Over/Under Week 7 - Tom Brady
2020's been a mixed bag for the Buccaneers QB. Can he draw up a 300-yard game in Las Vegas?
Video Transcript
[MUSIC PLAYING]
MATT HARMON: All right, let's jump in to our next over-under of the program here. And we just talked about Antonio Brown joining this Bucs offense. Well, let's talk about the quarterback of that offense going into this week against the Raiders. We're going to set the line here at 299 and a 1/2 passing yards for Tom Brady.
Now, I'm going to get us started, and I going to go right away to the under because Andy just talked about Ronald Jones. He's the engine of this Buccaneers offense. OK, maybe not. But he does have 330 rushing yards over his last three games. That puts him in company with Derrick Henry as one of the few guys who has three 100-plus-yard rushing games on the season.
Jones has been cooking, and I don't really think they're going to need to go away from him in this spot against the Raiders defense that running backs consistently whip up on. So I just don't see much passing upside for Brady in this one given the way we've seen the Bucs play this year. Minty, how about you? Are you riding with me on this one?
MINTY BETS: I totally agree. Now, the Raiders are allowing a third most passing yards per completion from their opponents. As we saw last week, Tom Brady is utilizing his running backs a little more and taking it easy on his wideouts. 300 passing yards is a lot, and he's only exceeded that once this season. So I'm taking the under just like you, Matt.
MATT HARMON: We love [INAUDIBLE] it. Tank, can we get a super negative sweep on one of the best players to ever play the game?
TANK WILLIAMS: Come on ride the train and ride it. Yeah, I'm going under too, man. I mean, this is easy. I mean, y'all already hit all my talking points. Like, he's only gone over that number once this year.
The Raiders run defense has been poor, and I think that this is a Ronald Jones or Leonard Fournette monster breakout game in the making. And at the same time, the Oakland Raiders-- they play at a pretty slow pace when you look at the other offenses in the league. So I think when you combine all those factors and the fact that the Raiders also like to run the ball even if they're going against a tough match-up, the odds are that Brady's going to go under this number.
