Here we go with the Single Game NFL DFS slate for Thursday Night Football of Week 10. Tonight’s matchup is between the Cowboys and Vikings, as Dallas is listed as three-point home favorites with an over/under of 48.5.
We’ll highlight the top picks and best bargains to assemble a cash-inducing lineup. On top of that, the “additional notes” section will feature several tournament selections while adding context to the rest of this slate.
We will be producing these articles for Thursday, Sunday, and Monday primetime matchups every week, so be sure to bookmark the Rotoworld Daily page for those occasions - not to mention all the other fantastic daily fantasy content.
Dak Prescott - QB - Dallas
Prescott has the highest projection of any player in this single game slate, and he’s probably the safest MVP/Captain option. Obviously, that strategy is more plausible on FanDuel where you don’t have to pay 1.5x his marked-up salary to earn the bonus. Dak is averaging a steady 23 fantasy points per contest, which represents a strong baseline heading into this pivotal SNF contest. The Vikings’ secondary has been a tough matchup for years, but they have been more vulnerable this season. As Ian Hartitz illustrated in his WR/CB Matchups article, CBs Xavier Rhodes, Mike Hughes, Trae Waynes, and Mackensie Alexander rank 107, 77, 89, and 36 of 127 qualified corners in PFF grades this season. In other words, that’s something to attack in a single game setting, and Prescott’s rushing potential doesn’t hurt either.
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Dalvin Cook - RB - Minnesota
We all know the Vikings want to establish the run, especially on the road. Minnesota currently ranks third in the league with a 51.88% rushing play percentage, only trailing San Francisco and Baltimore in that category. Cook currently leads the NFL in carries (177) and rushing yards (894) while ranking second in rushing touchdowns (9). Surprisingly, Dalvin also ranks fifth among running backs with 338 receiving yards. The Cowboys have been pretty tough against the run this season (10th), but we can’t ignore the expected volume for Minnesota’s best offensive player - especially with Adam Thielen sidelined.
Jason Witten - TE - Dallas
Witten is not a fun DFS play, but he has seen seven or more targets in two of his last three games. That’s enough to garner consideration as a value filler on this single game slate. It’s frustrating the fellow TE Blake Jarwin has scored two touchdowns with two targets over the last pair of games, but Witten’s snap rate remains superior at 80% (compared to 37% for Jarwin).
Irv Smith Jr. - TE - Minnesota
As mentioned earlier, Adam Thielen will not play tonight. That means Olabisi Johnson and Laquon Treadwell will be in the mix, but Minnesota could enact more sets with both tight ends. That’s what happened last week, and Smith responded with 4-33 on six targets. He continues to see more targets and yardage than incumbent TE Kyle Rudolph, making sense as a bargain filler tonight.
Ezekiel Elliott (RB - DAL) is next-in-line behind Prescott and Cook. You could make a strong case for him in the Captain/MVP spot, as he seemingly finds a way to get it done no matter the matchup. Still, this seems like a spot for Prescott to beat the vulnerable Minnesota secondary, as the Vikings hold a top ten run defense.
Amari Cooper (WR - DAL) is a preferred stacking extension of Prescott, assuming you have enough cap space to make him work. We all know he’s a beast at home in Dallas, and this is certainly a spot for Amari to thrive. He’s an excellent play through all formats … Michael Gallup (WR - DAL) has stumbled lately after getting off to an excellent start this season. Gallup and Randall Cobb (WR - DAL) are more tournament options than anything in this situation, as it’s hard to project meaningful volume for either of them. The fact that Witten is seeing 7-8 targets per game definitely pulls from these guys.
Kirk Cousins (QB - MIN) is nothing more than a tournament option while facing a legitimate defense on the road. However, Stefon Diggs (WR - MIN) is borderline cash playable while serving as an excellent tournament lift as well. Thielen will not play on Sunday night, so Diggs will serve as the undisputed top option in this Minnesota passing game. Look for him to bounce-back nicely against a Cowboys’ defense that has been vulnerable to WR1’s this season … Olabisi Johnson (WR - MIN), Kyle Rudolph (TE - MIN), and Laquon Treadwell (WR - MIN) are nothing more than value fillers to help wedge the aforementioned pieces into your lineup. Johnson could have a strong outing while filling in for Thielen, but Minnesota’s preference for 2TE sets gives him a low fantasy floor.
As always, Brett Maher (K - DAL) and Dan Bailey (K - MIN) - in that order, represent fine fallback options in a game like this. They are probably better cash picks than the Randall Cobb’s of the world, especially on DK with a cheaper salary.