QuikTrip 500 Proper Props

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Dan Beaver
·4 min read
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Prop Bets

When oddsmakers reduced Alex Bowman to +1300 (13/1) – a loss of 2200 points for the outright win – it drug his top-three odds to a much less desirable point as well. With a +325, however, there is still a lot of wiggle room to make him a solid bet.

Equally important, at -145 he is now considered a favorite to finish in the top 10. We think there is so much more to his potential.

Likewise Chase Briscoe is a much safer top-three bet at +300 than he is for an outright win (at +1100). He confirmed his status as a favorite to finish among the top 10 with solid practice times and it will take only a little luck to get him to the front. If Sunday’s carnage affects Kyle Larson and Christopher Bell, Briscoe is going to challenge for the win.

It has been a while since we’ve seen a driver listed as even money to score a top three, but with that is precisely where Larson’s outright odds (of +275) drags his top-three odds.

Bell is currently listed at +250.


Tyler Reddick has not earned the respect he deserves this week and with relatively little experience at the Cup level, it is hard to make him a favorite for the outright win. His odds of +1800 to win drag his top-three odds to +450 and that is an attractive bet.

It is so rare to see Kevin Harvick with positive odds to finish in the top 10 that he deserves some couch cushion money. His outright win odds of +4000 ranks him 16th on that chart. It was a line movement of +1000 as oddsmakers had to sweeten the pot to get a little bit of action. That drags his top-10 odds to +175, which does not reflect a good Return on Investment (ROI). It does open up an interesting opportunity, however. It’s hard to imagine him not finishing 10th or better on practically any track.

In the constructor markets this week, Larson (+140) tops Bowman (+550) and Reddick (+850) for the distinction of being the best in a Chevrolet. The only reason to fade the No. 5, however, is if you believe he will get caught up in an accident in the opening laps after being forced to the back with an engine change.

The Ford battle is much closer with Chase Briscoe (+230) topping Ryan Blaney (+350) and Joey Logano (+450). Blaney is an interesting choice with higher odds than the No. 14 driver because he posted the fastest speed in Happy Hour.

At +150, Christopher Bell tops Kyle Busch and Denny Hamlin (both at +300) in the Toyota camp.

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This week’s Group matchups at PointsBet Sportsbook have a couple of interesting battles – which is good because there are only three groups this week.

Chase Elliott (+175) is the top driver over Kyle Busch (+230), Tyler Reddick (+250) and Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (+350). Reddick has a lot of dirt experience, but drivers don’t get any more aggressive than Stenhouse, so we would favor him in this four-man matchup.

Bell (+130 in Group A) is the favorite over Briscoe (+180), Austin Dillon (+400) and Stewart Friesen (+450). The former Big Block Modified driver did not do very well in practice, so Friesen can be ignored. By the raw numbers it would seem Dillon spent most of the session working on how best to protect his equipment and could come on strong at the end of the final stage.

Bell and Larson are also featured in a head-to-head matchup this week. If you have a bad feeling about Larson, there is a little money to be made on the No. 20 car at +175.

On the strength of Larson’s dirt skill, Hendrick Motorsports leads the team bet with a +150. If Briscoe or Reddick proves capable of surprising the favorites, Stewart-Haas Racing can be had for +800 with Richard Childress Racing listed at +1000.

If you are looking for a longshot, Rick Ware Racing has added a couple dirt track ringers. If Chris Windom, JJ Yeley, Cody Ware, or Josh Bilicki wins, it is worth +5000.