We are terrible. Just keep picking against us and you’ll do fine. Overall record: 20-30.
Boise State (-7.5) at BYU, 10:15 p.m. ET FRIDAY: We picked BYU last week to no avail. After losing to Utah State, it’s tough to think BYU will have something for Boise State. Though the Broncos are a bit weird this year. They played Washington State tough in Pullman and lost at home to Virginia.
Georgia at Vanderbilt (+17.5), Noon ET: We love that Vanderbilt coach Derek Mason called Kirby Smart’s quarterback bluff. Smart gets too cute trying to hide things about his team. It’s football, not diplomatic relations. Anyway, Georgia is due to come down a little bit and Vanderbilt has to play better than it has vs. Florida and Alabama.
Duke at Virginia (OVER 52.5), 12:20 p.m. ET: Duke is an underdog. Yes, Virginia is a favorite in an ACC game. Credit the job Bronco Mendenhall has done with the Cavaliers. Virginia has scored 38 and 42 points in its last two games and is coming off a bye. Duke, meanwhile, scored less than 27 for the first time all season vs. Miami. This could be a sneaky-fun shootout.
Florida International at Middle Tennessee State (-10), 3 p.m. ET: This line is depressed because of the injury issues Middle Tennessee has had. Coach Rick Stockstill said this week that he’s never had a year where so many good players have gotten hurt. That includes his son Brent, the team’s quarterback. Brent Stockstill is practicing this week after sternum and collarbone injuries suffered vs. Syracuse. We’re going on the longshot he plays.
New Mexico State (+10.5) at Appalachian State. 3:30 p.m. ET: The Mountaineers are a Sun Belt favorite but the Aggies lost by just three at home to Troy (the team that beat LSU) earlier in the season. And New Mexico State also has beaten New Mexico and lost to Arizona State by six.
West Virginia at TCU (UNDER 68.5), 3:30 p.m. ET: With Louisville and NC State playing on Thursday night, this is the only matchup of ranked teams on Saturday. TCU’s defense has been impressive so far this season and we like them to keep Will Grier and the West Virginia offense in check.
Miami (-3) at Florida State, 3:30 p.m. ET: It’s a work in progress for Florida State’s offense led by freshman quarterback James Blackman. While he’s faced two good defenses in NC State and Wake Forest, Miami’s unit may be better than both of him. If Miami running back Mark Walton’s ankle is feeling good, this could be a Hurricane romp.
LSU at Florida (OVER 45.5), 3:30 p.m. ET: A weird shootout? Why not. Florida’s offense is so weird and Feleipe Franks will probably find Tyrie Cleveland deep at some point. And LSU’s offense is due for a game where it breaks out and shows why Matt Canada was hired. We’re also simply hoping for a good game in the 3:30 window for CBS. The last two have been dogs.
Kansas State (+4) at Texas, 7 p.m. ET: Will Tom Herman’s presence flip the recent script for Texas against Kansas State? The Wildcats have won seven of the team’s 11 meetings since 1998 and won five-straight games from 2006-2012. This game should be close either way and the under could be a good play as well.
Alabama at Texas A&M (OVER 54.5), 7:15 p.m. ET: After demolishing Ole Miss, Alabama is nearly a four-touchdown favorite against the Aggies. If the Tide is going to cover a number like that, this game has to break the over. A&M’s offense has started to get its footing as Kellen Mond gains experience, though we’re not optimistic that he’ll have any consistency.
– – – – – – –