NFL DFS Single Games: MNF Week 11

Spencer Limbach
·5 min read



Here we go with the Single Game NFL DFS slate for Monday Night Football of Week 11. Tonight’s matchup is between the Rams and Buccaneers with Tampa Bay checking in as a four-point home favorite. The over/under currently rests at 48.5 total points.

We’ll highlight the top picks and best bargains to assemble a cash-inducing lineup. On top of that, the “additional notes” section will feature several tournament selections while adding context to the rest of this slate.

We will be producing these articles for Thursday and Monday primetime matchups every week, so be sure to bookmark the Rotoworld Daily page for those occasions - not to mention all the other fantastic daily fantasy content.

TOP PICKS

Tom Brady - QB - Tampa Bay (DK: $11,000 / FD: $16,000)

There’s nothing earth-shattering about this recommendation, but Brady checks in with the highest raw projection of the slate. He has been up-and-down ever since arriving in Tampa Bay, but the future Hall-of-Famer is trending up with 32+ fantasy points in two of his last four outings. We probably won’t see that level of upside against a Rams’ defense that has allowed the second-least fantasy points to QBs, but Brady should be able to meet his 23-28 FP expectation. Needless to say, he’s a strong CPT/MVP choice through all formats.

Jared Goff - QB - LA Rams (DK: $9,800 / FD: $14,500)

You should be able to squeeze Goff and Brady into the same cash game lineup. That strategy has plenty of merit tonight, as there’s no premium running back (more on that later) serving as a strong alternative to these signal-callers. Goff has inspired less confidence than Brady recently, and the matchup at Tampa Bay doesn’t look great (TB 5th least FP to QB). However, the game flow should force Goff to throw the ball plenty, and he’s bound to find a touchdown or two because of that. Even though the Bucs have been solid against QBs this season, the likes of Drew Brees, Daniel Jones, and Derek Carr found rewarding fantasy lines vs. Tampa in recent weeks.

Editor's Note: Looking for an added edge? Dominate all season long with our DFS Toolkit. Use our Lineup Optimizer to come up with winning lineups for DraftKings, FanDuel, and Yahoo! Click here for more!

BEST BARGAINS

Leonard Fournette - RB - Tampa Bay (DK: $4,400 / FD: $8,000)

Ronald Jones was a fantasy beast last Sunday, breaking off a 98-yard touchdown en route to 192 rushing yards on 23 carries. I’m guessing he won’t see that level of volume in a predictably tighter contest against LAR. In turn, Leonard Fournette should see more snaps and overall opportunities - especially in the passing game. The veteran RB is cheap after a few disappointing performances, and I like him as a value play on FanDuel and DraftKings while expecting more volume in this MNF contest. His $4,400 salary with DK’s full PPR scoring is particularly attractive.

Josh Reynolds - WR - LA Rams (DK: $6,800 / FD: $9,500)

Reynolds is starting to see more looks in the LAR passing attack, and I’m expecting that role to continue tonight. Fellow WR Cooper Kupp has been seeing a ton of targets, but his overall snap rate is down because of lingering injuries. That has boosted Reynolds’ targets to eight or more in each of the last three games. Granted, he’s more of an “underneath receiver” without much big-play ability, but the uptick in volume is a good sign. His price has jumped alongside that production, but I still believe Reynolds makes for a savvy value play on this MNF slate.

ADDITIONAL NOTES

Both QBs love to spread the ball around, which makes pinning down a receiver (or two) somewhat arduous. Chris Godwin (WR - TB) and Cooper Kupp (WR - LAR) are the top guys from their respective teams, but that doesn’t necessarily make them worth the salary. Antonio Brown (WR - TB) has an especially friendly price point on FanDuel, and I believe he’s a fantastic play over there. I’d rather lean towards Godwin or Kupp on DK … Meanwhile, Robert Woods (WR - LAR) is more of a boom-or-bust tournament option - as his game log suggests.

Mike Evans (WR - TB), Rob Gronkowski (TE - TB), and Cameron Brate (TE - TB) are all touchdown-dependent receivers who belong in the tournament bucket as well. The Bucs are healthy while adding Brown into the receiving mix, which makes their passing tree heavily competitive. Brate is a value filler to round out your tournament lineup, but keep in mind that he’s strictly a touchdown-or-bust play.

We have a similar situation at running back tonight, as Malcolm Brown (RB - LAR) and Darrell Henderson Jr. (RB - LAR) will compete for most of the LAR rushing attempts and all-important goal-line carries. This is a tough matchup, and there has been no real pattern to discern for the LAR backfield, so these guys are probably best reserved for tournaments or as the last piece of a cash game puzzle … Ronald Jones (RB - TB) has a marked-up salary with possibly less volume in a tightly contested battle with the Rams. That has me reserving him for tournaments only.

Ryan Succop (K - TB) and Matt Gay (K - LAR) are both in the cash game pool on FanDuel and DraftKings. Both defenses are tough in the red-zone, so we could see numerous field goal attempts from both sides. Succop is the established commodity, while Gay - assuming he’s named the starter - will look to be a serviceable injury replacement for the Rams.

OddsMoney LinePoint SpreadTotal Points
Tampa Bay
+150+3.5O 50.5
Green Bay
-176-3.5U 50.5