Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bears: Prediction, point spread, odds, best bet

The Oklahoma Sooners play the Baylor Bears on Saturday, and if you’re looking to do some last-minute betting research, you’re in luck! We’ll give you the latest point spread, money line odds, and over/under number, as well as the information you’ll need to make the smartest bet at BetMGM.

The game starts at 2 p.m. and can be seen on ESPN+.

This week’s matchup between Oklahoma and Baylor features two teams that had high preseason expectations. Now in week 10, Baylor is fighting for their Big 12 title game lives, and Oklahoma is fighting for pride. While the Sooners still have a 0.1% chance at winning the Big 12 title, they’d have to win out and have a lot happen over the final four weeks of the season to have even a remote chance of making the Big 12 title game.

The Baylor Bears, on the other hand, have a simpler task. Win out in games against Oklahoma, Kansas State, TCU, and Texas, and they’re in. Kansas State, TCU, and Texas represent three of the top four in the Big 12 standings heading into week 10.

Baylor is 5-3 against the spread in 2022 and the Sooners are just 3-5, or 3-4-1, depending on what number you ended up with against Kansas in the Sooners’ 10-point win. Baylor is 6-2 against the over/under, and Oklahoma is 3-4-1.

It’s going to be a tight contest this weekend in Norman, let’s take a look at the betting lines from BetMGM.

The lines, courtesy of BetMGM

Updated 6:40 p.m. 10/27/2022.

  • Point spread: Oklahoma minus-3.5

  • Money line: Oklahoma minus-175 /Baylor plus-145

  • Over-Under: 61.5

Click here to place your bets at BetMGM.

Oklahoma vs. Baylor injury report:


T.D. Roof, LB: Out for season (Elbow)

Shane Whitter, LB: Out for season (Shoulder)

Jovantae Barnes, S: Questionable (Hamstring)

Eric Gray, RB: Questionable (Leg)


Drake Dabney, TE: Out for season (broken leg)

Taye McWilliams, RB: Out indefinitely (Undisclosed)

Craig Williams, RB: Questionable (Head)

Advice and prediction

Both Oklahoma and Baylor are averaging more than 30 points per game in 2022. If you look only at games in which Dillon Gabriel played a full 60 minutes, the Sooners are averaging 40 points per game.

The biggest difference in this matchup is that the Bears rank 50th in the country in points allowed per game at 23.25, while the Oklahoma Sooners are allowing 28.75 points per game, which is tied for 83rd in the nation.

While Baylor’s defense has looked good at times, they haven’t played an offense as good as the Sooners with Dillon Gabriel at the helm. The only win the Bears have against a team averaging more than 30 points per game is their 35-23 win over Kansas, and that was with Jason Bean at the helm. The only other team that they’ve played averaging more than 30 points per game this season is Oklahoma State, who they lost to 36-25.

The Bears’ defense allowed West Virginia to score 43 points just three weeks ago.

This game is destined to hit the over. The Oklahoma Sooners proved last week that they can score on the best defenses in the Big 12. The question comes down to can the Sooners slow down a strong offensive attack from Baylor. They’ll build on their performances against Kansas and Iowa State and find ways to get stops.

Look for a bounceback performance from Dillon Gabriel and Marvin Mims, and at home, the Sooners win and cover the 3.5-point spread.

Prediction: Oklahoma 34, Baylor 30

Record against the spread and O/U in 2022: 10-5-1.

Get more betting analysis and predictions at Sportsbook Wire.

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Story originally appeared on Sooners Wire