Top-10 most bankable Super Bowl LIII prop bets

Yahoo Sports

Wounds stemming from Championship Round debacles may still sting in Kansas City and, particularly, New Orleans, but there’s always a hook for watching the greatest spectacle in sports, the Super Bowl.

Hey, if you currently reside in the Midwest, what else are you going to do when it’s so frigid no wampa would want to venture outside?

Yes, some will tune in for the commercials, or Adam Levine’s irresistible face stubble, or the thrill of the game.

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However, in this more accepting age of sports wagering, fans hungry for a little extra spice will plop on the couch and consume massive chicken wing quantities for another reason — PROP BETS!

When it comes to the Super Bowl, if you can dream it up, there’s undoubtedly a line for it. Case in point, betting on the length of the National Anthem has become an annual tradition.

A couple of odd examples for this Sunday’s game:

If a streaker runs onto the field, who tackles or touches him/her first? (Security is the leader at -200, though a Bill Belichick-clothesline would be incredible. Coach odds stand at +500.)

Will Fyre Festival swindler Billy McFarland be caught selling counterfeit Super Bowl tickets? (Yes +2500, No -10000)

Seriously, you can wager on anything.

Separating the believable from the bizarre, here are my top-10 favorite prop bets for Super Bowl XLIII (from BetOnline):

Sony Michel scores two or more rushing touchdowns (+250).

The rookie has tapped back into his midseason breakout form. Plowing his way through the competition, he’s racked an appreciable 2.85 yards after contact per attempt during the postseason. More importantly, for the sake of money-making purposes, Michel scored five rushing touchdowns against the Chargers and Chiefs.

Knowing the Rams have surrendered 4.62 yards per carry to RBs in their past nine contests and the consistent push New England’s o-line generates, another multi-TD game is very doable for the youngster.

[Ditch the pen and paper on football’s biggest day. Go digital with Squares Pick’em!]

Phillip Dorsett logs at least 29 receiving yards (-114).

A legit X-factor, Dorsett has reemerged from his late-season hibernation to provide Brady with a viable complementary option to Julian Edelman. Over his past three contests, he’s enticed 13 targets, crossing the chalk three times while tallying at least 29 yards in each game.

Expected to line up against Marcus Peters on most snaps, he’s in a very favorable position to take advantage. On the year, Peters has yielded a 112.0 passer rating and 1.43 yards per snap to his assignments. Next to the Michel offering above, there isn’t a better wager on the board.

C.J. Anderson gains at least 48 rushing yards (-114).

He may have the look of a beer keg with feet, but there’s nothing foamy about Anderson’s sudden and unpredictable career revival. His 3.63 yards after contact per attempt, steady 15-plus carry workloads and 167 accumulated rush yards in his past two are no joke.

Obviously, he’ll split carries with Todd Gurley, but in what could be another hot-hand situation, he’s a strong bet to sail past the proposed number. Keep in mind the Pats have allowed 4.96 yards per carry since Week 10.

Gerald Everett records at least 24 receiving yards (-114).

Everett hit or raced past the proposed threshold eight times this season. He could be a key part of the Rams’ game plan given the attention Robert Woods and Brandin Cooks draw. Also, consider that New England ranked middle of the pack in yards allowed to TEs in the regular season conceding 52.0 yards per game. Though Tyler Higbee is a hindrance, it’s a low barrier to surmount for Everett.

Julian Edelman registers at least 9 receptions (+174).

This is an admittedly hefty number, but Edelman is clearly the apple of Brady’s eye. Since Week 14, he’s lured an obscene 62 targets, reaching the above number twice. One has to wonder if he’ll draw more Aqib Talib (85.6 passer rating allowed) or Robey-Coleman (84.1) in coverage, but it’s reasonable to believe in a game with shootout appeal he flirts with 10 receptions.

Nickell Robey-Coleman called for pass interference? (Yes: +250)

In one of the most idiotic moves in recent Super Bowl history, Robey-Coleman, fresh off his indisputable-yet-not-called de-cleating of Tommylee Lewis, gifted Brady and the Patriots added motivation with his recent imbecilic commentary. As a result, it’s easy to conclude Brady relentlessly bombards the slot man out of the gate. More throws the DB’s direction, more opportunities for a PI.

Will a roughing-the-passer penalty be called? (Yes: +110)

Prediction: Ndamukong Suh issues a cheap shot on Brady in the first quarter. If not, expect another phantom roughing call on the GOAT at some juncture.

What side on the coin flip: Heads (-105) or tails (-115)?

The math is simple on a single sample: it’s a 50/50 proposition. Give me the lightened juice on heads, for the flip of it.

Will Tom Brady be seen cursing on the broadcast? (Yes: +500)

Will an on-camera expletive fly from the usually well-managed mouth of Tom Brady? (AP Photo/Charles Krupa, File)
Will an on-camera expletive fly from the usually well-managed mouth of Tom Brady? (AP Photo/Charles Krupa, File)

Look, (expletive) happens. A missed connection, unfavorable penalty or another unfortunate circumstance would drive any of us to publicly spew four-letter words. Even in jubilant moments it’s possible. Brady may not go full Aqib Talib or Joe Pesci from Casino, but with the camera constantly on him, a sideline profanity is entirely possible.

Number of plays Tony Romo correctly predicts: Over/Under 2.5 (Over -110)

Move over Miss Cleo, Romo is TV’s ultimate psychic. His uncanny ability to read alignments and impeccably project where the ball is going pre-snap was on full display last week in Kansas City. This feels like low-hanging fruit.

Have a beef with Brad? Track him down on Twitter @YahooNoise.

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