Not only does the world of golf have a new number one, but so does the third edition of Sully’s Snapshot!
Tiger Woods’ play speaks for itself in the early going. He backed up his win at Torrey Pines with victories at Doral and Bay Hill, not to mention a tie for fourth at the Masters. Rory McIlroy has shown flashes, but is no longer worthy of the top spot.
The famous last words of the last edition was that a win for Matt Kuchar was “seemingly inevitable,” and he went out and won the WGC-Accenture Match Play Championship later that week.
Heading to Florida, Michael Thompson came out of nowhere to capture The Honda Classic just after we faded him out of the power rankings. He returns in the 34th spot in this edition.
While Tiger was off winning Doral, Scott Brown took advantage of a rare opportunity and picked off the Puerto Rico Open. Brown was playing with conditional status, having finished in the 126-150 category in his rookie year on TOUR. He will no longer split time on the Web.com Tour and debuts in this feature at 71st. Keep in mind, he only received half points for his win since it was an opposite-field event. Perhaps the other big story that emerged was Jordan Spieth.
Next up was the Tampa Bay Championship, and Kevin Streelman made it three first-time winners in a row in full-field events when he hoisted his first trophy. He jumps from 103rd to 23rd this time around.
In the easiest one-and-done call of the year, Tiger picked up win number three at Bay Hill.
The Texas two-step saw D.A. Points baffle everyone -- given his poor form -- and win the Shell Houston Open to vault from 116th to 36th. The next week in San Antonio, Martin Laird did the exact same thing in holding off Rory McIlroy to move from 59th to 31st.
With the attention of the world and weight of Australia on his shoulders, Adam Scott slipped on the green jacket and modestly moved from 11th to sixth.
The rankings below are not the current FedExCup standings, rather an educated guess as to how the final 125 will look leading into the Playoffs. It takes into account a player's form and the courses he has remaining to play. In parenthesis is where each ranked in our second edition.
Last season, it took 363 points to secure a spot in the top 125. That means Lee Westwood, 47th in the current standings with 370 points, is the last man relatively secure. It also means that a guy currently in 80th place is nowhere close to locking up a tee time in The Barclays just yet.
Here we go:
Rank Golfer (Previous Rank) Comment
1 Tiger Woods (2) With three early wins and regaining the No. 1 spot in the world rankings, he nabs the top honors.
2 Brandt Snedeker (3) Showed up big at the Masters after an early rib injury, proving he’s in it for the long haul. He will be a factor in the remaining majors.
3 Rory McIlroy (1) Didn’t get it done at the Masters, but a runner-up in San Antonio shows he’s ready to pick up a win in a non-major soon. Quail Hollow is the likely spot.
4 Dustin Johnson (8) Awoke from a funk after his first win to nab a top five in Houston and looks to have regained his focus. Spent his share of time on the Masters leaderboards.
5 Matt Kuchar (10) We know he won the WGC-Accenture Match Play Championship, and then he contended at Augusta National for a while. He’s not going anywhere.
6 Adam Scott (11) Tied for third at Doral and won the green jacket. Playing a light schedule but showing up big.
7 Justin Rose (5) Runner-up at Bay Hill and excellent ball-striking early in the season forecast big things. Could have easily left Augusta National with a top 10 if not for a seven on the par-3 12th in the finale.
8 Hunter Mahan (12) Made eight (of 10) cuts. All have been T26 or better.
9 Bill Haas (25) Only lacks closing the deal on the weekends. He’s giving himself numerous opportunities.
10 Keegan Bradley (9) Racking up top 10s (five) and top 25s (7) like it’s nothing.
11 Charl Schwartzel (4) Seems to have cooled down, but isn’t far off the game that saw him dominate in late 2012 and early 2013 across the globe.
12 Phil Mickelson (17) Continuing to prove that we really have no clue in what weeks he will show up.
13 Rickie Fowler (16) With three top-six finishes, could be peaking for his Quail Hollow defense. Has to stop with the double bogeys.
14 Charles Howell III (38) I keep waiting on him to fall off, but he hasn’t.
15 Steve Stricker (34) His number of starts continues to be a moving target, but big week at Doral shows he will be ready when his number is called.
16 Sergio Garcia (20) Three top 10s in six starts this year show the form is here to stay.
17 Bubba Watson (14) Not a surprise that the Masters defense wasn’t the best. Still plenty of courses for him to contend, but the majors don’t set up well from this point on.
18 Luke Donald (6) Doesn’t seem to have his “A” game yet, but that could change as soon as Harbour Town.
19 Chris Kirk (24) Only thing missing is a win.
20 Billy Horschel (46) See Chris Kirk.
21 Ian Poulter (21) Didn’t factor at the Masters, but should stand a decent chance at both the U.S. and British Opens.
22 Jason Day (29) Nearly claimed a green jacket and continues to impress in a bounce-back 2013. Could easily be 10 spots higher on this list.
23 Kevin Streelman (103) With a win under his belt, we will find out if he’s satisfied or still hungry.
24 Jason Dufner (13) His play in New Orleans will serve as an excellent litmus as to the state of his game.
25 Lee Westwood (22) Needs to watch it or he will be this year’s Bo Van Pelt with a handful of low top 10s but few times actually contending.
26 Graeme McDowell (35) Had some nice weeks early in the Florida Swing, but faded late. Look forward to seeing him at Merion.
27 Webb Simpson (18) A couple of top 20s since we last checked in, but not really contending much.
28 Jim Furyk (36) Could be a factor in Hilton Head this week.
29 Jimmy Walker (32) Still hasn’t missed a cut in 10 tries, but only one top 10 since the West Coast Swing.
30 Fredrik Jacobson (63) He’s been a top-25 machine in 2013. With the U.S. Open on the horizon at a short course like Merion, he could be a dark horse.
31 Martin Laird (59) After a very weak start to the season, he held off Rory McIlroy to win the Valero Texas Open.
32 Scott Piercy (26) Following a similar trend to a successful 2012.
33 Russell Henley (30) Nine rounds in the 60s in his first three tournaments, but just two in six stroke-play starts since.
34 Michael Thompson (NR) First win came out of nowhere, which was not unlike his runner-up at the U.S. Open last year. Continue to expect the idle big week amid plenty of mediocrity.
35 Brian Gay (28) If he’s going to mount another charge it could begin at the Heritage.
36 D.A. Points (116) Surprise winner at the Shell Houston Open after no top 60s entering that week.
37 Cameron Tringale (53) Watch out for him in weaker fields this year. Showing flashes that the first win may not be far away.
38 John Merrick (33) Hasn’t done much to back up Northern Trust win.
39 Luke Guthrie (52) Another young gun to watch out for as the season continues to unfold.
40 Henrik Stenson (NR) Was an elite player not long ago and may soon be again.
41 Bo Van Pelt (27) In a year where many thought he would win on TOUR, he’s instead taken a step back.
42 Nick Watney (19) Looked primed for a big season after Torrey Pines, but has been rather unimpressive since.
43 Angel Cabrera (NR) Looked excellent at the Masters, but it’s always hard to trust him on a weekly basis. With the other majors on short tracks, it’s likely Augusta National will be his best finish by a wide margin.
44 Brendon de Jonge (55) Continues to be consistent, but lacks that huge week.
45 Robert Garrigus (15) Continued to struggle after WGC-Accenture Match Play success.
46 Jeff Overton (57) With two top 10s in 11 starts, his season is following a predictable pattern given his past history.
47 K.J. Choi (90) Easily having a better year than 2012, but not even close to where he was in 2011.
48 Tim Clark (42) Showed at the Masters that he will continue to appear periodically.
49 Zach Johnson (37) Not looking sharp yet, but a run of shorter courses could render him a factor again soon.
50 Peter Hanson (99) Continuing to adapt well to golf in the U.S. Wouldn’t be surprised with a big finish soon.
51 Louis Oosthuizen (7) A missed cut at the Masters erases the optimism of a top 10 in Houston. Needs to get it together soon.
52 James Hahn (31) Didn’t make a cut in the state of Florida, meaning Bermuda greens could be a problem.
53 Padraig Harrington (41) Teased us with a second top 10 at the Valero Texas Open and will continue to show up from time to time.
54 Ben Crane (75) Just when I was about ready to fade him hard he tied for fourth at the Shell Houston Open. He has a nice history at Harbour Town, so we’ll get more insight on him quickly.
55 Boo Weekley (NR) Picked up a runner-up in Tampa Bay. Now heads to the site of his only two TOUR wins for the RBC Heritage.
56 Geoff Ogilvy (78) A runner-up at The Honda Classic came out of the blue and got everyone energized on the Aussie, but he hasn’t backed it up.
57 Ryan Moore (24) A fourth at the Phoenix Open remains his only top 25, but history says he’ll get it together. He’s struggling with the putter right now.
58 Josh Teater (39) One of a few players who’s game didn’t get the memo that the West Coast Swing was over and it was time to head to Florida.
59 Ryan Palmer (48) A T15 at the Valero Texas open was hurt by a final-round 74. It was his third top 15 of the year.
60 John Rollins (47) Racking up the top 25s, but has yet to score a top 10.
61 Nicolas Colsaerts (86) The good news is, his world ranking will get him into plenty of events. The bad news, he doesn’t have a stroke-play top 15 on TOUR this year.
62 Aaron Baddeley (58) Finishes are inconsistent and rarely high. Not a surprise when you figure he’s fourth in strokes gained-putting and 185th in ball-striking.
63 Charley Hoffman (73) Texas two-step resulted in a T20 and T3, bouncing back from a weak Florida Swing. Could be a factor in Hilton Head, especially if it gets windy.
64 David Lynn (NR) Made the cut at the Masters and is showing some comfort in the U.S. as a “rookie.”
65 Bud Cauley (61) Suffering a bit of a sophomore slump, but bounced to life with a T16 in Houston and a T31 in San Antonio.
66 Stewart Cink (112) Made his last six cuts including a T6 in Houston and a T25 at the Masters.
67 Marc Leishman (79) While he only has two top 10s this year, he made plenty of noise in a T4 at the Masters that included a share of the 18-hole lead.
68 Kevin Stadler (44) He’s gained strokes putting in one event this year, and it was a T11. He will do plenty of damage the few weeks he putts. Good luck guessing those weeks.
69 Ernie Els (43) No top 10s for the Big Easy this year, but a pair of T13s at Riviera CC and Augusta National require your respect.
70 Brian Stuard (77) Finally missed his first cut in his ninth event of the year in Houston. May deserve a little more love than this, but I’m still a tad skeptical.
71 Scott Brown (NR) Win in Puerto Rico followed a 2012 pattern of showing up big in the weakest events. How high he finishes in the FedExCup standings ahead of the Playoffs will depend on how he does in events like the John Deere Classic.
72 Charlie Wi (69) Exactly what we’ve come to expect from the steady putter. That is plenty of paydays, but not many high finishes.
73 Martin Kaymer (40) His rookie year on the PGA TOUR is not going well. Currently 125th in the standings, his stature hints that he’s got to finish better than that.
74 Graham DeLaet (84) Stands a chance on many of the longer courses where par is a good score. Maybe a wild card at Quail Hollow?
75 Pat Perez (71) Here’s another veteran that is slotting nicely into familiar patterns. Expect several more top 25s and another top 10 or two.
76 Kevin Chappell (93) Missing his share of cuts, but four top 25s and two top eights in his four paydays show he makes the most of the weekend.
77 Bryce Molder (76) Reminds me of Kevin Streelman in that his stats suggest he should contend more than he does. Only has one missed cut, but zero top 10s.
78 Charlie Beljan (67) He will miss more cuts than he makes the rest of the way but his limited history says that the few weeks he contends could be magical.
79 Carl Pettersson (45) This may be a little low for the five-time winner, but he’s not getting it done on the weekends this season.
80 Brendan Steele (81) Missed out on his favorite opportunity at the Valero Texas Open with just a T46, but has been remarkably consistent this year with just one missed cut.
81 John Senden (65) All about the putter with the Aussie, and one top 25 in 10 starts illustrates that it just isn’t happening for him yet.
82 Bob Estes (80) Made seven of eight cuts with a T7 in San Antonio in his last start, but history suggests that he can’t keep up that pace.
83 Greg Chalmers (113) A T4 in Tampa Bay was followed with two missed cuts and a T37. Putter is rarely the issue.
84 Harris English (72) Plugging along in sophomore season, but hasn’t wowed yet. Could be a sneaky pick for Harbour Town’s tight fairways.
85 Jason Kokrak (125) Misses his share of cuts, but three top 15s show that his length will keep him in the game on the right courses. Think of him as a poor man’s Robert Garrigus.
86 Brian Harman (95) Hasn’t been quite as sharp as his rookie season, but isn’t too far off pace.
87 Nicholas Thompson (110) Making some cuts, but nothing better than a T23 at The Honda Classic since we last checked in on the Floridian.
88 Ken Duke (109) A yellow light attached to the start of his season, but a T8 at Bay Hill reminds us to be patient.
89 Scott Stallings (49) Keep him on your radar for the weaker events played on resort-style courses with forgiving fairways and plenty of birdies.
90 Ben Kohles (NR) Scored his first top 10 at Tampa Bay and backed it up with a T14 at Bay Hill. We can no longer ignore the rookie.
91 Justin Leonard (121) Has missed just one cut, but has only one top 25. It was a T4 in Tampa Bay. He can’t be a factor often, but makes the most of his opportunities.
92 James Driscoll (115) Struck out in Texas, but went 3-for-3 in the three starts prior with a T21 in Tampa Bay.
93 Seung-yul Noh (54) One of several unexpected sophomore slumpers, with new equipment to boot.
94 David Lingmerth (70) Early success has long been forgotten, missing five of his last seven cuts with nothing better than a T50.
95 Lucas Glover (89) Ball-striking (44th) is on point but at 180th in strokes gained-putting he is limited to courses that don’t require deep numbers. Perfect example, T3 in GIR at the Masters but last in putting of those making the cut including nine three putts.
96 Richard H. Lee (85) Already matched last year’s top-10 total (1), and with three top 25s he’s one away from last years’ tally on that as well.
97 Rory Sabbatini (NR) Made half of his eight cuts, but no top 25s yet. Needs a big run leading up to the U.S. Open. One has to wonder if his ex-wife’s high profile on Twitter is a distraction.
98 William McGirt (82) If you take away last year’s runner-up in Canada, he’s trending nicely to 2012.
99 Matt Jones (98) Could be a threat to pick off a weaker event, and in much better shape than a 2012 campaign that forced a trip to Q School.
100 Brian Davis (88) Came alive with a T6 in Houston and has one of his favorite stops on tap this week at Harbour Town.
101 Vijay Singh (96) Continues to be a moving target until we understand the fallout from the deer antler spray, but his current form doesn’t merit much better than this. Had nine three putts at Augusta National.
102 John Huh (83) Nabbed his second top 25 of the year at the Masters, giving us hope that the 2012 rookie of the year is ready to become relevant in 2013.
103 Daniel Summerhays (108) A T7 at the Valero Texas Open allows us to plug him safely inside the top 125.
104 Mark Wilson (122) We are moving into the warmer months, which has traditionally been bad for Wilson.
105 Matt Every (56) More inconsistent than last year, making him very much a risk/reward player.
106 Kyle Stanley (118) His ball-striking is acceptable at this point. It’s all on the flat stick, where he’s 190th in strokes gained.
107 Kevin Na (66) A 10 at the 12th of the Masters in the final round brought back memories of his 16 at the Valero Texas Open in 2011.
108 Retief Goosen (62) A bit disappointing that he hasn’t cracked a top 25 since his T9 at Pebble Beach.
109 George McNeill (97) Only missed one cut, but doesn’t have a top 25. If this is his best stretch of golf, he’s in trouble. If it’s his worst, he’s golden.
110 Sang-moon Bae (60) A T8 at Riviera didn’t lead to much in Florida or Texas.
111 Jonas Blixt (50) Seems like all the sophomore’s are slumping compared to 2012, and the Swede is no exception.
112 Roberto Castro (106) Three top 25s overshadow six missed cuts when you get to this point of the list.
113 Tommy Gainey (51) I still expect him to show up a few times ,but with nine missed cuts in 12 starts it’s time for a fade.
114 Gary Woodland (NR) Making more cuts than he’s missing, he just needs one or two big weeks to secure a 2013-2014 TOUR card.
115 Jonathan Byrd (94) Missed his first two cuts upon returning from injury, but had some flashes that show he’s at least healthy. Quail Hollow and Muirfield Village will be important judges of form.
116 Y.E. Yang (NR) Nothing better than a T18 in eight starts.
117 Ross Fisher (64) The English rookie is making more cuts than he’s missing, but only has one top 25.
118 Jerry Kelly (NR) He’s 5-for-9 with one top 25. Actually, almost identical to the aforementioned Fisher.
119 Erik Compton (NR) It would be one of the feel-good stories of the year if he could retain his card. Trending well, currently at 60th in the FEC standings, but only had one top 25 from this point on last year.
120 David Hearn (100) Missed six of 10 cuts, but a T8 and a T16 mean stay patient.
121 Sean O’Hair (102) A bit of an enigma, he currently sits 130th in the FEC standings and could finish anywhere any given week.
122 David Toms (68) Made the cut at the Masters, but has struggled for stretches of 2013.
123 Robert Streb (NR) A T18 at The Honda Classic, T11 in Puerto Rico and a T21 in Houston up his total to four top 25s in 11 starts. Could turn into the Brian Harman of the 2013 rookie class.
124 Johnson Wagner (91) Red alert. Some of his best events are behind him and he’s 124th in the FEC standings with one top 25.
125 J.J. Henry (120) Made seven (of 10) cuts this year, but not enough high finishes to do any better than 123rd in current FEC standings.
Falling out: Scott Langley (74), J.B. Holmes (87), Ted Potter, Jr. (92), Patrick Reed (101), Brad Fritsch (104), Casey Wittenberg (105), Steve Marino (107), Troy Matteson (111), Ricky Barnes (114), Greg Owen (117), Justin Hicks (119), Chad Campbell (123), Tom Gillis (124).
We will return following THE PLAYERS to see if the golfers are behaving according to plan or if they have flipped things upside down on us.
Best of luck to all!