If fretting wagering on NFL spreads — historically the sharpest lines available at any book — props can be an intriguing and outright fun way to have an invested incentive in a player’s performance each and every week. This ongoing series will be a weekly feature outlining my favorite player props for Monday Night Football, including the six detailed below. All props and odds have been sourced accordingly and tracked for accountability at the bottom of every write-up.
Boykin has gone for 37 and 38 yards in his two contests this season. He's second on the Ravens in receiving snaps at 51 and only trails Marquise Brown by two snaps. He's operating as the No. 2 receiver in a game with a 54-point total. The Ravens should also be forced to pass more than they have in either week this season. The spread sits at -3.5 in favor of Baltimore but they've won both of their games by a collective 49 points this year. Expect to see Lamar Jackson attempt more passes on Monday Night Football than he has at any other point this season.
The Ravens have split their backfield three ways to open the year. After Jackson, Ingram leads the team with 19 carries while Gus Edwards isn't far behind at 14 totes. No. 55 overall pick J.K. Dobbins also has nine carries on the year. The Ravens will be playing with less of a lead than they're used to, further decreasing the pool of carries for Ingram to draw from. Our projections have Ingram at 9.1 attempts for 40 yards. Both marks fall well below these lines and make it worth paying the -137 juice on the attempts total.
Lamar Jackson OVER 25.5 Fantasy Points (-105) — PointsBet Sportsbook
Our projections have Jackson beating this prop by 1.8 points. Jackson has been quiet for his lofty standards through two weeks. He's only averaging 22.5 fantasy points per game compared to his 2019 mark of 27.7. Almost nothing has changed for Jackson though. He's averaging 11.5 carries for 49.5 yards on the ground. He's even kept up his absurd touchdown rate. Jackson is currently finding the end zone on 8.2% of his attempts. The only change has been his opponents, who haven't been able to hang around late in games. Jackson has 17 pass attempts in the second halves this year. The Chiefs should change that trend and allow Jackson to near 30 fantasy points.
Different books hang the Mahomes rushing line at different spots but Fanduel's number of 18.5 combined with the palatable -110 price is the best bet. Mahomes has played in 12 games with a total of at least 54 points. He's averaged 21.2 rushing yards in those contests. Mahomes has also averaged 18.8 rushing yards in games where either team is favored by less than a touchdown. Both of those hold true tonight and should lead to an increased number of scrambles from Mahomes. If he's going to gain at least two fantasy points on the ground, betting his fantasy points total goes hand-in-hand. Mahomes has topped 21.5 fantasy points in nine of the 14 games that he's surpassed 18 rushing yards.
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