Predicting the 2022 season using ESPN’s Football Power Index

·3 min read

As we move closer to the start of the college football season, we are beginning to see more predictions on how the Huskers will fare in 2022. ESPN’s Football Power Index, otherwise known as FPI, has released its win probabilities for each and every game of the 2022 college football season. The FPI was a system developed in 2013 to project the outcomes of games and season records based on various metrics. This year’s index predicts good things about the 2022 version of the Nebraska Cornhuskers, maybe too good.

A new quarterback but one with experience, a defense that performed well last year, and a schedule that avoids most of the heavy hitters from the Big Ten East could lead to a successful season, but just how successful is the question. Nebraska finally made changes to the coaching staff after four frustrating years and even fully embraced the transfer portal as a way to bring experienced talent to Lincoln but is it enough to think that a giant leap can occur for the 2022 campaign.

Scroll below to see how things play out this season according to the ESPN Football Power Index.

Northwestern - August 27th - 11:30 am (Dublin, Ireland) (WIN - 79%)

(Photo by Steven Branscombe/Getty Images)

vs. North Dakota 09.03.22 - 2:30 pm CT (WIN - 98.4%)

Troy Babbitt-USA TODAY Sports

vs. Georgia Southern 09.10.22 - 6:30 pm CT (WIN - 92%)

Nelson Chenault-USA TODAY Sports

Oklahoma - September 17th - 11:00 am (LOSS 39.5%)

(Photo by Brian Bahr/Getty Images)

vs. Indiana 10.01.22 - 6:30 pm CT (WIN 84%)

Indiana Hoosiers helmet (Marc Lebryk-USA TODAY Sports)

@ Rutgers - September 7th - 6:00 pm (WIN 72.4%)

(Photo by Rich Schultz/Getty Images)

@ Purdue - September 15th - TBA (LOSS - 48.7%)

(Photo by Steven Branscombe/Getty Images)

vs. Illinois - October 29th - TBA (WIN 83.5%)

(Photo by Justin Casterline/Getty Images)

vs. Minnesota - November 5th - TBA (Win - 63.9%)

(Photo by David Berding/Getty Images)

@ Michigan - November 12th - TBA (LOSS 20%)

Syndication: The Columbus Dispatch

vs. Wisconsin - November 19th - TBA (WIN 51.2%)

(Photo by John Fisher/Getty Images)

@ Iowa - November 25th - 3:00 pm CT (LOSS 46.5%)

(Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images)

Final Record: 8-4

A final record of 8-4 may be in line with most preseason projections, but it still may be just a bit too generous for the Huskers. That’s not to say that they can’t have a successful season but let’s be honest with one another. Scott Frost has an unfortunate track record of losing games he should win. There have been tough losses during his tenure, but there have also been some bad losses as well. Last season’s season-opening loss to Illinois comes to mind. Until I actually see the Huskers win the games they should and close out the late leads, it’s going to be very difficult to be fully on board with an eight-win regular season. Unfortunately, these kinds of disappointments have become all too frequent over the last several years to think otherwise, and that’s why Scott Frost will have to win this season or be out of a job. And if ESPN’s FPI is correct, Frost is back on the sideline in 2023.

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