Here we go with the Single Game NFL DFS slate for Thursday Night Football of Week 10. Tonight’s matchup is between the Colts and Titans with the line set as a pick’em. The over/under currently rests at 48.5 total points.
We’ll highlight the top picks and best bargains to assemble a cash-inducing lineup. On top of that, the “additional notes” section will feature several tournament selections while adding context to the rest of this slate.
We will be producing these articles for Thursday and Monday primetime matchups every week, so be sure to bookmark the Rotoworld Daily page for those occasions - not to mention all the other fantastic daily fantasy content.
Derrick Henry - RB - Tennessee (DK: $10,800 / FD: $15,500)
The matchup doesn’t look great, as Indianapolis ranks second-best in fantasy points allowed to running backs. However, Derrick Henry is arguably the best RB in the league, and he’ll probably see 25+ touches in this primetime tilt. That gives him the highest projection of the slate as well as viability in your MVP/CPT spots. The last time Henry faced the Colts (12/1/19), he busted loose for 166 total yards and a touchdown on 29 touches. That type of upside isn’t out of the picture tonight.
Philip Rivers - QB - Indianapolis (DK: $9,800 / FD: $12,500)
Philip Rivers isn’t a fun play in DFS, but we need to take what this single-game slate gives us. The veteran QB has produced 22-28 fantasy points in two of his last three outings, and tonight’s meeting with the Titans doesn’t look too shabby (TEN has allowed 13th most FP to QB). The Colts don’t have much of a running game at this point in the season, as they rely on Rivers to move the chains with short passes ... Forget about his flop last week against the Ravens, I’m expecting Rivers to bounce-back nicely in this non-imposing draw.
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Anthony Firkser - TE - Tennessee (DK: $2,200 / FD: $6,500)
Firkser is much better on DraftKings than FanDuel. He serves as a value filler on DK, helping fill out a viable lineup through all formats. While Jonnu Smith is the more talented TE in Tennessee (from a pass-catching standpoint), Firkser has actually out-targeted him 20 to 10 over the last four games. That includes Firkser’s sweet 8-113-1 line against Houston. While somewhere in the neighborhood of 4-45 seems more likely, it’s nice to know that Firkser has some upside in his back pocket.
Marcus Johnson - WR - Indianapolis (DK: $5,200 / FD: $6,500)
Johnson is essentially a similar version of Firkser over on FanDuel. He’s underpriced on FD when considering his 19 targets over the past three games. Johnson has only hauled in nine of those looks, but he broke out for a nice 5-108 showing against the Bengals in Week 6. The matchup looks good too, as Tennessee has allowed the second-most fantasy points to receivers this season.
Rodrigo Blankenship - K - Indianapolis (DK: $4,000 / FD: $9,000)
It’s not often that a kicker gets his own write-up, but here we are. I believe Blankenship deserves a serious look at both sites through all formats. He’s averaging nearly 10 fantasy points per contest. The Colts rank 24th in red-zone scoring (for touchdowns) while Tennessee ranks second. That translates to more field goal attempts for Indianapolis, and that theme could easily continue tonight.
Ryan Tannehill (QB - TEN) shouldn’t be written off, but the matchup doesn’t look great against a Colts team that has allowed the least fantasy points to quarterbacks in 2020. I’d rather take Philip Rivers, as noted above … A.J. Brown (WR - TEN) is essentially matchup-proof at this stage in his career, but the price has been inflated due to some big performances in recent weeks. I’m labeling him and Corey Davis (WR - TEN) more as tournament plays than anything in this tough draw.
The Colts’ running back situation is maddening from a fantasy point of view. It appears that Jordan Wilkins (RB - IND) is in favor at the moment, as he rattled off 113 total yards and a score on 21 touches two weeks ago. His price is cheap enough on DraftKings to seriously consider through all formats. I’m not forcing him into a lineup, but he’s a serviceable prospect if the pricing blends organically.
Go ahead and put the rest of these guys in the tournament bucket: Jonathan Taylor (RB - IND) and Nyheim Hines (RB - IND) have had their moments this season, but their production is fleeting at best. Hines is the pass-catching back who would benefit from negative game flow (potential stack w/ Rivers), while Taylor would need to overtake Wilkins for rushing attempts.
Zach Pascal (WR - IND) and Trey Burton (TE - IND) are better tournament plays as well. The Colts don’t really have a hierarchy at WR, as Rivers just tosses it wherever. That makes it difficult to predict for fantasy purposes. Pascal will certainly be in the mix, but I’d probably take a cheaper selection like Johnson or a tight end ... Speaking of tight ends, Burton should see a handful of targets in tonight’s game, and he apparently has rushing touchdown upside with a pair of scores on the season. If there’s anything that signifies just how wacky this single-game slate could be, it’s the fact that we are talking about an NFL tight end as a potential goal-line back.