Silva's Early-Camp Top 150

Evan Silva
Adam Levitan talks Gio Bernard, Marvin Jones, the Dolphins' win and all of Thursday's news in the Dose

Dose: Go Go Gio

Adam Levitan talks Gio Bernard, Marvin Jones, the Dolphins' win and all of Thursday's news in the Dose

Most NFL camps are now roughly one-week old. Major injuries to high-production players like Percy Harvin, Dennis Pitta, and Jeremy Maclin have already altered the fantasy landscape on those players' teams, impacting the outlooks of quarterbacks and fellow pass catchers.

I've been churning out these Top-150 rankings since last season ended, and they've been a monthly staple since the NFL draft. They may not look like fantasy rankings you see elsewhere, particularly at tight end and quarterback. For an explanation on Jimmy Graham's lofty ranking, bang it here. For an explanation of why quarterbacks are devalued, read more here.

Editor's Note: For all the latest NFL and fantasy information, keep it locked on Rotoworld's Player News Page. And follow @EvanSilva and @Rotoworld_FB on Twitter.

First Round

1. Adrian Peterson -- I'd find it difficult to argue anyone else might belong here.
2. Jimmy Graham -- Greatest weekly difference maker at any fantasy position.
3. Doug Martin -- Returning No. 2 overall fantasy RB with reloaded offensive line.
4. C.J. Spiller -- Perhaps single biggest threat to AP's top spot among rushers.
5. LeSean McCoy -- Will be centerpiece of Chip Kelly's run-dominated offense.
6. Jamaal Charles -- May be some headache weeks in Andy Reid's pass-first O.
7. Marshawn Lynch -- He is Seattle's best offensive player again with Harvin out.
8. Trent Richardson -- No. 9 fantasy RB as rookie poised for better second year.
9. Calvin Johnson -- In a tier of his own atop the fantasy wide receiver rankings.
10. Arian Foster -- Major wear on tires & taking forever to recover from calf strain.
11. Alfred Morris -- High-volume workhorse in one of NFL's run-friendliest offenses.
12. Ray Rice -- Conceivable Ravens lean on Rice more after losing Dennis Pitta.

Second Round

13. Matt Forte -- New coach Trestman will make Forte a machine in PPR leagues.
14. Stevan Ridley -- 290 carries in 2012; don't be surprised if he tops 300 in 2013.
15. Steven Jackson -- Receptions, touchdowns should spike in Falcons offense.
16. Brandon Marshall -- Set up for another top 2-3 targets season under Trestman.
17. A.J. Green -- NFL's second most talented wide receiver, behind only Megatron.
18. Dez Bryant -- Splitting hairs between Marshall, Green, Dez, and Julio in Top 5.
19. Julio Jones -- The one ascending player in otherwise aging skill-player group.
20. Lamar Miller -- Best breakout running back candidate in fantasy this season.
21. Larry Fitzgerald -- Arians will use him in the Hines Ward/Reggie Wayne role.
22. Frank Gore -- He's 30 now, but has plenty of juice left and dominant O-Line.
23. Demaryius Thomas -- Similar skills to Julio with superior quarterback play.
24. Chris Johnson -- Hope is his "bust" runs turn to "booms" behind upgraded OL.

Third Round

25. Reggie Bush -- If health cooperates, Bush should lead all RBs in receptions.
26. Andre Johnson -- 32 now, but coming off his healthiest offseason in years.
27. Darren McFadden -- First-round ability & workload with late-round durability.
28. David Wilson -- More explosive than Lamar Miller but likely committee back.
29. Aaron Rodgers -- Gets slight edge on Brees due to additional rushing stats.
30. Drew Brees -- Top-two fantasy quarterback in four of the last five seasons.
31. Rob Gronkowski -- Health is big unknown, but optimistic he'll be back early.
32. Cam Newton -- Highest ceiling of QB1s. Great value at late-4th round ADP.
33. Randall Cobb -- Movable chess piece is candidate for 100-plus receptions.
34. DeMarco Murray -- Will produce when healthy, but injury prone since college.
35. Dwayne Bowe -- Projects as target monster in Andy Reid's pass-first attack.
36. Darren Sproles -- Borderline RB1 in PPR. Scores weekly double-digit points.

Fourth Round

37. Danny Amendola -- Health allowing, he'll score like a WR1 at WR2 cost.
38. Vincent Jackson -- Bucs emphasizing V-Jax in slot, where he's a mismatch.
39. Jordy Nelson -- Rodgers' most well-rounded receiver and best deep threat.
40. Marques Colston -- WR1/2 with three missed games the past four seasons.
41. Maurice Jones-Drew -- Not worth his second-round Average Draft Position.
42. Victor Cruz -- Still only 26 with back-to-back top-13 fantasy WR finishes.
43. Antonio Brown -- Sleeper for 100 catches as Big Ben's obvious go-to guy.
44. Roddy White -- Going on 32, but top-15 fantasy WR in six straight years.
45. Giovani Bernard -- Riser; More talented than Law Firm and it is not close.
46. Reggie Wayne -- Strong WR2 but expect fairly sizable drop in receptions.
47. Peyton Manning -- Can be the No. 1 fantasy QB if body holds up at age 37.
48. Le'Veon Bell -- Heavy-volume RB quickly ascending to top of depth chart.

Fifth Round

49. Chris Ivory -- Health biggest threat to his upside.
50. Pierre Garcon -- Toe holding up so far in camp.
51. Steve Smith -- Value pick at his mid-sixth ADP.
52. Eddie Lacy -- Power back can push for 10+ TDs.
53. Vernon Davis -- Top-3 TE if he leads SF in catches.
54. Montee Ball -- Broncos best runner; lead job should be his by September.
55. Torrey Smith -- Ceiling rising with losses of Anquan Boldin & Dennis Pitta.
56. Shane Vereen -- Explosive space back with solid-flex floor, high-RB2 upside.
57. Matthew Stafford -- Bargain at his current mid-sixth round average draft slot.
58. Tom Brady -- Concern about "weapons" losses could make him value pick.
59. Tony Gonzalez -- Steady and reliable locked-in TE1 in pass-heavy offense.
60. Eric Decker -- TD regression inevitable, but still a rock-solid WR2/flex pick.

Sixth Round

61. Mike Wallace -- You're probably weak at receiver if Wallace is your WR2.
62. Cecil Shorts -- Dynamic player with target-monster potential on bad team.
63. Hakeem Nicks -- At late-fourth round ADP, let someone else deal with him.
64. DeSean Jackson -- Maclin loss likely makes D-Jax focus of passing game.
65. Robert Griffin III -- Rising as highly positive knee-progress reports continue.
66. Greg Jennings -- Sneaky bet for top-10 targets at Harvin's old Z receiver spot.
67. Jason Witten -- Consistent week-to-week TE1 who's never scored many TDs.
68. Andrew Luck -- I think his production explodes in higher-percentage offense.
69. Ahmad Bradshaw -- Injury risk, but can be rock-solid RB2 when healthy.
70. Wes Welker -- Volume-dependent receiver losing volume with the Broncos.
71. Colin Kaepernick -- Crabtree loss still hurts, but as talented as any NFL QB.
72. James Jones -- Won't repeat 14 TDs, but still Packers' best red-zone WR.

Seventh Round

73. Russell Wilson -- Shaky at receiver, but still strong mid-range to low-end QB1.
74. Josh Gordon -- Two-game suspension but offers Andre Johnson-type talent.
75. Matt Ryan -- You're in fine shape if he's your starter, just lacks elite ceiling.
76. Ryan Mathews -- Falling as RB "rotation" talk picks up behind terrible O-Line.
77. Daryl Richardson -- I think he's Rams' best back after re-watching 2012 tape.
78. Danario Alexander -- Low-volume, high-injury risk WR3 in revised SD offense.
79. T.Y. Hilton -- I'd be more bullish on Hilton if he passed Darrius Heyward-Bey.
80. Tavon Austin -- Some questions about offensive role; likely low-scoring WR3.
81. Anquan Boldin -- Targets will be there with no other 49ers wideout stepping up.
82. Tony Romo -- Last of the locked-in QB1s. Romo just keeps you competitive.
83. Rashard Mendenhall -- Obvious fantasy pick to avoid at fifth/sixth-round ADP.
84. DeAngelo Williams -- Nice RB3/flex pick as Jonathan Stewart continues to ail.

Eighth Round

85. Stevie Johnson -- Beware likelihood of less featured role under new coaches.
86. Kenny Britt -- Huge talent, but likely to be inconsistent on low-efficiency team.
87. Mark Ingram -- Ceiling is low-end RB2/flex, but I'm optimistic he gets there.
88. Isaiah Pead -- Arguably St. Louis' most talented all-around RB; role unclear.
89. Ben Tate -- All of Foster's red flags make Tate a high-upside RB3/4 selection.
90. Golden Tate -- Robbery at current late-13th round ADP following Harvin surgery.
91. Mike Williams -- TD-dependent fantasy wideout can cause weekly headaches.
92. Miles Austin -- Pedestrian/passable WR3 with little shot to be difference maker.
93. Greg Olsen -- With ninth/tenth-round ADP, arguably this year's best TE value.
94. Bryce Brown -- In run-dominated offense, can be the Tate to Shady's Foster.
95. Bernard Pierce -- Could flirt with flex-starter value even without a Rice injury.
96. Ryan Broyles -- Broyles can continue rapid ascent by passing Nate Burleson.

Ninth Round

97. Michael Floyd -- Will be primary vertical receiver in Arians' pass-first offense.
98. Andre Brown -- A bit of a plodder, but will be involved and may swipe GL work.
99. Emmanuel Sanders -- Some breakout appeal with Heath Miller out indefinitely.
100. Denarius Moore -- Deep threat will be tough fit with Matt Flynn's noodle arm.
101. Vincent Brown -- Can lead SD in catches if healthy, but already hurt in camp.
102. Jonathan Stewart -- His health is a total mystery after double ankle surgeries.
103. Jacquizz Rodgers -- Every-week RB2/flex if 30-year-old Jackson breaks down.
104. Zac Stacy -- Lacks Richardson & Pead's big-play ability, but in hunt to start.
105. Darrius Heyward-Bey -- Slow start to camp, but running ahead of T.Y. Hilton.
106. Aaron Dobson -- All signs point to Pats starting Dobson at "X" spot as rookie.
107. Jordan Cameron -- So far has not made a whole lot of noise at Browns camp.
108. Jay Cutler -- My favorite QB2; will play out contract year in pass-heavy offense.

Tenth Round

109. Jermichael Finley -- Will light flip on in contract year?
110. Rueben Randle -- Blowup candidate if Nicks gets hurt.
111. Ronnie Hillman -- Buzzing, but Broncos view as COP.
112. Alshon Jeffery -- Likely 4th in line for Bears targets.
113. Jared Cook -- Can stretch the seam, but low-volume TE.
114. Kyle Rudolph -- TD-dependent tight end being overdrafted in the seventh round.
115. Martellus Bennett -- ADP is mid-12th round; maybe the best TE pick for value.
116. Ben Roethlisberger -- High-end QB2, but Steelers may reel in pass attempts.
117. Kendall Wright -- One of many mouths to feed in inefficient Titans pass offense.
118. Joique Bell -- Ahead of Mikel Leshoure; legit RB2/flex if Reggie Bush goes down.
119. Lance Moore -- Quality fantasy depth; WR4 ideally started during bye weeks.
120. Justin Blackmon -- Suspended four games; can be every-week WR3 upon return.

Eleventh Round

121. Jeremy Kerley -- Will lead Jets in receptions and very possibly by wide margin.
122. Ryan Williams -- Prefer a late Williams flier to Mendenhall at his 5th/6th ADP.
123. Eli Manning -- Whether he can flirt with QB1 stats hinges on Nicks' shaky health.
124. BenJarvus Green-Ellis -- Will likely be weeded out in favor of Giovani Bernard.
125. DeAndre Hopkins -- Run-first offense limits ceiling, but respectable WR4 depth.
126. Knowshon Moreno -- In mix for snaps because he's Denver's best pass protector.
127. Dwayne Allen -- The one breakout candidate at tight end no one is talking about.
128. Chris Givens -- Will play the DeSean Jackson "Z" role in revised Rams offense.
129. Sidney Rice -- Having knee problems; Golden Tate will benefit more post-Harvin.
130. Carson Palmer -- Underrated QB2 with rising attempts & better receiver corps.
131. Johnathan Franklin -- Likely lesser half of RBBC behind lead back Eddie Lacy.
132. Roy Helu -- In driver's seat to back up Morris; every-week RB2 if Alf goes down.

Twelfth Round

133. Joe Flacco -- Losing Pitta deals a significant blow to Flacco's fantasy outlook.
134. Rob Housler -- Great early-camp buzz; recommended target if you're into TE2s.
135. Rod Streater -- Possession WR has decent chance to lead Raiders in catches.
136. Josh Freeman -- Jury still very much out on whether he'll ever be consistent.
137. Brian Quick -- Sleeper with big-play ability, but must beat out Austin Pettis.
138. Cordarrelle Patterson -- See Quick and replace Pettis with Jerome Simpson.
139. Sam Bradford -- Should benefit statistically from career-best supporting cast.
140. Vick Ballard -- Becomes viable low-end RB2/flex if Bradshaw goes down again.
141. Fred Jackson -- Difficult to take seriously at age 32 after double knee injuries.
142. Kenbrell Thompkins -- Worthwhile late-round flier getting lots of first-team reps.
143. Michael Vick -- Possible fantasy starter if he wins job; waiver-wire fodder if not.
144. Brandon Myers -- Could be solid TE streamer play if you're willing to gamble.

Thirteenth Round

145. Christine Michael -- Has a significant edge on Robert Turbin in running ability.
146. Owen Daniels -- Addition of DeAndre Hopkins crushes Daniels' fantasy outlook.
147. Danny Woodhead -- Chargers hope he'll be Philip Rivers' new Darren Sproles.
148. Coby Fleener -- Worth a look as TE2 in the Colts' new two-TE heavy offense.
149. Antonio Gates -- 33 now, but some rebound appeal in shortened pass game.
150. Kendall Hunter -- Favorite to enter season as 30-year-old Gore's top backup.

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