NFL DFS Bargains Week 13

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·4 min read
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  • Atlanta Falcons
    Atlanta Falcons
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  • Baltimore Ravens
    Baltimore Ravens
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  • Cincinnati Bengals
    Cincinnati Bengals
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  • Detroit Lions
    Detroit Lions
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  • Philadelphia Eagles
    Philadelphia Eagles
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  • San Francisco 49ers
    San Francisco 49ers
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  • Matt Ryan
    Matt Ryan
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  • Jamaal Williams
    Jamaal Williams
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In this weekly article, we’ll look at the cheaper options that should return good value to your NFL DFS lineups. The bargain threshold varies by site, and position, but generally we’ll aim for our bargain plays to take up about 8-10 percent of your salary cap, except for quarterbacks, which we’ll allow 11-12 percent. A great tool to find bargains is our DFS projection system, which gives a dollar per fantasy point projection for each player. I refer to it often!

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Quarterback

Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay

To be perfectly fair, I do not intend to play Ryan in anything other than a large field GPP. There just aren’t any cheap QB I trust this weekend. In Ryan’s favor, he had one of his best games of the season vs. Tampa Bay in Week 2, hitting 300 yards and scoring two touchdowns, despite three picks. The Bucs remain a favorable passing matchup, and we know they’ll be putting points on the board one way or the other, which should keep the pressure on Ryan to make plays. The fast-paced and high scoring game environment should help Ryan get to at least 20 fantasy points in Week 13.

Also consider: Spending up!

Running Back

Jamaal Williams, Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota

So obvious, and not much of a bargain on FanDuel ($6500), but still a nice play everywhere ($5400 DK, $16 Yahoo). Jonathan Swift has yet to be officially ruled out, but all signs are go for Williams to be the primary ball-carrier against the Vikings, a Top 10 RB matchup. Williams is also a capable receiving option, which this game flow might dictate the Lions need.

Boston Scott, Philadelphia Eagles at NY Jets

Miles Sanders and Jordan Howard are both questionable for Week 13, which means that both Scott and Kenneth Gainwell could have elevated roles vs. the Jets. The Jets are the best RB matchup in the league, by far. Given the recent struggles of the Eagles pass game, both backs could be relied upon heavily. In fact, this might be the best possible outcome for Philly, as Gainwell and Scott both have four total touchdowns this season, leading all Eagles’ backs despite fewer attempts than Sanders.

Also consider: Nene Nwangwu

Wide Receiver

Jauan Jennings, San Francisco 49ers at Seattle

Jennings is another popular name in the bargain department this week, but with Deebo Samuel expected to miss time, he could pay off. He caught one touchdown in Week 12, and it was nearly two. If Jimmy Garoppolo can continue to trust him in the end zone, it could be really big for him in a game where the 49ers are favored on the road against their division rival Seahawks. Seattle is allowing opponents the fifth-most overall fantasy points.

Rashod Bateman, Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh

There is no doubt that the Ravens have been struggling, scoring no more than 16 points in their last three games. Fortunately, twice they faced opponents worse than they were, but this isn’t a strong look for a playoff contender. While the pass game is particularly shaky, Bateman is getting regular targets in the 6-8 per game range. I expect a bounce-back effort from Lamar Jackson and this team at some point…this is as good a time as any.

Also consider: Josh Reynolds, Mack Hollins, DeSean Jackson

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Tight End

C.J. Uzomah, Cincinnati Bengals vs. LA Chargers

I’m not really committed to any particular tight end this week, though spending up on Rob Gronkowski or Mark Andrews is a feasible strategy. The Chargers are a notoriously tough pass defense, but they have tended to leave tight ends alone. So far, they are allowing the fifth-most fantasy points to tight ends this season, and Joe Burrow is able to take what defenses give him. I expect a heavy dose of Joe Mixon this week, but we’ve seen before that if it’s Uzomah that’s open, it’ll be Uzomah who scores.

Also consider: Cole Kmet, Gerald Everett

Defense

LA Rams vs. Jacksonville ($17 Yahoo)

The Rams D/ST isn’t a super elite unit, so you don’t have to pay top dollar for them on DK or FD, but their discount on Yahoo is tempting given the matchup. LA is the 13-point home favorite against a Jaguars team that has scored the second-fewest points per game this season. LA also has the third-highest sack rate (2.7 sacks per game), and the Jaguars turn the ball over sixth-most, creating some defensive opportunities.

Miami Dolphins vs. NY Giants ($4000 FD, $3300 DK)

Miami’s whole season numbers aren’t as good as the team as they have been recently. They’re on a four-game win streak, and it’s largely due to outstanding defense. Over this span, Miami is holding opponents to about 11 points per game while averaging about four sacks and 2.5 turnovers per game. They’re averaging 11 fantasy points per game at home this season, and the Giants are the seventh-lowest scoring team in the league.