NFL GPP Pivots: Week 8

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Welcome to the NFL GPP Pivots article, where we’ll be looking to uncover some sneaky-good DFS plays away from the popular lifts. These recommendations are usually risk/reward commodities meant to be used in large-field tournaments. Typically, blending these low-owned hidden gems with well-aligned staples contributes to a viable GPP strategy.

Keep in mind that the following player write-ups were constructed earlier in the week, and sometimes injury situations can alter the fantasy landscape. Monitoring our NFL News & Headlines Feed up until game time will keep you in the loop while giving you the subsequent DFS consequences of each information piece.

We will be looking at Sunday’s main slate, so Sunday and Monday Night Football are not included in the following analysis.

QUARTERBACK

Matt Ryan - Atlanta (vs. Carolina) - DK: $5,900 FD: $7,200 Yahoo: $24

Ryan has been decent from a fantasy point of view this season. He started out rough, but it appears the veteran is back on track with a 23 FPPG mark over his last three. That should continue against a Carolina team that seems to be imploding. In recent games, the Panthers let Kirk Cousins throw for 373 yards and three scores while Jalen Hurts posted 24 fantasy points against them. Ryan should see enough volume to put up quality numbers in this one, as the Falcons don’t have much of a rushing attack. In fact, Atlanta has a top ten passing rate at 63.84%. That gives Ryan more chances to beef up his fantasy score in a nice matchup.

Also Consider: Jalen Hurts

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RUNNING BACK

James Robinson - Jacksonville (at Seattle) - DK: $6,600 FD: $8,200 Yahoo: $30

Robinson is so impressive. His team isn’t very good, but he consistently gets his numbers. That has resulted in 18+ fantasy points through four straight games. He doesn’t seem to care about game flow either. Because of the recent success, Robinson’s salary has jumped dramatically. I’m guessing DFS enthusiasts will stay away from the premium acquisition cost. Still, this is a great matchup for Robinson to come through with his usual 20-25 fantasy points. Seattle has allowed the second-most fantasy points against the run.

Khalil Herbert - Chicago (vs. San Francisco) - DK: $5,400 FD: $6,500 Yahoo: $19

I’m trying not to overreact to a small sample size, but Herbert has been very impressive. He posted 112 total yards and a score against the Packers, then went for 133 total yards on 23 touches against the Bucs. Nobody has been able to run on Tampa this season, and Herbert topped the century mark against them. While this week’s matchup against San Francisco doesn’t look great on paper, Herbert should still see plenty of volume to cobble together a strong fantasy showing. His projected 20-25 touches with goal-line looks can go a long way.

Also Consider: Kenneth Gainwell, Joe Mixon, David Johnson (cheap filler)

WIDE RECEIVER

DeVonta Smith - Philadelphia (at Detroit) - DK: $5,500 FD: $6,200 Yahoo: $16

Smith has had two nice games this season, but the rookie has been pretty inconsistent from a fantasy standpoint. Correction: Philadelphia’s passing game has been inconsistent. Even more so: the Eagles overall have been a rollercoaster team. Still, Smith has topped seven or more targets in five of seven games this year. He’s the top receiver in this offense with a matchup against one of the worst defenses in the NFL: Detroit. Can you say breakout?

Marquez Callaway - New Orleans (vs. Tampa Bay) - DK: $5,400 FD: $5,900 Yahoo: $17

Callaway is still the WR1 in this offense with Michael Thomas out. There’s a wide range of fantasy outcomes here, but I’m guessing we’ll see Callaway’s good side with the Saints trying to beat Tampa through the air. Callaway couldn’t do much in the rain at Seattle last week, but he still saw seven targets. We can’t forget that he came through with a sweet 4-85-2 line on eight targets vs. Washington the previous game. I’m willing to bet he’s closer to that form on Sunday.

Also Consider: Emmanuel Sanders, Quez Watkins, DJ Moore

TIGHT END

Kyle Pitts - Atlanta (vs. Carolina) - DK: $6,300 FD: $6,800 Yahoo: $21

Will Kyle Pitts be popular on Sunday? Probably. Do I think it matters? Not really. By nature, tight ends aren’t going to be as popular as the top running backs and receivers because people only play one in their lineup. If you stack Pitts with his QB, then you are making your lineup even more unique. The rookie TE has grown into a hearty role over the past few weeks, and there’s no reason to expect a slowdown against this reeling Carolina team … If you are looking for a super-sneaky TE, then Tommy Sweeney is a dirt-cheap throw of the dart as he’s filling in for Dawson Knox.

Also Consider: Tommy Sweeney