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Penn State NFL draft prospect stock watch: Chop Robinson

NFL draft season is in full swing, with pro days showcasing this year’s talented class and analysts reacting to every new piece of information they can get their hands on. Penn State, as usual, will be represented well on all three days of the draft, but their most polarizing player is expected to come off the board early.

Chop Robinson has done all he can to solidify his draft stock, with an absurd NFL combine performance (4.48 40-yard dash, 34.5-inch vertical) and displaying his elite athleticism in drills and at Penn State’s pro day back on March 15th. How much did those impressive showings help his stock? Well, it’s a bit complicated.

One of the major issues with how the media covers the NFL draft process is the seemingly hyper-fluid nature of different player’s potential draft ranges. One week a player may be viewed as a late-round pick, but after a great workout at their pro day or a major draft analyst starts hyping them up, the media then jumps on it and declares that player a “riser”.

While it’s mostly harmless (aside from potential betting pitfalls), it’s also just not reality. For the most part, risers and fallers are simply the media catching up with where NFL teams have viewed the class since the end of the college season. There can be guys who get pushed up or down a bit based on workouts and interviews, but huge jumps up the board are rare.

In Robinson’s case, his dominant showing at the combine and his pro day likely didn’t do much to change opinions of him. Think of it this way: if I told you that a restaurant had amazing food, and you tried it out and thought the food was amazing, would your opinion of the place change? No, because you already expected that it would be amazing.

The same thing can be said about Robinson. Teams already know how explosive he is. Just look at this rep from last season.

Questions about his size, ability against the run, and lack of polish as a pass rusher remain despite his testing numbers. I think he has all the talent needed to become a premium pass rusher at the next level, and teams without that kind of player will have a hard time passing on him. If he is rising, however, it’s because of interviews or private workouts, not his testing numbers.

Stock: Up

Story originally appeared on Nittany Lions Wire