Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns – Open: -2.5; Move: -3
Pittsburgh lost quarterback Ben Roethlisberger (elbow) for the season in Week 2, yet at 5-4 SU (6-3 ATS) is in the mix for a playoff spot. The Steelers have won five of six SU and six of seven ATS in Roethlisberger’s absence, including a 17-12 victory over the Los Angeles Rams as 4-point home underdogs in Week 10.
Meanwhile, preseason darling Cleveland is having a miserable season, offset only slightly by a Week 10 win that halted an 0-4 SU and ATS skid. The Browns (3-6 SU, 2-6-1 ATS) got a late touchdown to edge Buffalo 19-16 and push as 3-point home favorites.
The line for this 8:20 p.m. ET game ticked up a notch Monday, to Browns -3, but that’s not indicative of where the action is tonight.
“The public is pounding the Steel Curtain in all of our seven states, both plus the points and on the moneyline,” Davis said. “Very little sharp action on either side. This won’t be a huge decision, but we figure to need the Browns pretty good tonight.”
The total at Caesars books opened at 40.5, dipped to 40 Monday, then steadily ticked up to 42 by this morning.
“Sharp and public money on the Over,” Davis said, noting most competitors are at 41.5. “We are one of the few 42s available, and there has been minimal interest on the Under. Five times as much money on the Over currently.”
Patrick Everson is a Las Vegas-based senior writer for Covers.com. Follow him on Twitter: @Covers_Vegas.