Welcome to the NFL GPP Pivots article, where we’ll be looking to uncover some sneaky-good DFS plays away from the popular lifts. These recommendations are usually risk/reward commodities meant to be used in large-field tournaments. Typically, blending these low-owned hidden gems with well-aligned staples contributes to a viable GPP strategy.
Keep in mind that the following player write-ups were constructed earlier in the week, and sometimes injury situations can alter the fantasy landscape. Monitoring our NFL News & Headlines Feed up until game time will keep you in the loop while giving you the subsequent DFS consequences of each information piece.
We will be looking at the Sunday main slate, meaning the Sunday night game is not included in the following analysis.
Rostering Trubisky is never fun, but I believe he can post another sneaky-good fantasy line. A fourth-quarter comeback against the Lions helped him gather 24 FP last Sunday, and this week’s home matchup against the Giants looks good. Ben Roethlisberger was able to efficiently toss three touchdowns against New York on Monday Night Football, and now NYG will travel to Chicago on a shortened week. You can stack Trubisky with Allen Robinson, Anthony Miller, and/or Jimmy Graham - listed in order of preference.
Todd Gurley II - Atlanta (at Dallas) - DK: $6,100 FD: $7,000 Yahoo: $24
Gurley was decent in his debut with the Falcons, taking 14 carries for 56 yards and a touchdown. He also caught two of five targets. The veteran RB was phased out of the gameplan with Atlanta played from behind in the second half. A closer game at Dallas this weekend could result in more touches and overall fantasy production for Gurley. The Cowboys let Malcolm Brown of the rams run all over them (110 total yards, 2 TD) last Sunday night, and Gurley could find similar success in Week 2.
Mostert looked great last Sunday, racking up 56 rushing yards (15 carries) along with 95 receiving yards (4 catches, 5 targets) and a score. Despite that production, he could be somewhat underrated for DFS Week 2. I’m expecting most people to play “chalkier” RBs like Derrick Henry, Jonathan Taylor, Ezekiel Elliott, and (maybe) Kenyon Drake. In other words, there are numerous backs with great matchups and several others in value spots while stepping up for injury situations. That could leave a guy like Mostert with less support through all DFS formats, and game flow should be on his side against the Jets.
Stefon Diggs - Buffalo (at Miami) - DK: $6,500 FD: $6,800 Yahoo: $25
The Bills threw the ball 46 times last week despite holding a lead throughout most of the game. Were they trying to attack a vulnerable Jets’ pass defense, or will Josh Allen be dropping back more this season? Time will tell, but I’m expecting the Allen-Diggs combination to get better as the season goes along. Diggs’ matchup at Miami isn’t quite as good this time around, but he’s an elite playmaker who Buffalo will obviously try to feature in their offense. He went for 8-86 last week, and that came without the big-play upside that we’ve grown accustomed to over the years. It seems that Diggs’ floor could rise in Buffalo, and he always carries upside in his back pocket.
T.Y. Hilton - Indianapolis (vs. Minnesota) - DK: $5,700 FD: $6,300 Yahoo: $21
Most people will be looking towards Colts WR Parris Campbell for value on this slate, as we took nine targets for a 6-71 line in the season opener. However, don’t forget about Hilton, who had 4-53 on nine targets, a line that could’ve been bigger if it wasn’t for a few drops. Hilton is a veteran receiver who should bounce-back, and he’ll look to get it done against a vulnerable Minnesota secondary that was torched by the Packers last weekend.
Chris Herndon - NY Jets (vs. San Francisco) - DK: $3,400 FD: $5,100 Yahoo: $12
The Jets’ offense is in trouble. They’ll square off against a tough San Francisco defense while losing playmakers Le’Veon Bell and Jamison Crowder. Game flow should force New York to throw, and Herndon should see plenty of targets as Sam Darnold’s safety blanket. The Jets’ tight end was targeted seven times at Buffalo last Sunday, and that number could certainly rise with the other pass-catchers sidelined. Add it all up, and I don’t mind Herndon as a cheap filler through all formats.
Also Consider: Jimmy Graham, OJ Howard