Odds and Ends: Breaking down the ACC lines for Week 4

Matt Josephs, Special to CavsCorner.com
Cavs Corner

It's Week 4 of the college football season and unfortunately for some in the ACC, they are looking at game number two or three coming up. The unfortunate hurricanes in Florida have wreaked havoc on the schedule. Closer to home, both UVa and Virginia Tech picked up nice victories and will look to do so again this weekend. So what are their matchups like?

Let's get started...

UVa (+11.5) at Boise State 

The Wahoos get the rare Friday night contest which is also the team's first road game of the season. Confidence has to be high after the performance against UConn in which the team dominated from start to finish. The ground game worked and the defense did just enough despite allowing over 400 yards of offense. It's amazing what happens when Kurt Benkert doesn't have to throw over 60 passes in a contest. Boise State, meanwhile, is 2-1 with wins over Troy and New Mexico at home. The offense has generally been unspectacular as they break in new talent. Turnovers were an issue early on with six of them in the first two weeks. The Broncos are a terrible home cover going 2-11 against the spread over the last three seasons. UVa, meanwhile, is 7-3 ATS on the road despite only winning one of those contests. To me, the Hoos should be able to stay within the big number. They've been an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points just six times the last three seasons, covering three of them. Money has come in on them and I agree with the move.


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VirginiaSports.com

Old Dominion at Virginia Tech (-28)

There are so many things to consider here. You've got a Monarchs team that was undressed by North Carolina at home in one of the biggest games in program history. They ripped the redshirt off a 17-year old quarterback and are now sending him to the wolves in Blacksburg without Ray Lawry and Jonathan Duhart. Virginia Tech is playing Clemson next week in a night game that presumably will include ESPN GameDay although that hasn't been announced yet. The Hokies have struggled out of the gate in every game this season but has played better when it mattered. Josh Jackson has been very good and eventually someone is going to cover Cam Phillips. Virginia Tech has been a decent play at home going 7-6 ATS the last three seasons. To me, though, it's better to sit this one out because there's too many uncertainties.


Toledo at Miami (-13)

One of those teams with a messed up start to its season is Miami who is only playing the second contest of the year. The Canes beat Bethune Cookman 41-13 back on September 2nd and have been off since then. They lost out on a game against Arkansas State and had their contest against Florida State moved to early October. Toledo, believe it or not, isn't exactly a team that you want to play after all that time off. The Rockets are 3-0 after having beaten Elon, Nevada and Tulsa. This is a team that can beat you on the ground and through the air. The problem has been with their defense that was gashed last time out by the Golden Hurricane. Toledo has covered in nine of its last 11 road games and 16 of the last 28 overall. Maybe take a look at UT in the first half before a rusty Miami gets back into the motions.


Duke (-2.5) at North Carolina

Insert obligatory basketball joke here. UNC's defense is allowing nearly 500 yards per game which is about how much Duke's offense is rolling up. The Blue Devil defense is holding its opponents to just 47.7 yards per game on the ground which is a huge surprise considering not much was expected from that side of the ball this season. This will be their first road game so that's a consideration, but I don't know where the Heels head are at right now. Did they get right at Old Dominion last week or are there still issues that will rear their ugly head in this one? UNC has won 10 of its last 12 at home in this series but have covered only half of them. No play here, but this is an interesting game to watch with regards to the ACC Coastal.



For more insight on the odds, follow Matt on Twitter at @MidMajorMatt and find more of his picks and selections at Sportscapping.com where he handicaps college football and specializes in the Group of 5 (although the ACC is also in his wheelhouse). You can also listen to his show "Border to Border" from 11-Noon on ESPN 950 AM and 102.7 FM in Richmond.


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