Welcome to the NFL GPP Pivots article, where we’ll be looking to uncover some sneaky-good DFS plays away from the popular lifts. These recommendations are usually risk/reward commodities meant to be used in large-field tournaments. Typically, blending these low-owned hidden gems with well-aligned staples contributes to a viable GPP strategy.
Keep in mind that the following player write-ups were constructed earlier in the week, and sometimes injury situations can alter the fantasy landscape. Monitoring our NFL News & Headlines Feed up until game time will keep you in the loop while giving you the subsequent DFS consequences of each information piece.
We will be looking at the Sunday main slate, meaning the Sunday night game is not included in the following analysis.
At the time of writing this article (Friday afternoon), there hasn’t been any indication that the Cardinals-Jets matchup will be postponed. Keep an eye on that, as a New York player has reportedly tested positive for COVID-19 … Assuming this matchup plays, I really like Kyler Murray as a tournament quarterback. You don’t have to get too sneaky at the QB position because limiting one per lineup dilutes the DFS contingency naturally. We know that Murray has outstanding fantasy upside that is enhanced by his rushing ability. QBs like Dak Prescott, Deshaun Watson, Lamar Jackson, and Teddy Bridgewater (cheap) will likely be popular - so I don’t mind pivoting to Murray’s upside in a non-imposing matchup with the Jets.
Todd Gurley II - Atlanta (vs. Carolina) - DK: $7,500 FD: $6,600 Yahoo: $
Gurley depends on touchdowns to reach fantasy value, so there’s plenty of risk associated with that. However, the veteran finds himself in a nice matchup against the Panthers, who have allowed the second-most fantasy points to running backs. Gurley hasn’t inherited positive game scripts all season for the winless Falcons, and this could be the first time where matchup, volume, and fantasy production all converge.
Freeman is an interesting FLEX play in tournaments. He’s cheap while helping fill in for Saquon Barkley. Freeman saw 15 touches last week, and he should be in line for another 15-20 touches at Dallas on Sunday. I’m thinking the Giants will move the ball better than they have all season against a struggling Cowboys’ defense, which should present multiple red-zone opportunities. Most people will be looking towards the NYG passing attack, but Freeman could benefit with a couple of scores if the Giants consistently move the ball downfield.
DeVante Parker - Miami (at San Francisco) - DK: $5,800 FD: $6,600 Yahoo: $25
Parker was in this column last week, and he came through with a nice 10-110 line on 12 targets. I’m expecting him to keep seeing double-digit targets, which is something that can propel him to even higher fantasy expectations. Facing San Francisco seems like a tough matchup on paper, but the 49ers will be dealing with a makeshift defensive secondary (and D-Line), so keep that in the back of your mind. It’s entirely possible for Parker to take advantage of this draw.
Darius Slayton - NY Giants (at Dallas) - DK: $5,700 FD: $6,500 Yahoo: $
It’s obvious that we should attack the Cowboys’ pass defense. However, I’m not convinced that Slayton will be especially popular in tournaments. Sure, people love picking on Dallas, but it’s not like they are stumbling over themselves to click Daniel Jones and his weapons into their lineups. Slayton was excellent in Week 1 (6-102-2), but he hasn’t had more than three receptions since then. He’s still seeing a respectable amount of targets, so he’s a prime bounce-back candidate while finally drawing a winnable matchup … Just to be clear, I’m advising one of Devonta Freeman or Darius Slayton in your tournament lineup but not both of them on the same roster.
Tyler Higbee - LA Rams (at Washington) - DK: $7,400 FD: $7,400 Yahoo: $
Higbee’s game log reads similarly to Slayton’s - meaning he had one outlier performance early in the season followed by numerous duds. Higbee went for 5-54-3 at Philadelphia in Week 2, but he’s averaging 3-35 in his other three games. This could be another breakout spot for the Rams’ tight end, as he’s facing a Washington team that has allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to that position. Dallas Goedert posted a huge line (8-101-1), and Mark Andrews hauled in two touchdowns against WFT last week. It isn’t off the wall to think Higbee could be next in line.
Also Consider: Eric Ebron