022


Usman

miller2022


Miller

spivac2022


Spivac

lipski2022


Lipski

Simon Samano
@SJSamano
127-79

hill2022


Hill

neal2022


Neal

pauga2022


Pauga

walker2022


Walker

sakai2022


Sakai

lipski2022


Lipski

Matt Erickson
@MMAjunkieMatt
126-80

santos2022


Santos

luque2022


Luque

usman2022


Usman

miller2022


Miller

spivac2022


Spivac

lipski2022


Lipski

Farah Hannoun
@Farah_Hannoun
125-81

hill2022


Hill

luque2022


Luque

pauga2022


Pauga

walker2022


Walker

spivac2022


Spivac

lipski2022


Lipski

Nolan King
@mma_kings
123-83

santos2022


Santos

luque2022


Luque

pauga2022


Pauga

miller2022


Miller

sakai2022


Sakai

lipski2022


Lipski

Brian Garcia
@thegoze
121-85

trophy copy

2017 Champion

hill2022


Hill

luque2022


Luque

pauga2022


Pauga

walker2022


Walker

spivac2022


Spivac

cachoeira2022


Cachoeira

George Garcia
@MMAjunkieGeorge
114-92

hill2022


Hill

luque2022


Luque

usman2022


Usman

walker2022


Walker

sakai2022


Sakai

cachoeira2022


Cachoeira

Danny Segura
@dannyseguratv
101-105

hill2022


Hill

luque2022


Luque

pauga2022


Pauga

walker2022


Walker

sakai2022


Sakai

lipski2022


Lipski

The UFC is back in its Las Vegas home base this week with a key light heavyweight bout, plus a pair of finals for Season 30 of “The Ultimate Fighter.”

UFC on ESPN 40 takes place Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. The card airs on ESPN and streams on ESPN+.

(Click here to open a PDF of the staff picks grid in a separate window.)

In the main event, former light heavyweight title challenger Thiago Santos (22-10 MMA, 14-9 UFC) takes on Jamahal Hill (10-1 MMA, 4-1 UFC). Hill is a big -340 favorite at Tipico Sportsbook; the comeback on Santos is +250. Our 11 editors, writers, radio hosts and videographers largely are taking Hill with a big 9-2 picks lead.

In the co-feature, Vicente Luque (21-8-1 MMA, 14-4 UFC) takes on Geoff Neal (14-4 MMA, 6-2 UFC) at welterweight. Luque is a 2-1 favorite at the betting window and like Hill has a 9-2 lead from our pickers.

In the heavyweight final of Season 30 of “The Ultimate Fighter,” Zac Pauga (5-0 MMA, 0-0 UFC) meets Mohammed Usman (7-2 MMA, 0-0 UFC), the brother of UFC welterweight champion Kamaru Usman. Pauga is the biggest favorite on the main card at -290, but he has just a 7-4 lead in the picks.

In the “TUF 30” women’s flyweight final, it’s a close fight at the sportsbook between Juliana Miller (2-1 MMA, 0-0 UFC) and Brogan Walker (7-2 MMA, 0-0 UFC). Miller is a slight favorite at -125, but Walker has a 6-5 picks edge.

Augusto Sakai (15-4-1 MMA, 4-3 UFC) takes on -280 favorite Serghei Spivac (14-3 MMA, 5-3 UFC) at heavyweight. But despite the big odds in Spivac’s favor, he has just a 7-4 picks lead.

And to open the main card, Priscila Cachoeira (11-4 MMA, 3-4 UFC) meets Ariane Lipski (14-7 MMA, 3-4 UFC) in a women’s flyweight bout. Lipski nearly is a 2-1 favorite and has an 8-3 lead from our staff members.

In the MMA Junkie reader consensus picks, Hill (77 percent), Luque (86 percent), Pauga (56 percent), Walker (57 percent), Spivac (78 percent) and Lipski (73 percent) are the choices.

Check out all the picks above.

For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie’s event hub for UFC on ESPN 40.

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List

UFC on ESPN 40 breakdown: Can Jamahal Hill take out ex-title challenger Thiago Santos?

Story originally appeared on MMA Junkie