If fretting wagering on NFL spreads and totals (historically the sharpest lines available at any book), props can be an intriguing and outright fun way to have an invested incentive in a player’s performance each and every week. This ongoing series will be a weekly feature outlining my favorite player props for TNF and MNF, including the three detailed below. All props and odds have been sourced accordingly and tracked for accountability at the bottom of every write-up.
Nick Chubb OVER 8.5 Receiving Yards (-115) — PointsBet Sportsbook
This is a two unit bet even if Cleveland takes the field without all of LT Jedrick Wills (shin), C J.C. Tretter (knee) and RT Jack Conklin (ankle, finger). Although Kareem Hunt sliced into Chubb’s carries in Week 1, running the ball 13 times to Chubb’s 10 scampers, the latter responded by cutting into Hunt’s receiving game usage (14 routes) with a backfield-high 17 routes. That metric alone lends Chubb a higher floor in a variety of game scripts, needing only a single catch to potentially take this prop down in the first half.
John Ross OVER 30.5 Receiving Yards (-115) — PointsBet Sportsbook
Ross’ five targets, four fewer than A.J. Green’s team-high 9 against the Chargers, distract from the fact the 24-year-old actually out-snapped the veteran 57 to 45. And unlike Los Angeles' stingy secondary, Cleveland’s defense enters Thursday short No. 2 corner Greedy Williams (shoulder) and his backup Kevin Johnson (liver). There’s an underlying opportunity for Ross if Green is limited further in his first short turnaround of the season.
Joe Burrow OVER 25.5 Rushing Yards (-115) — PointsBet Sportsbook
Burrow averaged 8.6 scrambles per game across 28 starts for the Tigers and immediately showed the ability to carry that skill over (8/46/1) against league competition. Only the Bengals allowed more rushing attempts (93) and yards (489) to opposing quarterbacks than the Browns (90, 413) last year.
Last Week: 4-4, +2.1 Units
Season: 4-4, +2.1 Units