Tommy Beer’s Too Early Top-150

Tommy Beer
Rotoworld

With the draft and free agency (for the most part) in the rear-view mirror, here is my first crack at ranking the top 150 players for the 2019-20 season. It is very important to note that this ranking is based on nine-category (points, assists, rebounds, steals, blocks, 3-pointers, field goal percentage, free throw percentage and turnovers) roto scoring formats. 

I’ve added comments on a handful of players to explain the rationale behind their rankings.

 

1. Stephen Curry - Golden State Warriors: With KD in BK and Klay sidelined for most of the year, Steph will remind everybody why he is former back-to-back MVP
2. James Harden - Houston Rockets
3. Karl-Anthony Towns - Minnesota Timberwolves
4. Anthony Davis - Los Angeles Lakers
5. Giannis Antetokounmpo - Milwaukee Bucks
6. Paul George - Los Angeles Clippers
7. Nikola Jokic - Denver Nuggets
8. Damian Lillard - Portland Trailblazers
9. Bradley Beal - Washington Wizards
10. LeBron James - Los Angeles Lakers: King James finished 6th overall in 9-cat formats when he played in all 82 games in 2017-18, and even in a “down year” averaged 27/8/8 last season
11. Rudy Gobert - Utah Jazz
12. Andre Drummond - Detroit Pistons 
13. Jrue Holiday - New Orleans Pelicans 
14. Kyrie Irving - Brooklyn Nets
15. Kawhi Leonard - Los Angeles Clippers
16. Kemba Walker - Boston Celtics
17. Joel Embiid - Philadelphia 76ers
18. Mitchell Robinson - New York Knicks: Shot-blocking machine, who also became the first player in NBA history to shoot over 69% from the floor and 60% from the FT stripe in the same season
19. Jimmy Butler - Miami Heat
20. Nikola Vucevic - Orlando Magic
21. Devin Booker - Phoenix Suns
22. Clint Capela - Houston Rockets
23. Myles Turner - Indiana Pacers
24. Russell Westbrook - Houston Rockets: Russ finished last season ranked 32nd overall in 9-cat formats. His FG% is crippling and his counting stats will drop as his usage rate dips in Houston
25. Chris Paul - OKC Thunder
26. John Collins - Atlanta Hawks
27. Trae Young - Atlanta Hawks    
28. Mike Conley - Utah Jazz
29. LaMarcus Aldridge - San Antonio Spurs
30. Pascal Siakam - Toronto Raptors
31. Donovan Mitchell - Utah Jazz
32. Zion Williamson - New Orleans Pelicans
33. Deandre Ayton - Phoenix Suns
34. Buddy Hield - Sacramento Kings 
35. Kristaps Porzingis - Dallas Mavericks: The ultimate boom-or-bust pick. If KP can stay healthy, he could finish inside the top-15 in per-game production. However, that’s obviously a big “IF”
36. DeMarcus Cousins - Los Angeles Lakers
37. Lauri Markkanen - Chicago Bulls
38. Otto Porter - Chicago Bulls
39. Danilo Gallinari - OKC Thunder
40. C.J. McCollum - Portland Trailblazers
41. Ben Simmons - Philadelphia 76ers 
42. Kevin Love - Cleveland Cavs: Like Porzingis, Love’s fantasy production will be determined by his availability, not his talent
43. Eric Bledsoe - Milwaukee Bucks
44. Jamal Murray - Denver Nuggets
45. DeMar DeRozan - San Antonio Spurs
46. Hassan Whiteside - Portland Trailblazers: Coming off an awful season, but ready for a fresh start in POR. Whiteside ranked inside the top-40 overall in 2017-18 and 25th overall in 2016-17
47. Tobias Harris - Philadelphia 76ers
48. Kyle Lowry - Toronto Raptors 
49. Brook Lopez - Milwaukee Bucks: 3-pointers and blocks in abundance from a center
50. Bam Adebayo - Miami Heat: Can Bam take “the leap” now that Whiteside is no longer in South Beach?
51. Jaren Jackson Jr. - Memphis Grizzlies
52. Robert Covington - Minnesota Timberwolves: Injuries a definitely a major issue, but RoCo did finish inside the top-40 overall in both 2017-18 and 2016-17 
53. Zach LaVine - Chicago Bulls 
54. Al Horford - Philadelphia 76ers 
55. Draymond Green - Golden State Warriors 
56. D'Angelo Russell - Golden State Warriors 
57. Khris Middleton - Milwaukee Bucks
58. De'Aaron Fox - Sacramento Kings
59. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander - OKC Thunder
60. Jayson Tatum - Boston Celtics
61. T.J. Warren - Indiana Pacers 
62. Blake Griffin - Detroit Pistons 
63. Julius Randle - New York Knicks: Needs to reduce his turnovers to become an elite fantasy contributor
64. Malcolm Brogdon - Indiana Pacers
65. Luka Doncic - Dallas Mavericks: I’m well aware most other sites will have him ranked much higher. Just be aware that Luka finished 146th overall over the final two months of 2018-19
66. Josh Richardson - Philadelphia 76ers 
67. Derrick Favors - New Orleans Pelicans: Finished 44th over the final 20 games last season while averaging just 23.7 minutes per game
68. Larry Nance Jr. - Here's why I love Nance as a value pick this season
69. Jonas Valanciunas - Memphis Grizzlies 
70. Steven Adams - OKC Thunder 
71. Terry Rozier - Charlotte Hornets
72. Marc Gasol - Toronto Raptors 
73. Jeff Teague - Minnesota Timberwolves
74. Jarrett Allen - Brooklyn Nets 
75. Delon Wright - Dallas Mavericks
 

76. RJ Barrett - New York Knicks
77. Ja Morant - Memphis Grizzlies 
78. Joe Ingles - Utah Jazz
79. Thomas Bryant - Washington Wizards
80. Serge Ibaka - Toronto Raptors
81. Montrezl Harrell - Los Angeles Clippers
82. Gary Harris - Denver Nuggets: Went from No. 34 overall in 2017-18 to No. 163 overall last season. Which Harris shows up in 2019-20? I’m banking on a bounceback
83. Aaron Gordon - Orlando Magic  
84. Caris LeVert - Brooklyn Nets
85. Marcus Smart - Boston Celtics
86. Patrick Beverley - Los Angeles Clippers
87. Ricky Rubio - Phoenix Suns 
88. Dejounte Murray - San Antonio Spurs 
89. DeAndre Jordan - Brooklyn Nets 
90. Jeremy Lamb - Indiana Pacers
91. Cody Zeller - Charlotte Hornets: Someone has to score and rebound in Charlotte. Zeller isn’t a sexy pick, but he has a safe, high floor
92. Gordon Hayward - Boston Celtics 
93. Domantas Sabonis - Indiana Pacers
94. Wendell Carter Jr. - Chicago Bulls
95. Jonathan Isaac - Orlando Magic
96. Fred VanVleet - Toronto Raptors
97. Kelly Oubre Jr. - Phoenix Suns: Played the best ball of his career after the trade to PHX, averaging over 20 points, five boards and nearly two triples and two steals a night over his final 17 games
98. Thaddeus Young - Chicago Bulls
99. Brandon Ingram - New Orleans Pelicans
100. Marvin Bagley III - Sacramento Kings 
101. Lou Williams - Los Angeles Clippers 
102. Goran Dragic - Miami Heat
103. Lonzo Ball - New Orleans Pelicans 
104. Miles Bridges - Charlotte Hornets 
105. Dwight Powell - Dallas Mavericks: Powell posted terrific all-around numbers over the second half of last season, tallying 14.3 points, 7.2 rpg, 2.3 apg while shooting 62% from the floor and 80% from the FT line
106. Nicolas Batum - Charlotte Hornets 
107. Kelly Olynyk - Miami Heat 
108. P.J. Tucker - Houston Rockets: Last season, Tucker became the first player in NBA history to average more than 1.5 triples and 1.5 steals, but fewer than 1.0 turnovers per game
109. Kevon Looney - Golden State Warriors 
110. Mikal Bridges - Phoenix Suns 
111. Will Barton - Denver Nuggets
112. Victor Oladipo - Indiana Pacers: Sounds like there is a chance ‘Dipo is sidelined into January or February of 2019. And will the Pacers limit his minutes once he does return? 
113. Enes Kanter - Boston Celtics 
114. Tomas Satoransky - Chicago Bulls 
115. Willie Cauley-Stein - Golden State Warriors 
116. Dewayne Dedmon - San Antonio Spurs 
117. Derrick White - San Antonio Spurs
118. Kyle Anderson - Memphis Grizzlies
119. Bobby Portis - New York Knicks
120. Terrence Ross - Orlando Magic
121. Paul Millsap - Denver Nuggets
122. Marcus Morris - New York Knicks 
123. Bojan Bogdanovic - Utah Jazz
124. Jerami Grant - Denver Nuggets 
125. Evan Fournier - Orlando Magic
126. Dario Saric - Minnesota Timberwolves
127. Cedi Osman - Cleveland Cavs
128. JaVale McGee - Los Angeles Lakers 
129. Jaylen Brown - Boston Celtics
130. Kyle Kuzma - Los Angeles Lakers 
131. Ish Smith - Washington Wizards: Likely to win the starting PG job in Washington, which means he’ll be just one of 30 starting PG in the NBA on opening night. High floor
132. Eric Gordon - Houston Rockets
133. Harrison Barnes - Sacramento Kings
134. Joe Harris - Brooklyn Nets
135. Danny Green - Los Angeles Lakers 
136. Derrick Rose - Detroit Pistons 
137. Rudy Gay - San Antonio Spurs
138. Reggie Jackson - Detroit Pistons
139. Dennis Smith Jr. - New York Knicks
140. Rajon Rondo - Los Angeles Lakers
141. Spencer Dinwiddie - Brooklyn Nets 
142. D.J. Augustin - Orlando Magic 
143. Alex Len - Atlanta Hawks: Limited competition for minutes at center in Atlanta, and Len averaged 2.1 treys while shooting over 40% from downtown over the final 20 games of 2018-19
144. Zach Collins - Portland Trailblazers
145. Andrew Wiggins - Minnesota Timberwolves
146. Tim Hardaway Jr. - Dallas Mavericks
147. Justise Winslow - Miami Heat
148. Elfrid Payton - New York Knicks  
149. J.J. Redick - New Orleans Hornets 
150. Markelle Fultz - Orlando Magic: Last-round lottery ticket. Yes, Fultz has been awful since setting foot in the NBA. But he also averaged 23.2 points, 5.7 rebounds, 5.9 assists, 1.6 steals, 1.2 blocks and 2.1 made 3-pointers as a freshman in the Pac-12 a couple of years ago

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