Advertisement

Opta reveal England are Euro 2024 favourites

Opta reveal England are Euro 2024 favourites
Opta reveal England are Euro 2024 favourites

With Euro 2024 under two weeks away from kick-off, Opta analysis has named England as favourites to lift the trophy.

Gareth Southgate’s England men have not won a major competition since the World Cup in 1966.

However, England are ranked fourth in the world and were runners-up to Italy at Euro 2020.

Opta simulated Euro 2024 10,000 times and confirmed its pre-tournament percentages.

England won the tournament in 19.9% of simulations and reached the final in 31.1% of scenarios.

The most likely team to stop England are world number two, France (19.1%), who defeated England in Qatar and have reached the last two World Cup finals.

France are the only team to beat England in a competitive match since Italy in September, 2022.

France reached the final in 30.4% of simulations.

Hosts, Germany (12.4%), Spain (9.6%) and Portugal (9.2%) are other strong contenders to go all the way at the Euros.

Collectively, the five sides have more than a 33% chance of reaching the semi-finals.

Evidently, something or someone will have to give.

Opta analysis is not so bright for defending champions Italy (5.0%) and the third ranked team in the World, Belgium (4.7%).

However, Italy and Belgium reached the quarter-finals in almost 50% of simulations.

Fortunately for them, football isn’t played by computers and the sides don’t have to wait long to prove Opta wrong.

Euro 2024 kicks-off with Germany against Scotland in Munich on June 14th.

England start their campaign against Serbia on June 16th.

GGFN | Oscar O’Mara