NFL Week 11 picks, odds: Will 49ers avoid letdown vs. Jaguars?

·6 min read

Schrock's Week 11 picks: 49ers must avoid letdown vs. Jags originally appeared on NBC Sports Bayarea

  • Editor's note: All odds are provided by our partner, PointsBet. PointsBet is our Official Sports Betting Partner and we may receive compensation if you place a bet on PointsBet for the first time after clicking our links.

The syndicate had its worst week of the season in Week 10, going 4-10 with some picks that just weren't close.

The Atlanta Falcons got dumptrucked, the Colt McCoy fairy dust wore off and the Denver Broncos are exactly who we originally thought they were.

Of course, the 49ers, who were left for dead after their loss to the McCoy-led Cardinals, bounced back and boat raced the Los Angeles Rams because Kyle Shanahan just has Sean McVay's number.

We'll throw last week out and get back on the winning horse this week.

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Let's get to the picks and hope we can turn things around.

RECORD: 79-70 ATS (88-61 SU)

New England Patriots at Atlanta Falcons

Line: Patriots -6.5

The Falcons looked like cat puke last Sunday against the Cowboys and now they have a quick turnaround to face a red-hot Patriots team. Atlanta is worse than its 4-5 record and might be without Cordarelle Patterson. Take the Pats as long as it's under a touchdown.

Pick: Patriots 27, Falcons 18

Miami Dolphins at New York Jets

Line: Dolphins -3.5

The Mike White era is over, and Zach Wilson still isn’t ready, so the Jets are turning to Joe Flacco to face the blitz-happy Dolphins. Miami has won two in a row and should make it three easily.

Pick: Dolphin 26, Jets 17

New Orleans Saints at Philadelphia Eagles

Line: Eagles -1.5

Philadelphia has run the ball on three defenses that struggle to stop the ground attack. Now, they face the NFL’s best run defense in New Orleans. The Saints gave us a miracle cover against Tennessee last week, and I think they get it done on the field this week.

Pick: Saints 23, Eagles 20

Washington Football Team at Carolina Panthers

Line: Panthers -3

Cam Newton should get his first start back as a Panther after scoring two touchdowns in a supporting role in last Sunday’s win over the Cardinals. Washington will be without both of its starting defensive ends. Newton brings the juice and the Panthers #KeepPounding.

Pick: Panthers 23, WFT 17

Indianapolis Colts at Buffalo Bills

Line: Bills -7

Jonathan Taylor has been destroying every rush defense in his path, but the Bills present a different kind of challenge. Buffalo is allowing just 3.8 per rush this season. Can Carson Wentz make enough plays to pull off the upset? No, but he can do enough to cover as long as we leave the left-handed shovel passes in Indy.

Pick: Bills 30, Colts 24

Detroit Lions at Cleveland Browns

Line: Browns -11.5

The Browns need a win in the worst way after getting ripped apart by the Patriots. Detroit is coming off a hard-fought tie against the Mason Rudolph-led Steelers. It’s a bad spot for the kneecap hunters. Browns roll.

Pick: Browns 33, Lions 13

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings

Line: Packers -2

Green Bay has been a spread-covering machine this season. The Packers’ defense has been stout this season. They’ll turn Kirk Cousins over a couple times and leave the Twin Cities with a win.

Pick: Packers 27, Vikings 24

Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans

Line: Titans -10.5

After so many big wins, the Titans are due for a letdown. The Saints almost got them last week, and Tennessee faces the Patriots in Week 12. Classic lookahead spot. The Texans stink out loud, but they can keep it within 11.

Pick: Titans 27, Texans 17

Baltimore Ravens at Chicago Bears

Line: Ravens -5

Lamar Jackson and the Ravens looked putrid against the Dolphins last week. Last time we saw Justin Fields, the Bears rookie QB looked good against one of the NFL’s top defenses. The Ravens have some issues that aren’t easily fixed and their secondary is suspect in the tackling department. Give me the Bears.

Pick: Bears 24, Ravens 23 (UPSET PICK OF THE WEEK)

Cincinnati Bengals at Las Vegas Raiders

Line: Bengals -1

The wheels are coming off for the Silver and Black, and you can hardly blame the Raiders after the year they have had. The Bengals are off a bye and have had two weeks to think about the butt-whooping the Browns laid on them in Week 9. Joe Burrow has a field day against a suddenly leaky Raiders secondary.

Pick: Bengals 28, Raiders 24

Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks

Line: Cardinals -2

Are we sure Russell Wilson’s finger is OK? The Seahawks star looked awful in his return against the Packers, and now he faces a Cardinals team that was just mauled by the Panthers. Arizona should be getting Kyler Murray back. The Seahawks have to have this game, but I don’t think they can get the stops needed to pull it off.

Pick: Cardinals 27, Seahawks 24

Dallas Cowboys at Kansas City Chiefs

Line: Chiefs -2.5

Has Patrick Mahomes been fixed or are the Raiders just running on fumes? We’re about to find out in what should be a high-scoring affair at Arrowhead Stadium. Last quarterback with the ball wins. That’ll be Mahomes.

Pick: Chiefs 34, Cowboys 30

Pittsburgh Steelers at Los Angeles Chargers

Line: Chargers -5.5

This might as well be an away game for the Chargers. Steelers fans always travel well and they’ll flood SoFi for a primetime matchup. The Bolts haven’t looked right in a month, but Pittsburgh’s offense is an eyesore. Justin Herbert engineers a game-winning drive. The Chargers only play heart-attack specials.

Pick: Chargers 24, Steelers 21

New York Giants at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Line: Bucs -10.5

The Bucs have a bunch of issues on defense and Tom Brady put up a stinker last week against the Football Team. Tampa Bay’s secondary is still plagued with injuries and I don’t think they can get enough stops to cover this number. Bucs win, but Daniel Jones hangs around.

Pick: Bucs 28, Giants 23

49ers at Jacksonville Jaguars

Line: 49ers -6.5

Where did those 49ers come from? San Francisco picked up an impressive and much-needed win with a drubbing of the Rams on Monday night. But traveling east on a short week off an emotional win is a recipe for disaster. I don’t think the Jags are good enough to spring the upset, but they are good enough to be a thorn in Kyle Shanahan’s side on a sticky day in Duval.

Pick: 49ers 23, Jags 20

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