Welcome to the NFL GPP Pivots article, where we’ll be looking to uncover some sneaky-good DFS plays away from the popular lifts. These recommendations are usually risk/reward commodities meant to be used in large-field tournaments. Typically, blending these low-owned hidden gems with well-aligned staples contributes to a viable GPP strategy.
Keep in mind that the following player write-ups were constructed earlier in the week, and sometimes injury situations can alter the fantasy landscape. Monitoring our NFL News & Headlines Feed up until game time will keep you in the loop while giving you the subsequent DFS consequences of each information piece.
We will be looking at the Sunday main slate, meaning the Sunday night game is not included in the following analysis.
Cam Newton - New England (vs. Denver) - DK: $6,500 FD: $8,000 Yahoo: $33
I have mentioned this in recent weeks, but you don’t have to get overly sneaky at the quarterback position. You can only play one per lineup, which usually tames down the exposure in large-field tournaments. Speaking to that, I’m thinking people could overlook Cam Newton on Sunday. Denver has had a solid defense in the past, but they are allowing the seventh-most fantasy points to opposing QBs so far in 2020. The last time we saw Newton, he disappointed against the Raiders. Then he missed some time with a positive COVID-19 test. DFS enthusiasts might take a wait-and-see approach with Newton, but I believe this is a matchup to pounce on. We all know Cam has extraordinary DFS upside that is enhanced by his rushing ability, and that could come into play against the Broncos.
Aaron Jones - Green Bay (at Tampa Bay) - DK: $7,600 FD: $8,500 Yahoo: $40
It’s hard to gauge how popular Jones will be in large-field tournaments. I’m thinking the public will be underweight on him due to a perceived difficult matchup against the Buccaneers. However, Tampa hasn’t faced a threatening rushing attack in recent weeks. They played against RBs Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara earlier this season, allowing a pair of touchdowns to both of them. Jones could realistically find paydirt twice as well, and he has the highest upside of any running back in Sunday’s main slate.
James Robinson - Jacksonville (vs. Detroit) - DK: $6,800 FD: $6,500 Yahoo: $26
People will flock to passing game options from both sides of this matchup, but don’t forget about RB James Robinson. The Lions have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to running backs this season, and Robinson has been efficient with his carries up to this point. He has a monopoly on the Jacksonville backfield, priming him for 20+ touches that include receptions and goal-line carries. Robinson has a pair of 20+ FP showings on the season, and this matchup could inspire another.
Justin Jefferson - Minnesota (vs. Atlanta) - DK: $6,000 FD: $5,900 Yahoo: $17
I really like Jefferson as a tournament pivot. Most people will hop on the Alexander Mattison train, as he’s an obvious DFS bargain while filling in for Dalvin Cook. On top of that, Adam Thielen will likely be the most popular receiver from Minnesota, especially with him coming off a big performance. The rookie, Jefferson, has already showcased big-play ability, and he’ll be facing an extremely suspect Atlanta pass defense. Sure, the salary has jumped for Jefferson, but he’s still a fantastic tournament pivot for single entry and multi-entry tournaments.
Marquise Brown - Baltimore (at Philadelphia) - DK: $6,500 FD: $6,300 Yahoo: $19
Brown and Jefferson are similar in a lot of ways. Both are big-play receivers who sometimes get overlooked because of the run-first nature of their offensive schemes. Brown is coming off his best game of the year, translating 10 targets into six receptions, 77 yards, and a touchdown. Now he’ll face a Philadelphia defense that was destroyed by Pittsburgh rookie WR Chase Claypool. In other words, I wouldn’t be surprised if Brown replicated his 6-77-1 line from last Sunday, and there’s potentially room for more.
Tim Patrick - Denver (at New England) - DK: $5,400 FD: $5,400 Yahoo: $13
Yes, the matchup looks rough, but there’s a lot to like about Tim Patrick this weekend. He’s a cheap WR3 filler who has stepped up with Courtland Sutton out for the season. Patrick is fresh off a nice 6-113-1 outing against the Jets, marking his second-straight game with a touchdown. Making matters better, Patrick could get QB Drew Lock (questionable) back this week. Also, TE Noah Fant is questionable, and his absence (or limited snaps) would condense the Denver passing tree even more. No matter how you slice it, Patrick should see plenty of targets to return solid DFS value.
Trey Burton - Indianapolis (vs. Cincinnati) - DK: $3,100 FD: $4,700 Yahoo: $10
I believe Trey Burton can be used as a value filler in cash games as well as tournaments. The Colts’ tight end is back in action, coming through with five catches for 33 yards (6 targets) last week. Like most tight ends, Burton will depend on touchdowns to return satisfying DFS value. He should continue to see healthy targets with Philip Rivers as his QB, and Burton could find paydirt in this non-imposing matchup.
Also Consider: Eric Ebron