PFF sees Wisconsin as the second-best team in the Big Ten West this season

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ProFootballFocus released their ELO rankings for all 130 FBS teams today. In addition to ranking every team in the sport, the article gave each top 25 team a percentage change to both win their conference and win the national title.

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The rankings are based on each program’s talent, an evaluating metric called ELO and a simulation of the season.

Below is where every Big Ten team ranks in PFF’s complete ranking. Yes, as referred to in the title, they don’t see Wisconsin as the best team in the Big Ten West.

List

Ranking Wisconsin's 2021 schedule game-by-game from easiest to most difficult

No. 108 -- Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

No. 82 -- Illinois Fighting Illini

Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

No. 80 -- Purdue Boilermakers

Mandatory Credit: Trevor Ruszkowski-USA TODAY Sports

No. 70 -- Michigan State Spartans

Mandatory Credit: Noah K. Murray-USA TODAY Sports

No. 56 -- Maryland Terrapins

Mandatory Credit: Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports

No. 51 -- Nebraska Cornhuskers

Mandatory Credit: Joseph Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports

No. 42 -- Northwestern Wildcats

Mandatory Credit: David Banks-USA TODAY Sports

No. 38 -- Minnesota Golden Gophers

Mandatory Credit: Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

No. 25 -- Michigan Wolverines

Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports

PFF's National Championship Win Probability: 0.0% PFF's Conference Championship Win Probability: 5.0%

No. 24 -- Indiana Hoosiers

Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

PFF's National Championship Win Probability: 1.0% PFF's Conference Championship Win Probability: 7.0%

No. 19 -- Penn State Nittany Lions

Mandatory Credit: Matthew OHaren-USA TODAY Sports

PFF's National Championship Win Probability: 0.0% PFF's Conference Championship Win Probability: 2.0%

No. 14 -- Wisconsin Badgers

Mandatory Credit: Mary Langenfeld-USA TODAY Sports

PFF's National Championship Win Probability: 2.0% PFF's Conference Championship Win Probability: 11.0% PFF's Highest-Graded Returning Player: LB Jack Sanborn (83.1) What they had to say about the Badgers:

Our simulation matches the implied probability for the Wisconsin Badgers to win the Big Ten title despite our ELO ratings making them the third-best team in the conference. Our simulation likes the Buckeyes to run away with the conference more often than the betting market expectation, which makes us much lower on the second, third and fourth teams in the conference. Wisconsin is the most likely winner of the Big Ten West but could still be a two-touchdown underdog to the team that comes out of the East. The +800 price on the Badgers finally breaking through does seem decent, though.

No. 9 -- Iowa Hawkeyes

Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

PFF's National Championship Win Probability: 2.0% PFF's Conference Championship Win Probability: 17.0%

No. 3 -- Ohio State Buckeyes

Mandatory Credit: Joe Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports

PFF's National Championship Win Probability: 13.0% PFF's Conference Championship Win Probability: 48.0%

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