Tommy Pham's underlying numbers point towards a rebound

Drew Silva explains that fantasy managers may want to give Tommy Pham another chance because his underlying stats suggest a bounce back is coming.

Video Transcript

DREW SILVA: Padres outfielder Tommy Pham went as a top 120 pick in the average Yahoo fantasy draft this spring, but he's probably sitting on a lot of waiver wires, right now, after his poor first couple of months. Let's look a little closer at the data here though. Pham, as of late May, has a .250 batting average on balls in play, well below his career BABIP of .328. That's an indicator of bad luck.

Also, he is greatly underperforming on sweet spot contact. So even when he does barrel the baseball with a high exit velocity, it's finding defenders gloves. Pham has upped his walk rate and currently ranks in the 99th percentile on the good side of chase rate. To put that all a little more plainly, he's showing the very best plate discipline of his career, and the hits are sure to come.

So maybe give him another look in leagues where he was dropped. The speed has always provided Pham with a safe fantasy floor, and if he just keeps doing what he's doing, the homers, and doubles, and triples will eventually pour in. It helps, too, that the Padres have yet to give up on him as a leadoff option, even through the early lack of tangible production.