NFL DFS Single Games: TNF Week 10

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Here we go with the Single Game NFL DFS slate for Thursday Night Football of Week 10. Today’s matchup is between the Ravens and Dolphins with Baltimore checking in as a 7.5 point road favorite. The over/under currently rests at 46.5 total points. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 ET.

We’ll highlight the top picks and best bargains to assemble a cash-inducing lineup. On top of that, the “additional notes” section will feature several tournament selections while adding context to the rest of this slate.

We will be producing these articles for Thursday, Sunday, and Monday Night Football matchups, so be sure to bookmark the NBC Sports EDGE DFS Page for those occasions - not to mention all the other fantastic daily fantasy content.

TOP PICKS

Lamar Jackson - QB - Baltimore (DK: $13,800 / FD: $17,500 / Yahoo: $39)

This recommendation doesn’t need much analysis. Jackson is easily the best fantasy pick of this single game slate, and it’s not even close. The Baltimore QB has rekindled his MVP upside with a steady 25 FPPG mark this season. That includes 33+ fantasy points in three contests as well, including a sweet 386 yard showing (120 rushing yards) with three touchdowns last week against Minnesota. Now Jackson will face a Miami team that has allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to QBs this season. Go ahead and take him in your top spot through all formats.

Jaylen Waddle - WR - Miami (DK: $8,200 / FD: $12,000 / Yahoo: $17)

Game flow suggests that Miami will need to throw the ball tonight, and Waddle is their top receiver. That’s especially true with Will Fuller and DeVante Parker out. Waddle has seen double-digit targets in three of his last four games, catching more than seven passes with 70+ yards in three of those. The rookie WR is a fine mid-range pick through all formats on this slate, regardless of who is throwing him the ball.

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BEST BARGAINS

Justin Tucker - K - Baltimore (DK: $4,000 / FD: $9,000 / Yahoo: N/A)

Stacking the Baltimore offense isn’t a bad idea tonight, and that includes giving Justin Tucker a strong look. Placing Tucker alongside Jackson in the same lineup essentially secures almost all of the Ravens’ scoring opportunities in this game. Also, Tucker is a stronger fantasy producer than most of the other options around the $4,000 salary range on DraftKings.

Durham Smythe - TE - Miami (DK: $1,800 / FD: $6,000 / Yahoo: $10)

Smythe is a dirt-cheap filler who you hope can come through with something of fantasy significance. He’s probably a better pick on DraftKings than FanDuel and Yahoo. You can look towards Mack Hollins as a cheap filler on those other two sites. However, Smythe is extremely cheap on DK despite averaging four targets, three receptions, and 41 yards over his last three games. That’s not a bad baseline, and Smythe will continue to get looks for the shorthanded Miami receiving corps.

TOURNAMENT LOOKS

Sammy Watkins - WR - Baltimore (DK: $5,600 / FD: $7,500 / Yahoo: $16)

Watkins has missed some time with a thigh injury, but he’s expected to return tonight. I’m assuming most people have forgotten about him, and he’ll probably be ignored for fantasy purposes. However, the matchup against Miami (3rd most FP to WRs) looks great. According to Chris Allen’s TNF preview article, more than 50% of passing touchdowns against Miami came inside. That sets up well for Andrews and Watkins.

ADDITIONAL NOTES

Jacoby Brissett (QB - MIA) will probably start again tonight. He’s not an exciting fantasy option, but there’s merit in selecting a high-volume QB with game flow on his side. Mike Gesicki (TE - MIA) is another capable option along the same lines as Waddle, who was mentioned earlier. Baltimore has allowed the second-most fantasy points to TEs this season.

Myles Gaskin (RB - MIA) saw a large workload last week: 20 carries, 34 yards, 1 TD, 6 targets, 6 receptions, 23 yards. The efficiency could be much better, but it’s nice to see him absorbing this level of volume with Malcolm Brown out. The Ravens have allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to RBs this season … Salvon Ahmed (RB - MIA) is a cheap filler who serves as Gaskin’s backup. You are essentially rolling the dice on Ahmed breaking a big play or finding the end-zone while probably only seeing a handful of touches.

Mark Andrews (TE - BAL) is a great stacking extension of Jackson tonight. Marquise Brown (WR - BAL) has been the top pass catcher for Baltimore over the last few weeks, but this draw sets up nicely for Andrews, as the Dolphins’ pass coverage is much softer in the middle of the field. Rashod Bateman (WR - BAL) has seen six or more targets in three straight games. However, his price is climbing, and the return of Watkins could negatively impact his volume.

Devonta Freeman (RB - BAL) appears to be the lead back for Baltimore with Latavius Murray out. He’ll share carries with Le’Veon Bell (RB - BAL). Freeman is a nice play through all formats with game flow on his side. Bell makes for an interesting tournament pick while hoping he can take one of his 10 touches into the end-zone (similar to last game).