Welcome to the NFL GPP Pivots article, where we’ll be looking to uncover some sneaky-good DFS plays away from the popular lifts. These recommendations are usually risk/reward commodities meant to be used in large-field tournaments. Typically, blending these low-owned hidden gems with well-aligned staples contributes to a viable GPP strategy.
Keep in mind that the following player write-ups were constructed earlier in the week, and sometimes injury situations can alter the fantasy landscape. Monitoring our NFL News & Headlines Feed up until game time will keep you in the loop while giving you the subsequent DFS consequences of each information piece.
We will be looking at the Sunday main slate, meaning Thursday, Sunday, and Monday night games are not included in the following analysis.
Rostering Jones in your DFS lineup may cause nausea, but the rookie has some capable upside to give us a leg-up in tournaments. He should hold a fairly low ownership rate to go along with this agreeable salary. His matchup against the Jets looks good too, as NYJ funnels production to the passing game (6th vs. run, 24th vs. pass). Jones was able to cash in on a promising draw two weeks ago (28 FP at DET), and hopefully he can rekindle that upside in this well-aligned matchup.
Derrick Henry - Tennessee (vs. Kansas City)
Henry was mentioned in this spot last week, and he came through with 23 fantasy points at Carolina. The Tennessee RB should continue to hold a lower-than-deserved ownership rate, as he’s more of a “plodder” who doesn’t see much production in the receiving game. I’m expecting the Titans to center their offense around Henry once again, as that’s the best way to attack this Kansas City defense. In fact, the Chiefs have allowed the third-most fantasy points to opposing running backs, leaving the door open for Henry to cash in.
David Montgomery - Chicago (vs. Detroit)
Montgomery had high expectations entering the season, but he was labeled a fantasy bust after his first six games as a pro. However, it seems like the rookie is finally hitting his stride, notching 23 and 21 fantasy points respectively (half PPR) over the last two games. Sure, he’s somewhat dependent on finding the end-zone, but that’s not a terrible thing considering a matchup with the Lions - who rank 27th in rushing defense while allowing the most fantasy points to running backs. Despite the juicy matchup, Montgomery could have a relatively modest ownership rate of around 10%. The RB position is crowded this week, and Montgomery could get lost in the shuffle.
Golden Tate - NY Giants (at NY Jets)
Tate has been somewhat modest from a fantasy production standpoint over the last few weeks. However, he continues to see targets (36 over four weeks) for the Giants. He’ll continue to serve as NYG’s top true wide receiver, especially with Evan Engram sidelined. As mentioned earlier, the Jets funnel yardage through the air, ranking 25th in DVOA to the pass.
Robby Anderson - NY Jets (vs. NY Giants)
Anderson is a true roll of the dice, but it’s only a matter of time until he comes through with a monster stat-line. Taking on a Giants Defense that has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing receivers could make that happen. There’s some shootout potential in this clash of New York teams, and I’m not afraid to stack pieces from both sides in tournaments.
Rhett Ellison - NY Giants (at NY Jets)
Let’s keep with the theme here. Ellison is dirt-cheap on DFS sites, and he’ll be promoted to a larger workload with Evan Engram sidelined. Sure, he doesn’t have nearly the receiving skills of Engram, but this is more about opportunity than anything. Ellison started against the Patriots earlier this season, seeing seven targets (3-30) in that game. He could translate that into satisfying fantasy production in a better matchup with the Jets.
Also Consider: Gerald Everett