Top MLB Plays: Thursday 6/24

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PITCHER

Anthony Kay - Toronto Blue Jays (vs. Baltimore Orioles - SP Dean Kremer)

Anthony Kay gets the start for the Toronto Blue Jays tonight at minimum salary on DraftKings. Kay has averaged seven fantasy points per game over his last four starts. He will be starting for Steven Matz who is still sidelined (Illness). At a minimum salary of $4,000 on Draftkings, rostering Anthony Kay allows you to fill your remaining roster slots with whomever you’d like. Paying up for Walker Buehler and investing in as many Toronto and/or Houston batters as possible can be tough without finding serious value. Kay should supply you with enough salary flexibility to afford Buehler as well as the Houston/Toronto stack of your choosing.

Other options: Walker Buehler

CATCHER

Yadier Molina - St. Louis Cardinals (vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - SP Chad Kuhl)

As I’ve mentioned before, BvP stats are tough to trust because you never really know when these at-bats happened. With that said, Yadier Molina is 7 for 15 with one double and two home runs against Chad Kuhl. Molina is averaging 6.5 DK PPG this season but has struggled in a big way recently with a .097 BA over his last 10 games. Nobody bats .097 for long. Look for Molina to right the ship tonight against a very exploitable Chad Kuhl.

Other options: Martin Maldonado

FIRST BASE

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. - Toronto Blue Jays (vs. Baltimore Orioles - SP Dean Kremer)

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is leading the league with 23 home runs this season. Of his 23 home runs, 21 of them are against right-handed pitching. He’s batting .361 against righties and only .255 against lefties. Guerrero exhibits reverse splits. Rostering him tonight against Baltimore‘s Dean Kremer is a no-brainer. Baltimore’s right-hander has a 6.20 ERA this season. He is allowing opposing right-handed batters to hit .294 with seven home runs in 109 total at-bats. The Toronto Blue Jays will undoubtedly be a chalky stack tonight but for a good reason.

Other option: Jonathan Schoop

SECOND BASE

Ozzie Albies - Atlanta Braves (vs. Cincinnati Reds - SP Tony Santillan)

The highest O/U’s of the slate belong to the Toronto Blue Jays vs. the Baltimore Orioles as well as the Cincinnati Reds against the Atlanta Braves. Both games have a 10.5 O/U except the Reds are only favored by -121 (while the Blue Jays are favored by -200). Cincinnati’s Tony Santillan has pitched twice this season. One against the Colorado Rockies and his second game was against the San Diego Padres. His starts could not have been more different. Against Colorado, he lasted 4.2 innings allowing five hits and one earned run. Conversely, the San Diego Padres tagged him for three earned runs off two home runs over three innings pitched. As I've mentioned before, the Cincinnati Reds bullpen has the highest ERA in the league at 5.73. If Atlanta can get to Cincinnati’s bullpen sooner rather than later we could be looking at a massive game for the Braves offense. Santillan allows most of his damage to opposing right-handed batters, therefore Ronald Acuna Jr, Ozzie Albies, Dansby Swanson, and William Contreras are all solid investments.

Other option: Robel Garcia

SHORTSTOP

Marcus Semien - Toronto Blue Jays (vs. Baltimore Orioles - SP Dean Kremer)

As I mentioned above, Dean Kremer allows a .294 batting average with seven home runs in 109 at-bats to opposing right-handed batters. Another Toronto Blue Jay that I will be investing in tonight is shortstop Marcus Semien. Over the last 30 days, Semien has six home runs, 12 RBI, and is batting .267 over 105 at-bats. Marcus Siemen is averaging 9.7 Draftkings points per game this season and displayed a ceiling of 34 DK FP just four games ago. If you’re considering stacking the Toronto Blue Jays, Marcus Semien should be your first selection.

Other option: Bo Bichette

THIRD BASE

Wander Franco - Tampa Bay Rays (vs. Boston Red Sox - SP Nick Pivetta)

Wander Franco has a salary of $3,800 on Draftkings. His original salary of $2,000 was way too low to fade but now, with an accurate salary, we can analyze him better. Despite totaling six fantasy points last night, returning to the well by investing in Franco could be the move tonight. Franco was disappointing (at popular roster percentages last night) but I think that his new $3,800 salary will keep people off of him tonight. He still carries the same upside that he did just two nights ago and sees a solid matchup against Boston’s Nick Pivetta. Even at his new salary, take a chance on Wander Franco for GPP upside.

Abraham Toro - Houston Astros (vs. Detroit Tigers - SP Jose Urena)

Houston’s lineup is out and their backend is looking quite lucrative. Last night Abraham Touro Homeword at very reasonable pricing. I will be looking at him again tonight against Jose Urena. Urena has been known to let up the long ball and against the switch-hitting Toro, a salary of 3100 is not high enough for me to avoid the risk. Many people will be investing in the Houston Astros tonight, not as many will be investing in Abraham Touro. Over his last six games, Toro has been all over the place ranging from zero fantasy points on June 22nd to 30 fantasy points on June 17th. In between these efforts he totaled 5.0 FP against the Chicago White Sox on the 18th 16 points against those White Sox on the 20th and 23 points last night against the Baltimore orioles. Toro has the potential, the consistency is what we’re waiting for.

Other option: Jamier Candelario

OUTFIELD

Bryan Reynolds - Pittsburgh Pirates (vs. St. Louis Cardinals - SP Carlos Martinez)

The NBC Sports Edge optimizer has Bryan Reynolds projected for 12.0 fantasy points at a salary of $3,200 on DraftKings. Reynolds has been batting .400 with two home runs over his last 40 at-bats. Pointsbet.com has the Pittsburgh Pirates as underdogs at +135 with a 9.0 over-under. Pairing Reynolds with Gregory Polanco would be an intelligent start to a Pittsburgh Pirates stack

Teoscar Hernandez - Toronto Blue Jays (vs. Baltimore Orioles - SP Dean Kremer)

In addition to Toronto’s Marcus Semien and Guerrero, another right-handed batter that I like for this matchup is outfielder Teoscar Hernandez. Hernandez missed some time on the paternity list but he’s back and ready to go. Hernandez has two home runs in his last 43 at-bats but more impressively he has at least one hit in each of his last seven games. Over this span, he has totaled 11 hits with two home runs. Right-handed Blue Jays should have a field day in this matchup. They are expected to be popular so try and get slightly different with the Blue Jays that you decide to invest in. A backend Blue Jays stack is playable.

Gregory Polanco - Pittsburgh Pirates (vs. St. Louis Cardinals - SP Carlos Martinez)

Gregory Polanco is batting .438 in 32 at-bats against Carlos Martinez. Over these 32 at-bats, Polanco has four doubles, one triple, and one home run with three RBI. He also has two stolen bases. Last week I called Carlos Martinez against the Atlanta Braves. I noticed advantages for Martinez against a Braves team that does not hit as many home runs as most would think. Despite these advantages, he was worked over for the worst pitching performance of the late. Tonight he faces the Pittsburgh Pirates. Polanco has been hitting below average as of late with 5.3 DK PPG but I’m looking for this to turn it around tonight against the aging Carlos Martinez.

Other option: Kyle Tucker

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BARGAIN BIN

P Anthony Kay

C Yadier Molina

1B Bobby Dalbec

2B Willi Castro

3B Wander Franco

SS Abraham Toro

OF Lourdes Gurriel

OF Randal Grichuk

OF Gregory Polanco