PGA Championship heat index: Who to pick at Kiawah Island?

·5 min read

Looking for a player to pick in your office pool? One strategy is to consider players who have had the most success in the months leading up to this week’s PGA Championship, the second major of 2021.

The entire PGA Championship field is broken down below according to the Golfweek/Sagarins and the Official World Golf Ranking. The left column, or the “heat index,” is a player’s ranking based on his play the past four months. That can help you pick a player who is trending.

So far in the 2020-21 Tour season, the average ranking of the winner heading into the week in which he won a PGA Tour event has been 89.35 in the Golfweek/Sagarins and 96.35 in the OWGR.

Player

Heat Index

GW/Sagarin

OWGR

Jordan Spieth

1

23

26

Brian Harman

2

12

47

Joaquin Niemann

3

9

29

Paul Casey

4

20

20

Viktor Hovland

5

3

11

Xander Schauffele

6

1

4

Jon Rahm

7

2

3

Corey Conners

8

16

39

Louis Oosthuizen

9

14

31

Charley Hoffman

10

40

75

Matt Jones

11

30

56

Will Zalatoris

12

10

30

Collin Morikawa

13

24

6

Cameron Smith

14

21

25

Brendan Steele

15

52

82

Daniel Berger

16

7

16

Webb Simpson

17

5

10

Abraham Ancer

18

11

19

Cameron Tringale

19

22

66

Chris Kirk

20

33

63

Bryson DeChambeau

21

8

5

Jason Kokrak

22

39

35

Ryan Palmer

23

25

32

Matt Fitzpatrick

24

29

17

Keegan Bradley

25

45

73

Tyrrell Hatton

26

18

9

Dustin Johnson

27

4

1

Justin Thomas

28

6

2

Adam Scott

29

19

38

Max Homa

30

71

40

Tony Finau

31

13

14

Sungjae Im

32

36

23

Scottie Scheffler

33

31

24

Christiaan Bezuidenhout

34

44

41

Alex Noren

36

49

99

Marc Leishman

37

112

37

Billy Horschel

38

35

18

Brendon Todd

40

50

60

Robert MacIntyre

41

53

45

Tommy Fleetwood

42

43

28

Patrick Reed

43

17

8

Stewart Cink

44

55

43

Rory McIlroy

45

15

7

K.H. Lee

46

114

59

Hideki Matsuyama

47

32

15

Branden Grace

48

135

92

Kevin Streelman

49

48

64

Si Woo Kim

50

38

50

Sam Burns

51

42

36

Cameron Davis

52

59

127

Kevin Na

56

47

34

Charl Schwartzel

57

85

109

Emiliano Grillo

58

51

76

Talor Gooch

59

62

72

Shane Lowry

60

64

48

Russell Henley

61

34

57

Lanto Griffin

63

66

61

Matt Wallace

66

58

52

Bubba Watson

67

57

55

Zach Johnson

68

27

121

Steve Stricker

69

68

240

Lee Westwood

72

79

21

Patrick Cantlay

73

28

12

Sam Horsfield

74

207

86

Harold Varner III

75

78

84

Takumi Kanaya

77

73

77

Sergio Garcia

79

65

46

Thomas Pieters

80

88

94

Adam Hadwin

82

86

107

Wyndham Clark

86

105

150

Matt Kuchar

88

69

49

Harris English

89

26

22

Gary Woodland

95

100

53

Denny McCarthy

96

80

163

Victor Perez

97

163

33

Francesco Molinari

98

113

144

Danny Willett

103

178

91

Carlos Ortiz

104

94

54

Bernd Wiesberger

106

76

62

Justin Rose

107

91

42

Rikuya Hoshino

108

139

69

Aaron Wise

118

134

136

J.T. Poston

119

102

88

Mackenzie Hughes

120

60

58

Antoine Rozner

125

133

74

Jazz Janewattananond

127

222

111

Richy Werenski

128

104

114

Ian Poulter

130

63

67

Martin Laird

131

143

101

Sebastián Muñoz

132

98

71

Andy Sullivan

136

92

70

Thomas Detry

142

107

98

Phil Mickelson

144

142

115

Brooks Koepka

146

82

13

Jason Dufner

151

146

409

Rickie Fowler

158

137

128

Jason Day

164

97

65

Tom Lewis

168

183

116

Dylan Frittelli

174

117

81

Kevin Kisner

177

77

44

Chan Kim

183

158

83

Harry Higgs

184

201

154

Erik van Rooyen

188

123

78

Dean Burmester

191

238

89

Maverick McNealy

196

145

104

Kalle Samooja

206

297

112

Garrick Higgo

218

229

51

Tom Hoge

219

166

113

Kurt Kitayama

231

327

106

Byeong Hun An

233

234

119

Joel Dahmen

234

96

68

Cameron Champ

246

152

95

George Coetzee

251

286

96

Robert Streb

253

262

125

Jimmy Walker

269

354

528

Rasmus Hojgaard

276

219

102

Padraig Harrington

279

216

257

Peter Malnati

290

199

174

Brian Gay

302

358

232

Sami Valimaki

307

265

100

Jason Scrivener

310

319

118

Chez Reavie

323

191

117

John Catlin

334

292

80

Adam Long

343

154

85

Lucas Herbert

344

255

97

Martin Kaymer

351

228

93

Aaron Rai

356

196

90

Daniel van Tonder

358

392

79

Jim Herman

371

281

143

Hudson Swafford

409

422

194

Brandon Stone

418

347

87

Henrik Stenson

453

372

130

Daniel Balin

N/R

N/R

1857

Pete Ballo

N/R

N/R

N/R

Alex Beach

N/R

N/R

1857

Rich Beem

N/R

N/R

1770

Frank Bensel Jr.

N/R

N/R

N/R

Tyler Collet

N/R

N/R

1857

Ben Cook

N/R

N/R

1174

John Daly

N/R

N/R

1857

Mark Geddes

N/R

N/R

N/R

Larkin Gross

N/R

N/R

N/R

Derek Holmes

N/R

N/R

N/R

Greg Koch

N/R

N/R

N/R

Rob Labritz

N/R

N/R

1770

Brad Marek

N/R

N/R

N/R

Shaun Micheel

N/R

N/R

1857

Tim Pearce

N/R

N/R

N/R

Ben Polland

N/R

N/R

1857

Patrick Rada

N/R

N/R

N/R

Sonny Skinner

N/R

N/R

N/R

Stuart L. Smith

N/R

N/R

N/R

Joe Summerhays

N/R

N/R

N/R

Omar Uresti

N/R

N/R

1857

Brett Walker

N/R

N/R

N/R

Y.E. Yang

N/R

N/R

672

List

Check the yardage book: Kiawah Island Golf Resort's Ocean Course for the PGA Championship