Week Ahead: Home Security

Nick Nelson
Ryan Boyer previews the two Wild Card Games in Tuesday's Postseason Dose

Postseason Dose: Going Wild

Ryan Boyer previews the two Wild Card Games in Tuesday's Postseason Dose

The massive contract that Zack Greinke received from the Dodgers over the winter drew some criticism, especially after a shoulder injury suffered in an early-season skirmish landed LA's $150 million man on the disabled list.

Fortunately, Greinke came back quicker than expected and has been a stalwart since returning, especially in his new home park. In 10 starts at Dodger Stadium this year, the right-hander is 6-1 with a 2.32 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. His opponents' OPS at home (637) is a full 100 points lower than on the road (737).

In the coming week, Greinke is slated to face two sub-par lineups -- Chicago and San Diego -- both at home, so he's a tremendously appealing option.

More notes on the week's two-start crop, as well as the usual assortment of lists and streamer recommendations, can be found below.

Editor's Note: Rotoworld's partner FanDuel is hosting a $5,000 Fantasy Baseball Contest tonight (Friday). It's $10 to join and first prize is $1,200. Here's the link.

* The Mets are scheduled for seven games so they'll have a pair of two-start pitchers, and I'm liking them both. Rookie Zack Wheeler has been fantastic since the start of July (3.05 ERA, 49 K in 53 IP) while Jon Niese has settled into a nice groove lately himself with 18 strikeouts in his last two starts. They'll each face two of the worst offenses in the National League: Philadelphia and Washington.

* Jake Arrieta has always been intriguing because of his quality stuff, but he had a tough time pulling it all together in Baltimore. The hope was that a move to the NL might change his fortunes, and a debut for the Cubs in which he hurled seven scoreless innings against the Cardinals seemed to set him in that direction. But the 27-year-old got rocked in his follow-up against the Nats, coughing up six runs in four innings. He's a risky play with some upside in the coming week.

* The American League's two-start group includes a few different mid-tier options with high strikeout potential: Andre Rienzo, Danny Salazar and Felix Doubront. None of these guys is a lock to produce strong results but they can all be trusted to deliver in the K category.

Going Twice…

American League

Strong Plays

Hisashi Iwakuma: TEX (Holland), @HOU (Cosart)
James Shields: @MIN (Correia), @TOR (Rogers)
C.J. Wilson: @TB (Hellickson), @MIL (Lohse)
Anibal Sanchez: OAK (Griffin), CLE (McAllister)
Justin Verlander: OAK (TBD), CLE (Salazar)

Decent Plays

Jeremy Hellickson: LAA (Wilson), @OAK (Griffin)
A.J. Griffin: @DET (Sanchez), TB (TBD)
Phil Hughes: @TOR (Rogers), BAL (Gonzalez)
Jeremy Guthrie: TB (Hellickson), @TOR (TBD)
Andre Rienzo: HOU (Cosart), @BOS (Doubront)
Danny Salazar: @ATL (Maholm), @DET (Verlander)
Felix Doubront: BAL (Gonzalez), CWS (Rienzo)
Miguel Gonzalez: @BOS (Doubront), @NYY (Hughes)

At Your Own Risk

Esmil Rogers: NYY (Hughes), KC (Shields)
Travis Blackley: @SEA (Saunders), MIN (Correia)
Joe Saunders: TEX (Blackley), @HOU (Oberholtzer)
Kevin Correia: KC (Shields), @TEX (Blackley)
Jarred Cosart: @CWS (Rienzo), SEA (Iwakuma)

National League

Strong Plays

Zack Greinke: CHC (Arrieta), SD (Ross)
Cliff Lee: @NYM (Wheeler), @CHC (Rusin)
Gerrit Cole: MIL (Lohse), STL
Jon Niese: PHI (Kendrick), @WAS (Ohlendorf)
Zack Wheeler: PHI (Lee), @WAS (Haren)
Kyle Lohse: @PIT (Cole), LAA (Wilson)

Decent Plays

Ross Ohlendorf: MIA (Eovaldi), NYM (Niese)
Tyson Ross: @ARI (McCarthy), @LAD (Greinke)
Kyle Kendrick: @NYM (Niese), @CHC (Arrieta)
Nathan Eovaldi: @WAS (Ohlendorf), @ATL (Maholm)
Juan Nicasio: SF (Zito), SD (Ross)
Mike Leake: @STL, @COL (Nicasio)
Paul Maholm: CLE (Salazar), MIA (Eovaldi)
Brandon McCarthy: SD (Ross), SF (Zito)

At Your Own Risk

Barry Zito: @COL (Nicasio), @ARI (McCarthy)
Jake Arrieta: @LAD (Greinke), PHI (Kendrick)

Streamer City

The following pitchers are generally available in over 50 percent of fantasy leagues and have favorable match-ups this week:

American League

Tuesday, 8/27: Jose Quintana vs. HOU
Quintana is enjoying a very nice season for the Sox, and is averaging about a strikeout per inning since the beginning of June.

Tuesday, 8/27: Martin Perez @ SEA
The Texas southpaw has tallied four consecutive quality starts, including a win over the M's in his latest turn.

Thursday, 8/29: Brad Peacock vs. SEA
Since rejoining the Houston rotation earlier this month, Peacock has a 1.86 ERA with 20 strikeouts in 19 1/3 innings over three starts.

National League

Tuesday, 8/27: Trevor Cahill vs. SD
Cahill is coming off a strong outing in Cincy, and he piled up a season-high 10 strikeouts in his lone start against the Padres back in June.

Thursday, 8/27: Ethan Martin @ NYM
The Phillies rookie has been solid since an ugly debut, and has notched 22 strikeouts in 20 2/3 innings of work.

Total Games

American League


National League

7: NYM, PHI,

Lefty/Righty Breakdowns

American League

BAL: 3 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP
BOS: 3 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP
CLE: 4 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
CWS: 4 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
DET: 5 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
HOU: 4 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP
KC: 5 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
LAA: 6 vs. RHP, 0 vs. LHP
MIN: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
NYY: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
OAK: 6 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
SEA: 3 vs. RHP, 4 vs. LHP
TB: 6 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
TEX: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
TOR: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP

National League

ARI: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
ATL: 6 vs. RHP, 0 vs. LHP
CHC: 4 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
CIN: 5 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
COL: 3 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP
LAD: 4 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
MIA: 4 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
MIL: 3 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP
NYM: 5 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
PHI: 5 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
PIT: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
SD: 3 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP
SF: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
STL: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
WAS: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP

The Infirmary

You can get a full listing of injured players at Rotoworld's Injury Page but here's the latest on a few prominent players who have been out of action:

Jason Heyward: Out for the season (face)
Jonathan Broxton: Out indefinitely (elbow)
Placido Polanco: Out until early September (concussion)
Joe Mauer: Out indefinitely (concussion)
Jenrry Mejia: Out for the season (elbow)
Jeremy Hefner: Out for the season (elbow)
John Lannan: Out for the season (knee)
Jake Westbrook: Out indefinitely (back)
Alexi Ogando: Out indefinitely (shoulder)
Jose Bautista: Out indefinitely (hip)
Taylor Jordan: Out for the season (shut down)

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