Nova Predictions - Week 6 Action

Josh Gann, Staff Writer
Virginia Preps

Week 5 featured several marquee matchups between some of the best teams in the region. This week, some of those teams are on a bye week.

This week does not feature the same kinds of major matchups, but several winners from last week will look to extend their winning streaks...


Potomac Falls (3-2) at Stone Bridge (4-0):

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Stone Bridge will look to improve to 5-0 with a win against Potomac Falls this week. Stone Bridge has been remarkably dominant this season, and is coming off its most impressive win of the season, in which it blew out Champe. Stone Bridge remains the No. 1 team in Class 5, and has shown few weaknesses thus far this season. Receiver Daniel Thompson has been on a tear catching the football with 12 receptions for 372 yards and four touchdowns in the past two weeks, wins over Madison and Champe.

Potomac Falls dropped its first two games of the season Broad Run and Dominion, but has since won 3 straight games, and done so in convincing fashion. The Panthers boast a run-first offense, but going up against a very stout defense in Stone Bridge. Clemont Mpanya and Miles Lipscomb combined for 243 yards and two rushing touchdowns in last week's 31-15 victory over Freedom-South Riding.

If Potomac Falls has any chance, they will need to run a more balanced offense, or else this Stone Bridge defense - featuring a stout line anchored by Jack Kosko and Kellis Martin - will shut-down this running game quickly. I believe Stone Bridge will continue its dominance on both sides of the ball, and will roll over Potomac Falls.

Prediction: Stone Bridge 45, Potomac Falls 15


Madison (3-1) at South County (2-2)

Madison bounced back from its tough loss to Stone Bridge with a massive win against Washington-Lee last week, to bring its record to 4-1. South County won a ‘must-win’ type of game last week in a back-and-forth battle against Hayfield. Although Madison is in a much better position than South County is currently in, this is an important matchup for both teams. South County needs to pick up another win to get over .500, but this is the only test other than Stone Bridge that Madison has seen thus far.

Madison can put a lot of points on the board, and runs the ball a lot. This South County defense will need to put up a much better effort than they have been recently. The Warhawks will want to get the ball in the hands of playmakers like senior RB Casey Koshuta (75Car. 364Yds. 4TD's) and junior WR John Finney (17Rec. 287Yds.) as much as possible.

South County has been riding the success of quarterback Michael Tull and wide receiver Dillon Spalding, who scooped up an offer from Michigan earlier this month. Spalding's numbers in four games are insanely good with 23 receptions for 584 yards and eight touchdowns, plus five rushing scores, an interception on defense and a sack.

I believe that at home, the electric passing offense of South County will out-score Madison.

Prediction: South County 38, Madison 35


Hayfield (3-1) at Robinson (2-2)

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Nick Lucero/Rivals.com

Hayfield is coming off of a heartbreaking loss to South County, which was its first defeat of the season, dropping the team to 3-1. Robinson is coming off of a bye week, but suffered a close loss to T.C. Williams in its last game. Robinson was beaten badly in its first game of the season, but the Rams have played very well since then, scoring 103 points in wins over Chantilly and Annandale. .

After losing a game that it could have easily won to South County, Hayfield will need to get back on track this week. Slowing down the running of Jacquez Stewart and Reid Scarborough is essential for the Hawks, as is locating stud WR Brian Cobbs (Maryland commit) through the air offensively.

Hayfield possesses a very dynamic offense, with two explosive quarterbacks (Monty Byers and Trevor Gleason) who can air the ball out well, and playmakers at the running back and wide receiver positions. This could work well against a Robinson defense that has struggled at times. The Rams need a consistent pass rush to protect home turf and move to 3-2.

Even though Robinson has been playing much better recently, I believe Hayfield will earn a bounce-back win on the road this week.

Prediction: Hayfield 35, Robinson 20


West Potomac (3-1) at Centreville (4-1)

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Matthew Hatfield, VirginiaPreps.com

Centreville is coming off its best performance of the season, in which it beat undefeated South Lakes by keeping the Seahawks out of the end zone in the game's final two quarters on the road. West Potomac is coming off a bye week, but won its last game against Chantilly. The Wolverines haven't seen as much competition early in its season, losing its one true test against Madison. This team hasn’t wowed anyone at this point in the season, and now faces one of the elite teams in the area.

An opportunity to dictate the game in the trenches with their line play, anchored on the offensive side by Air Force commit Brock Assel and mammoth tackle Jackson Skule just might be there for the Wildcats in this one against a team that has some explosive similarities to their previous opponent, South Lakes.

The one chance West Potomac has in this one is to feed its workhorse Daiimon Cleveland (81Car. 573Yds. 6TD's) at running back, control the clock and keep the Centreville offense led by improving QB Presley Egbers off the field. However, Centreville’s defense is coming off its best performance of the season, in which it held, arguably, the best offense in the area that was averaging 44 points a contest to just 14 points.

It's doubtful that Centreville allows one-man to torch them, and I expect this team to get the job done on the offensive end with a solid performance from versatile ball carrier Bassie Kanu.

Prediction: Centreville 41, West Potomac 17


Tuscarora (4-1) at Rock Ridge (1-3)

Tuscarora has won 3 straight games since losing to Broad Run, improving to 4-1 on the season. It has done this with big wins against T.C. Williams and Woodgrove. Tuscarora seems to be in a groove at this point in the season. Rock Ridge has not seen the same success this season, and is coming off a blowout loss to Broad Run. Offensively, this team has improved over the past two games. However, this defense just can’t be trusted, surrendering over 37 points per game and now faces Mike Burnett's quick-strike Huskies.

Tuscarora has seen outstanding output form quarterback Justin Allen and from the backfield with Leron West. In the last two games, West has rushed for 510 yards and nine touchdowns, leading victories over Briar Woods and a Woodgrove team that is no slouch. This offense has been firing on all cylinders.

With this offense clicking the way it has been recently, and a Rock Ridge defense that has struggled all season, all signs point towards Tuscarora winning handily.

Prediction: Tuscarora 42, Rock Ridge 28


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Matthew Hatfield (VirginiaPreps.com)

Other Predictions:

· Yorktown 44, Chantilly 10

· Westfield 38, Patriot 17

· Woodgrove 51, Park View 17

· Freedom-Woodbridge 47, Hylton 44


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