Here we go with the Single Game NFL DFS slate for Monday Night Football of Week 5. Tonight’s matchup is between the Saints and Chargers with New Orleans listed as a seven-point home favorite with an over/under of 50.
We’ll highlight the top picks and best bargains to assemble a cash-inducing lineup. On top of that, the “additional notes” section will feature several tournament selections while adding context to the rest of this slate.
We will be producing these articles for Thursday and Monday primetime matchups every week, so be sure to bookmark the Rotoworld Daily page for those occasions - not to mention all the other fantastic daily fantasy content.
NOTES & SETUP
Alvin Kamara - RB - New Orleans (DK: $12,000 / FD: $16,000)
This recommendation is pretty obvious, but it still needs to be said. Kamara has been an absolute beast this season while averaging 28 FPPG in half PPR leagues. You could argue that he’s the best fantasy running back moving forward, and that should spill into tonight’s matchup against the Chargers. As mentioned earlier, WR Michael Thomas is out, which will probably translate to more volume (and red-zone looks) for Kamara. Needless to say, he’s an excellent MVP choice on FanDuel while garnering heavily Captain consideration (despite the high salary) on DraftKings.
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Justin Herbert - QB - LA Chargers (DK: $10,200 / FD: $14,000)
Herbert is dealing with several injuries to his offensive line, but the rookie continues to produce with 23+ fantasy points in two of three games. The Chargers don’t have much of a rushing attack at this point, meaning a high percentage of their offensive production will come through the arm of Herbert. Game flow dictates that LAC will likely be passing heavily while trying to keep up with the Saints, which is good news for Herbert’s fantasy prospects. The rookie is a solid choice through all Single Game formats, and he even has some rushing upside with a handful of scrambling attempts. For added measure, the Saints have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to QBs this season.
Latavius Murray - RB - New Orleans (DK: $4,800 / FD: $9,000)
Murray came out with a huge 14-64-2 outing against the Lions last week. He’s a touchdown-dependent fantasy acquisition who will pretty much flop if he doesn’t find paydirt. Having said that, Murray should see 12-15 touches, and game flow is on his side with New Orleans favored by a touchdown. He could see more goal-line attempts in this one, earning value consideration in tonight’s single-game contests.
Jalen Guyton - WR - LA Chargers (DK: $4,200 / FD: $7,000)
We’ll need to double-check the status of WR Mike Williams, who is questionable. If Williams misses another game, then Jalen Guyton will be looking at increased snaps. Guyton played 45 of 53 offensive snaps for the Chargers last week (without Williams). He only had one reception, but Guyton made it worthwhile in a 72-yard touchdown. We believe he’ll see more targets in a full-time role if Williams doesn’t play, and that would make for an interesting bargain opportunity on both DFS sites.
Drew Brees (QB - NO) is neck-and-neck with Herbert in terms of projections. The Chargers’ QB is currently projected for 19.9 fantasy points while Brees rests at 18.1 - according to our NFL DFS Optimizer. Without having WR Michael Thomas to rely on, the veteran QB takes somewhat of a hit from a fantasy standpoint. I’m still looking towards the rookie of these two signal-callers tonight.
Tre’Quan Smith (WR - NO) and Emmanuel Sanders (WR - NO) will continue to see more work with Thomas not playing, but it’s tough to predict who will benefit the most. Smith came down with a pair of touchdowns last week, but he only saw five targets. Sanders led the Saints in targets (9) for 6-93, but he’s less of a red-zone threat. Therein lies the quandary. Sanders is the better play on DK for a cheaper salary, while Smith is $500 cheaper on FanDuel.
Marquez Callaway (WR - NO) is an interesting punt play on DraftKings for only $600. He saw 15 snaps last week with Thomas out, translating that into one reception for 16 yards. By selecting him on DK, you’ll be able to reach for upside in all of your other roster spots, which isn’t a bad strategy through all DFS formats.
Hunter Henry (TE - LAC) and Mike Williams (WR - LAC) - if he plays - deserve a look as legitimate targets for their rookie QB. The same goes for Keenan Allen (WR - LAC), although his salary is much richer than the other two options. Henry is particularly intriguing as a talented receiver who is going up against a New Orleans team that has allowed the most fantasy points to tight ends.
Joshua Kelley (RB - LAC) is nothing more than a tournament diversifier. I’m really worried about the LAC O-Line, but Kelley would get the first crack at any goal-line opportunities that might arise. He’s touchdown dependent with a low floor, which is why we are designating him more to large-field tournaments.