This projection shows how fast NFL playoff picture changes originally appeared on NBC Sports Philadelphia
At 4-8-1, there's no reasonable explanation for the Eagles to still be in the playoff hunt, but with three weeks to go and a surprising sliver momentum under their belt, they're not out yet.
Some Eagles fans might not be interested in a playoff push. But if you're still holding out hope, here's an example of just how fast things could swing in the Eagles' favor heading into Week 15.
Steve Kornacki, the big board and telestrator magician from election night, has been running playoff odds for NBC Sports for a few weeks now, and on Sunday night he took a look at the bizarre NFC playoff picture:
Here's the crucial part of Kornacki's segment for Eagles fans:
"Look at this, the No. 4 spot in the NFC that's going to go to the NFC East winner. It's now Washington. 6-7, and look at that number, a 71% chance of Washington making the playoffs. What's happened here? A week ago at this time, we were saying the Giants were taking control of the NFC East. But then Washington went out, they beat Pittsburgh, they beat San Francisco today, and the Giants lose to the Cardinals. So suddenly Washington a game up on the Giants, and a 71% shot of winning that division and getting that playoff berth."
Washington having a 71% chance of reaching the postseason feels pretty strong, considering the Eagles are in third in the NFC East.
But the playoff winds blow furiously at this time of year, and it feels like the Eagles still have a not-terrible shot at the postseason.
The Eagles face the Cardinals, a high-variance team this year; the Cowboys, the worst team in the NFC East; and then Washington, a team that is certainly on a roll but still feels beatable.
Washington hosts the always-difficult Seahawks next week, then faces an unpredictable Panthers team at home. If Washington wins one of those two games, odds are good they take the division. If they don't, that Week 17 game looms extremely large.
Elsewhere, the Giants have two solid AFC teams with playoff hopes, the Browns and the Ravens, before they face Dallas in Week 17. That could leave New York at 6-10.
If the Giants and Washington go winless in their next two games, and Jalen Hurts leads the Birds to wins in their next two games, the Eagles will head into Week 17 with a 6-8-1 record and the division on the line against Washington. A win (or another tie!) would put the Eagles in the postseason.
Because this is 2020.
Subscribe to the Eagle Eye podcast: