Here we go with the Single Game NFL DFS slate for Monday Night Football of Week 3. Tonight’s matchup is between the Chiefs and Ravens with Baltimore listed as a three-point home favorite with an over/under of 54.
We’ll highlight the top picks and best bargains to assemble a cash-inducing lineup. On top of that, the “additional notes” section will feature several tournament selections while adding context to the rest of this slate.
We will be producing these articles for Thursday and Monday primetime matchups every week, so be sure to bookmark the Rotoworld Daily page for those occasions - not to mention all the other fantastic daily fantasy content.
Lamar Jackson - QB - Baltimore (DK: $13,000 / FD: $16,500)
We could easily see a “ceiling game” from Lamar Jackson on Monday Night Football. This is expected to be a shootout between two of the better offenses in the NFL, hence the 54 point over/under and three-point spread (Ravens favored). As noted in Warren Sharp’s Marquee Matchups article, the Chiefs rank 26th in run defense efficiency. Jackson should benefit, as he saw 16 rushing attempts (perhaps more this time around?) last week at Houston. The 2019 NFL MVP is averaging 77 rushing yards per contest since the beginning of last season, which undoubtedly raises his fantasy floor/ceiling combination.
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Mark Andrews - TE - Baltimore (DK: $8,000 / FD: $12,000)
It’s no secret, Andrews is the preferred target of his quarterback. The Baltimore TE has taken a leap forward in the first two games of the season, running a route on 76% of dropbacks - compared to 57% last season (credit Hayden Winks). Despite that, some DFS enthusiasts may be hesitant towards Andrews after a disappointing 1-29 line last week. We can cite typical variance for the wide gap between the production in Week 1 & 2, but he’s still unmistakably the top receiving option in this Baltimore passing attack. I’m fully expecting a bounce-back performance on Monday Night Football.
Miles Boykin - WR - Baltimore (DK: $3,400 / FD: $7,000)
Boykin can be used as a cheap filler on both DraftKings and FanDuel. He’s seeing plenty of snaps, also accounting for nine targets, seven receptions, and 75 yards through two games. While Marquise Brown is the deep threat in this offense, Boykin does most of his work underneath. That curbs some of his fantasy upside, but Boykin could snag a handful of receptions to help out your fantasy squad. Keep an eye on him when hunting for value.
Nick Boyle - TE - Baltimore (DK: $800 / FD: $5,000)
Boyle is a true punt play on FanDuel and DraftKings. This is the type of selection that will allow you to stack several superstars in the same lineup (Mahomes & Jackson?), then you are just hoping for some fantasy significance from the backup tight end. Boyle is primarily used as a blocker, but he does run a route on half of Baltimore’s passing attempts. The hope here comes from Boyle running into a touchdown near the goal-line in multiple tight end sets. Once again, rostering Boyle is more about the salary he frees up than the actual production expected.
Gus Edwards - RB - Baltimore (DK: $1,600 / FD: $6,500)
Baltimore’s backfield is frustrating from a fantasy point of view. That will probably be the case this entire season unless injuries condense the workload. That’s not the case right now, as Mark Ingram, J.K. Dobbins, and Gus Edwards will all see carries. Dobbins had two touchdowns on seven carries in Week 1, but he only had three touches in Week 2. Ingram is the most consistent of this group (more on him later), but he is certainly touchdown-dependent while seeing around 10 touches per game. Edwards is the cheapest of the bunch, and he should also carry a low DFS contingency tonight. He saw 10 carries for 73 yards in Week 2, so hopefully that efficiency carries into an intriguing matchup against the Chiefs. There’s an outside chance Edwards finds paydirt, which would really swing the slate in favor of those who rostered him.
Patrick Mahomes (QB - KC) is an obvious top play. If I had to choose between the quarterbacks, Jackson is the preferred option due to the rushing upside. However, this is one of the few showdown slates where it’s plausible to look towards both QBs in the same lineup … Tyreek Hill (WR - KC) and Travis Kelce (TE - KC) are his top two targets, but they are difficult to roster with so many appealing plays on this slate. Kelce is the preferred option of these two, as Hill could be dealing with strong CBs Peters and Humphrey all night.
Mecole Hardman (WR - KC), Sammy Watkins (WR - KC), and Demarcus Robinson (WR - KC) have much friendlier salaries to pair with Mahomes, but predicting their output is maddening. Watkins is questionable, although it appears that he is trending towards playing. If he’s out, then Hardman sees an obvious boost as a strong value. As things stand, Hardman is a tournament play worth considering, as he has big-play ability to flip this single-game slate. When these teams met in 2019, Hardman (2-97-1) and Robinson (3-43-1) both hauled in a touchdown, but that was in the absence of Tyreek Hill.
Mark Ingram II (RB - BAL) was mentioned earlier as a touchdown-dependent fantasy asset who is working in a running back committee. It’s pretty simple with him: if he scores a touchdown, he’ll likely come through for a mid-range salary. If he doesn’t reach the end-zone, it will result in a fantasy flop. Vegas has Ingram at +110 to score a TD, which is better than Dobbins (+200) and Edwards (+250).
Speaking of touchdown props, Clyde Edwards-Helaire (RB - KC) is -143 to find the end-zone tonight. That’s easily the highest of any non-QB in this game. It’s more a testament to his overall usage instead of the tough matchup at Baltimore. It was nice to see CEH utilized in the passing game last week, showing that he’s not fully game-script dependent.
Marquise Brown (WR - BAL) is definitely in consideration, although I prefer Andrews for a similar salary on DraftKings. Brown is $1,500 cheaper on FanDuel, and he’s better for the half-PPR scoring over there. I don’t mind pivoting towards him over Andrews on FD, especially if it strengthens the rest of your lineup.