NFL GPP Pivots: Week 9

Spencer Limbach
·4 min read



Welcome to the NFL GPP Pivots article, where we’ll be looking to uncover some sneaky-good DFS plays away from the popular lifts. These recommendations are usually risk/reward commodities meant to be used in large-field tournaments. Typically, blending these low-owned hidden gems with well-aligned staples contributes to a viable GPP strategy.

Keep in mind that the following player write-ups were constructed earlier in the week, and sometimes injury situations can alter the fantasy landscape. Monitoring our NFL News & Headlines Feed up until game time will keep you in the loop while giving you the subsequent DFS consequences of each information piece.

We will be looking at the Sunday main slate, meaning the Sunday night game is not included in the following analysis.

QUARTERBACK

Justin Herbert - LA Chargers (vs. Las Vegas) - DK: $6,800 FD: $7,900 Yahoo: $36

There are 11 total games on Sunday’s main slate, and six of them have an over/under above 50 points. The Chargers-Raiders matchup is included in that mix, and we should see plenty of fantasy points from both sides. Rookie QB Justin Herbert has been fantastic while averaging 27 FPPG through six games on the year. He hasn’t fallen below 20 FP in any contest, and a date with the Raiders (8th most fantasy points to QBs) lends itself to fantasy upside. With plenty of QBs to choose from in Sunday’s loaded slate, I’m expecting Herbert to have a moderate backing despite stepping into an encouraging matchup.

Also Consider: Jake Luton, Matthew Stafford (if playing)

RUNNING BACK

J.K. Dobbins - Baltimore (at Indianapolis) - DK: $4,900 FD: $5,300 Yahoo: $18

At the time of writing this (Friday AM), Mark Ingram is highly questionable for Sunday’s contest. If he’s ruled out (as expected), then the newly-minted Ohio State product, J.K. Dobbins, will see a larger workload. That was the case last week, as Dobbins posted 121 total yards on 17 touches against a tough Pittsburgh defense. Sunday’s matchup at Indianapolis doesn’t look great on paper, but the Ravens definitely want to run the ball, and Dobbins could be the centerpiece of that gameplan. Keep an eye on the rookie in large-field tournaments, assuming that Ingram won’t play.

Antonio Gibson - Washington (vs. NY Giants) - DK: $5,800 FD: $6,200 Yahoo: $21

Let’s go ahead and talk about another rookie RB, as Antonio Gibson has been tearing up the fantasy scene lately. The Washington RB has produced 22 FP in two of his past four outings, although there are a few 10 FP disappointments mixed in there. One of those “down” performances came against the Giants, who Gibson will face off against on Sunday. However, I believe the rookie can get the best of New York this time around, as game flow could be on his side. That was the case last week, as Gibson broke off 128 yards on 20 carries with a rushing touchdown to boot. We could see a similar showing on Sunday.

Also Consider: David Montgomery, Justin Jackson

WIDE RECEIVER

Jerry Jeudy - Denver (at Atlanta) - DK: $4,700 FD: $5,700 Yahoo: $16

Let’s keep the rookie theme going with Denver’s big-play receiver. Courtland Sutton is on injured reserve, and Tim Patrick is questionable with a hamstring injury. Patrick did not play last week, and Jeudy saw a season-high 10 targets (4-73) as a result. Obviously we would like Jeudy’s DFS prospects a little more if Patrick was ruled out, but I believe the former Alabama WR can make some noise either way. Most of that revolves around a plum matchup against the Falcons, who have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing receivers this season. Playing in a dome within this potential shootout doesn’t hurt either.

Danny Amendola - Detroit (at Minnesota) - DK: $3,700 FD: $5,300 Yahoo: $13

Kenny Golladay is doubtful to play on Sunday. That should translate to more work for peripheral receivers like Marvin Hall and Danny Amendola. I’m looking towards the latter as a cheap tournament filler against a Minnesota defense that has been suspect against the pass all season. Amendola was pretty mediocre despite Golladay’s departure last week, but it’s worth noting that the veteran WR saw seven targets in each of Detroit’s first two games - and Golladay didn’t play in either of those.

Also Consider: Justin Jefferson, Mike Williams

TIGHT END

Darren Waller - Las Vegas (at LA Chargers) - DK: $5,800 FD: $6,400 Yahoo: $23

Waller makes for a terrific “bring back” option when looking towards Justin Herbert in tournaments. The Chargers have been easier on tight ends than receivers this season, as LAC has allowed the 10th most fantasy points to the former. That’s where QB Derek Carr concentrates his volume anyway, and Waller could end up with a special performance on Sunday. The Las Vegas tight end isn’t cheap, but I’m willing to spend for a chance at his upside. By looking towards some of the bargain options of this article, you can easily make that a reality.

Also Consider: Trey Burton