Three Wimbledon Future Bets with Value

·3 min read

Wimbledon begins in just a few short days, which means time is running out to pick a winner. I've selected a few futures that I think are worth investing in, and before we start, I'll give an honorable mention to John Isner (+12500). I can't pull the trigger on a guy who's never gone too deep in a slam and who is aging, but he's got a game for grass and he's had a good season!

Let's get down to those futures.

Novak Djokovic (-110)

If you want to take the favorite here, you'll hear no objections from me. Djokovic is, of course, the defending champion at Wimbledon, and his draw couldn't be any easier. He'll likely have to worry about either Stefanos Tsitsipsas or Roberto Bautista-Agut by the time he reaches the semifinals, but up until that point should be relatively unbothered with some inexperienced grass players.

The World No. 1's style works perfectly on grass, as opposed to on clay where it's just slightly worse, and that's why he's a commanding 104-22 on the surface. His pushing style makes his groundstrokes almost impossible to control as they skid off the grass and off the baseline, and without Roger Federer really giving him (and the field) as much trouble as he normally does, this should set up nicely for a run to the final.

Matteo Berrettini (+1400)

Yeah, admittedly I'd like a better price here, but if you're going to ask me who the three most-likely winners at this tournament are then I'm going to pick Berrettini. The Italian has biggest game on tour, possessing a commanding serve and forehand which translate on any surface, but particularly on grass. He just won his second grass-court title earlier this month at Queen's Club, and his serve looked unreturnable.

He'll have it all to do in this half of the draw with so many talented players, but he's got the Grand Slam experience, having gone to the U.S. Open semifinals before, and he was also able to push Djokovic at Roland Garros last month before eventually falling short. There aren't many I'd pick out that can beat The Hammer.

Marin Cilic (+6000)

He's won a grand slam before, he just won a grass court title in Stuttgart and he's really had a great season after a tough re-start and beginning to 2021. His game, like Berrettini's, it suited for the grass with a huge serve and he should be able to get past enough people in his half of the draw to get into striking distance.

He pushed Daniil Medvedev in the only meeting the two had on a hardcourt in 2019, and the way he's been playing I'd make him the favorite over Hubert Hurkacz, Pablo Carreno-Busta and Cam Norrie. Roger Federer lurks in this quarter, but he's hardly been himself lately and might not even make it to the quarterfinal. If Cilic can pass that test, you're into hedge territory. That's all you can ask for at these odds.

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