NFL DFS Single Games: TNF Week 3

Spencer Limbach
Rotoworld

Here we go with the Single Game NFL DFS slate for Thursday Night Football of Week 3. Tonight’s matchup is between the Titans and Jaguars, as Tennessee is listed as a 1.5 point road favorite with an over/under of 39.5. 

We’ll highlight the top picks and best bargains to assemble a cash-inducing lineup. On top of that, the “additional notes” section will feature several tournament selections while adding context to the rest of this slate. 

We will be producing these articles for Thursday, Sunday, and Monday primetime matchups every week, so be sure to bookmark the Rotoworld Daily page for those occasions - not to mention all the other fantastic daily fantasy content for Week 3. 

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TOP PICKS

Leonard Fournette - RB - Jacksonville 

Both running backs have a good chance to make some fantasy noise on Thursday, and that especially holds true when comparing them to the other lackluster options on this slate. It’s supposed to be a little bit windy in Jacksonville (15-20 mph), which could encourage both teams to keep it on the ground a little more than usual. Nobody is doubting Tennessee’s solid defense, but the Titans have allowed 5.0 yards per carry through the first two games of the season. Fournette could find some success on Thursday, and it’s nice to see that he’s tied for the most targets on the team (11) since Gardner Minshew took over at quarterback. Consider the Jags’ RB as a legitimate MVP/Captain candidate. 

Derrick Henry - RB - Tennessee 

Henry mirrors most of the sentiment expressed in Fournette’s write-up above. The main difference comes down to salary, where the Jags’ RB is cheaper on all fronts. As mentioned earlier, there’s a good chance both of these SEC native running backs get 20+ carries with windy conditions playing into that. Tennessee has a top ten rushing rate, so they will try to establish Henry regardless. Henry is -115 to score a touchdown tonight (any time TD prop) with Fournette next in line at +120. 

Marcus Mariota - QB - Tennessee 

I understand that both of these quarterbacks don’t offer much upside when looking from a broad-spectrum fantasy point of view. In other words, you aren’t excited about starting either of these guys in this TNF matchup. However, we need to consider both of them given the brevity (and lack of opportunity cost) on this single game slate. Mariota can add some fantasy production on the ground as well, although that’s more of a bonus than an expectation. I’ll be giving the Tennessee QB a look for my cash game lineups, although I’m cautious about forcing his salary. Fading both signal-callers definitely carries merit in large-field tournaments. 

BEST BARGAINS

A.J. Brown - WR - Tennessee 

Sure, Brown is a boom-or-bust rookie who hasn’t proved himself on the NFL stage. Having said that, he could be looking at an opportunity to step in this primetime matchup. As suggested in Ian Hartitz’s WR/CB Matchups column, Jacksonville All-Pro CB Jalen Ramsey is projected to shadow Corey Davis. Adam Humphries has done next to nothing from the slot this season, so Brown is the logical choice to emerge from this WR corps. I’m willing to roll the dice with him for salary relief. 

Chris Conley - WR - Jacksonville 

After two weeks, it’s pretty evident that Minshew will spread the ball to numerous receivers. That includes Conley, who steps in with a healthy 12-10-170-1 line across two games. Even though DJ Chark Jr. has the best stats of any Jags’ receiver, there’s no clear-cut top option here. That has me looking towards Conley, who has a sizeable discount from Chark’s salary. 

ADDITIONAL NOTES

Stemming from the previous write-up, you could also look towards Dede Westbrook (WR - JAC) within a Jacksonville offense that will spread the ball to all available targets. Westbrook was mentioned as a breakout candidate heading into the season, but that enthusiasm has been squashed after Nick Foles succumbed to an injury in Week 1. Still, Westbrook is tied for the most targets (11) from QB Minshew, and he checks in with a shorter price tag than fellow WRs Chark and Conley. 

We have a low over/under with a pair of underwhelming quarterbacks on this slate. It’s not fun, but we have to mention that both kickers are firmly in daily fantasy consideration on Thursday. Cairo Santos (K - TEN) marginally outpaces Josh Lambo (K - JAC) in terms of raw projections, but that’s assuming the salaries mesh favorably. I like either of them for cash games (pretty safe floor), but taking a chance on a cheap receiver (and hoping for a big play) seems like a better tournament scenario. 

Delanie Walker (TE - TEN) is the most reliable pass catcher in Tennessee’s offense, but that’s not really saying much. He has legitimate touchdown upside, but finding himself tied to Mariota in a run-heavy offense doesn’t scream “must play” consideration to me. 

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