Roto Position Primer: Shooting Guard

Yahoo! Sports

Position Primers: PG

Shooting guard is not a top-heavy position, but it makes up for its low number of early picks with very good depth overall and a variety of upside candidates in the later rounds. Only three players with shooting guard eligibility have a current ADP inside the first two rounds, but 15 players have an ADP that places them in Rounds 5-7 and the final rounds feature a number of excellent options relative to their cost. In general, you'll want to look for one of three things from your shooting guards: high-volume offense, high-efficiency offense, or diverse multi-category lines. The shooting guard position also tends to produce three-point and steals specialists in the mid-to-late rounds.

Position averages, top 25 shooting guards in year-end Yahoo! rank
09-10 - 45% FG, 80% FT, 1.4 3PM, 17.4 PTS, 4.2 REB, 3.8 AST, 2.1 TO, 1.3 STL, 0.3 BLK
08-09 - 46% FG, 81% FT, 1.4 3PM, 17.9 PTS, 4.3 REB, 3.7 AST, 2.1 TO, 1/3 STL, 0.4 BLK

The rankings below are for nine-category roto leagues. “ADP” numbers are as of 10/11 and “09-10” denotes a player’s year-end rank from the 2009-10 season

Tier 1

ADP

09-10

Notes

Dwyane Wade(notes)

5.9

6

Efficiency gains and d-stat boost should help offset usage loss

Kobe Bryant(notes)

5.8

17

Showed legendary durability last season, few doubts he could do it again

Tier 2

ADP

09-10

Notes

Andre Iguodala(notes)

24.1

26

FT% a bit of a drag but fills it up and FG% should improve under Collins

Brandon Roy(notes)

23.9

66

Draft freely near the end of r2 in roto and rejoice if he falls to you in r3

Tier 3

ADP

09-10

Notes

Manu Ginobili(notes)

40.7

16

Freakish performer doesn't need more than 27 minutes to justify r3

Tyreke Evans(notes)

31.6

71

A bit less ideal for roto due to average-ish percentages, limited 3PM

Monta Ellis(notes)

31.5

61

A bargain or a bust in r3, but all the early signs have been very good

Joe Johnson(notes)

28.0

29

Shying away from him because of the move to a motion system in ATL

Tier 4

ADP

09-10

Notes

Jason Richardson(notes)

53.0

40

Hard to envision scenarios where J-Rich has anything but a huge season

Kevin Martin(notes)

51.6

143

Will help decide league champs if he stays healthy, but those are bad odds

Paul Pierce(notes)

37.5

35

Rest down the stretch means less in roto, overall rank is what matters

Tier 5

ADP

09-10

Notes

Stephen Jackson(notes)

48.2

48

He's an asset, but you need efficiency elsewhere to balance his numbers

Raymond Felton(notes)

60.4

59

A great system, but decision-making and shot selection are up to him

Caron Butler(notes)

77.5

65

All the vibes so far point to this draft position being a serious bargain

Gilbert Arenas(notes)

60.0

235

Three seasons removed from top-10 impact, how much can he get back?

Trevor Ariza(notes)

78.2

87

Great 3PM+STL+BLK, and fewer attempts should lessen his %s impact

Ray Allen(notes)

61.5

30

A brilliant complement if your draft has a less-than-efficient start

Jason Terry(notes)

74.1

38

True roto impact, heavily reliant on efficiency, is perennially underrated

O.J. Mayo(notes)

64.3

43

No real upside or downside from this spot given the team continuity

Tier 6

ADP

09-10

Notes

Hedo Turkoglu(notes)

75.9

115

I still think he's in for a good season, but not so sure it happens at PF

Marcus Thornton(notes)

75.2

104

Being pegged as a reserve is a bummer, but he'll still be a key for the team

Eric Gordon(notes)

83.6

145

Could be a sneaky-good sleeper pick after struggling with injury in 09-10

John Salmons(notes)

82.1

42

Maggette demands some usage but Salmons' role overall is secure

Tier 7

ADP

09-10

Notes

Jamal Crawford(notes)

78.4

47

Similar role, but his usage will drop in the team’s new motion offense

Vince Carter(notes)

84.9

67

It's hard to envision anything but modest improvements as a best-case

Mike Miller(notes)

110.5

140

Will have a consistent role and his looks will be of the utmost quality

Nicolas Batum(notes)

112.2

191

Locked into the starting SF spot, think Battier with much better offense

Anthony Morrow(notes)

101.1

68

Won't hurt you anywhere, but 3PM will be the only substantial positive

Reggie Williams(notes)

134.4

236

Talented scorer will be a factor as a reserve; Ellis tends to miss games too

Tier 8

ADP

09-10

Notes

Leandro Barbosa(notes)

126.6

261

His offensive skills are unique in TOR, but the depth chart is crowded

Dorell Wright(notes)

147.7

142

Lots of opportunity as the starting SF, but it's up to him to seize it

Linas Kleiza(notes)

135.0

na

Slated to start at SF and should emerge as No.2 scoring option

J.R. Smith(notes)

108.4

106

Reports have been good so far, but Afflalo will keep his impact in check

Rodney Stuckey(notes)

107.8

117

Yet to show signs of a significant fantasy ceiling, particularly for roto

George Hill(notes)

123.8

102

A safe option here, but only so much ceiling while everyone is healthy

Jeff Teague(notes)

na

290

It would be a real surprise if he isn’t starting over Bibby in short order

Terrence Williams(notes)

128.0

238

Counting stats should be good, but the %s could really be a downer

Ben Gordon(notes)

126.4

177

Won't be as bad as last season but only so many minutes available here

Jarrett Jack(notes)

136.6

85

Strict platoon will limit the fantasy potential of both Jack and Calderon

Tier 9

ADP

09-10

Notes

Ramon Sessions(notes)

147.8

254

Specifics of his role are TBD, but will be firmly in the minutes mix

Louis Williams(notes)

143.0

82

Impressive per-minute production, but the depth chart is crowded

Francisco Garcia(notes)

na

289

Will be a rotation mainstay and could still end up starting at SF

Ronnie Brewer(notes)

na

169

Very specific contributions include the most STL you can find this late

James Harden(notes)

144.2

134

Immense offensive talent will challenge Thabo for the starting gig

Evan Turner(notes)

106.3

na

Expectations have to be tempered with a reserve role and team makeup

Kirk Hinrich(notes)

140.9

103

Should see steady run as the primary backup at both guard spots

Rodrigue Beaubois(notes)

144.8

228

Still dealing with foot issues, but will be a fantasy factor at some point

Tier 10

ADP

09-10

Notes

Mike Dunleavy

143.0

175

Zero risk here, given that he'll start as long as his knee is truly healthy

Josh Childress(notes)

145.2

na

Easy to like the skills/system match, but how many minutes are there?

Omri Casspi(notes)

145.2

179

He's yet to distinguish himself in the battle for the starting SF spot

C.J. Miles(notes)

na

193

Prep-to-pro vet could step up his offensive game in his sixth season

DeMar DeRozan(notes)

138.4

200

Supreme athlete figures to be a few years away from a complete game

J.J. Redick(notes)

na

137

Makes sense as a handcuff to VC and as a deep-league spot starter

Arron Afflalo(notes)

na

128

Career 40% 3PM but his usage and minutes are capped on this team

Wesley Matthews(notes)

na

132

Inherits Rudy's minutes and Roy has been known to miss some games

Grant Hill(notes)

na

79

Plays full seasons now but plenty of company on the wings in PHO

Carlos Delfino(notes)

na

90

Made fans last season but Maggette will challenge for playing time

Marco Belinelli(notes)

na

225

Certainly garners some interest as the starting SG, but Thornton will play

Richard Hamilton(notes)

137.4

226

There are worse options this late, assuming his FG% rebounds

Ron Artest(notes)

121.3

109

Some steals and threes but his line isn't exactly suited for the roto game

Josh Howard(notes)

143.1

285

Easy to forget he's 30 years old, hard to envision a return to prominence

Tier 11

ADP

09-10

Notes

Corey Brewer(notes)

na

148

Hard to see anything but a platoon-like situation at SG for the T- Wolves

Courtney Lee(notes)

na

80

Gets a mention as a deep-league bench option and handcuff for KevMart

Chase Budinger(notes)

na

166

Solid when he got minutes as a rookie, but Battier's defense gets starts

Kyle Korver(notes)

na

216

Knocks down a few threes but literally nothing else for the fantasy game

Raja Bell(notes)

na

352

Could start but only got so much to offer at this stage of the game

Brandon Rush(notes)

na

116

Suspension, Dunleavy, and rookie George all working against him

Daniel Gibson(notes)

na

244

Has impressed in camp so far and could push for minutes at SG

Randy Foye(notes)

na

184

Should be a factor at some point, given that he’s behind B-Diddy

Martell Webster(notes)

na

129

Should challenge for minutes thanks to his consistent outside shot

Kelenna Azubuike(notes)

143.9

335

His knee is iffy but will be in the SG mix if he can get back to 100%

Thabo Sefolosha(notes)

na

124

Solid defensive numbers largely offset by a complete lack of offense

Goran Dragic(notes)

na

194

His fantasy impact is completely tied to Nash’s minutes/health

Jared Dudley(notes)

na

95

Solid in his reserve role last season but now facing uncertain minutes

Mickael Pietrus(notes)

na

165

Could end up starting at SF but it's not a real position to succeed

Sonny Weems(notes)

na

211

Athletic finisher will get some run if DeRozan isn't ready for primetime

Tracy McGrady(notes)

133.9

314

How many minutes can he handle and who does he steal them from?

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