Welcome to the NFL GPP Pivots article, where we’ll be looking to uncover some sneaky-good DFS plays away from the popular lifts. These recommendations are usually risk/reward commodities meant to be used in large-field tournaments. Typically, blending these low-owned hidden gems with well-aligned staples contributes to a viable GPP strategy.
Keep in mind that the following player write-ups were constructed earlier in the week, and sometimes injury situations can alter the fantasy landscape. Monitoring our NFL News & Headlines Feed up until game time will keep you in the loop while giving you the subsequent DFS consequences of each information piece.
We will be looking at the Sunday main slate, meaning the Sunday night game is not included in the following analysis.
Would you like the bad news or good news first? Okay, here’s the bad news: Goff has turned out pedestrian showings of 16-17 fantasy points over the past three weeks. He doesn’t offer any rushing upside, and his fantasy floor rests around 10-11 FP … Now for the good news: Goff is underpriced due to that recent mediocrity. He could break out against a generous Seattle defense that has allowed the most fantasy points to QBs this season. I’m not expecting Goff to be super-popular despite the matchup potential, as his fantasy profile and recent game log will scare some people away. Keep an eye on him in tournaments.
James Robinson - Jacksonville (at Green Bay) - DK: $6,600 FD: $7,300 Yahoo: $28
Robinson has posted 15+ fantasy points in three straight games, including a 35 FP breakout against the Chargers in Week 7. Now he’ll face a Green Bay defense that has allowed the second-most fantasy points to running backs this season. Robinson’s salary has risen due to those impressive showings, and game flow isn’t expected to be on his side. Those two factors could make him less popular in DFS tournaments this week. However, this is a tasty matchup for Robinson, and you better believe he’ll see plenty of opportunities. The Jaguars want him to pace the offense with Jake Luton at quarterback.
Leonard Fournette - Tampa Bay (at Carolina) - DK: $5,500 FD: $6,400 Yahoo: $21
The Bucs absolutely flopped against New Orleans last week, and the running game was nonexistent. Tampa Bay should get back to a normal game script against the Panthers on Sunday, and that would greatly benefit Leonard Fournette. The veteran RB will continue to see a handful of targets in the passing game while reasonably getting 12-15 rushing attempts as well. Fournette piled up 97 and 71 total yards respectively in his last two games before the collapse last week. He could get back to that range with a chance to post additional upside by reaching paydirt.
Robert Woods - LA Rams (vs. Seattle) - DK: $6,600 FD: $7,200 Yahoo: $31
I already mentioned how the Rams passing attack finds themselves in a beautiful matchup against Seattle. Cooper Kupp will be the popular choice to take advantage after he saw a whopping 20 targets (!) last game. However, Robert Woods came away with two touchdowns and 94 total yards in that contest. You can certainly pair either (or both) with Goff in tournaments, but I’m leaning towards Woods as the better leverage play of the two. It’s nice that he’ll see a few rushing attempts to boot.
Curtis Samuel - Carolina (vs. Tampa Bay) - DK: $4,900 FD: $5,700 Yahoo: $16
Speaking of wide receivers with rushing upside, Samuel has been on quite a tear lately. He has posted two rushing touchdowns and two receiving touchdowns over the past three weeks, topping that off with nine catches for 109 yards at Kansas City last Sunday. His salary is more than attainable despite that recent productivity. Better yet, I’m not expecting Samuel to be very popular, as his teammate - Mike Davis - will steal the limelight as one of the better values of the week. The matchup against Tampa Bay doesn’t look great on paper, but Samuel is such a dynamic receiver who will get his chances.
Evan Engram - NY Giants (vs. Philadelphia) - DK: $4,500 FD: $5,600 Yahoo: $16
I say this every week, but popularity matters less for QBs and TEs. You only roster one of each, which tends to make these positions less concentrated compared to RB/WR. Engram will probably be the third-to-fifth most popular TE on Sunday, but his contingency should be far less than 10%. He has seen nine or more targets in three straight games, coming through with a serviceable 5-48-1 line last week. If Engram finally posts an efficient game, then we could really see some slate-breaking upside. That could happen against a Philadelphia team that has allowed the third-most fantasy points to TEs this season.