If you read our predictions for Notre Dame’s season opener against Florida State, you’ll recall I said I nearly picked a Seminoles upset. However, one look at the below chart, and you’ll see that barring a massive turn of events, the idea of the Irish losing to this team is laughable. If we’re going by last year, among the biggest advantages the Irish have in this matchup are in total defense, third-down situations on both sides of the ball and penalties. When you have that much a discrepancy in those spots, how can you suggest an upset?
The advantages the 2020 Seminoles had over the 2020 Irish are moderate at best and minimal at worst. They were better at red-zone defense and slightly better at punting. Other than that, there isn’t a lot going for the Seminoles statistically in this matchup. If you’re not going to abandon an upset prediction as I did, I wish you the best of luck.