Looks/Touches Projections

The following projections are made with assumed 16-game health for the majority of players. In cases where players have a consistent history of missing games (Julius Jones, DeShaun Foster, etc), or a player's current injury will likely limit him in at least the early going of this coming season (Domanick Davis, Braylon Edwards, etc), the projections are qualified based on the anticipation of time or effectiveness lost.



Touches is defined as the number of times a running back carried or caught the football.
Looks is defined as the number of times a player was the intended target of a pass.

Projected 2006 Touch Leaders

RANK

PLAYER

TEAM

TOUCH

1

Larry Johnson

KC

420

2

LaDainian Tomlinson

SD

419

3

Clinton Portis

WAS

408

4

Shaun Alexander

SEA

383

5

Rudi Johnson

CIN

379

6

Edgerrin James

ARI

376

7

Tiki Barber

NYG

370

8

LaMont Jordan

OAK

368

9

Willis McGahee

BUF

367

10

Ronnie Brown

MIA

365

11

Steven Jackson

STL

358

12

Chester Taylor

MIN

357

13

Reuben Droughns

CLE

356

14

Carnell Williams

TB

332

15

Julius Jones

DAL

308

16

Corey Dillon

NE

305

17

Willie Parker

PIT

294

18

Warrick Dunn

ATL

287

19

Kevin Jones

DET

273

20

Brian Westbrook

PHI

266

21

Deuce McAllister

NO

266

22

DeShaun Foster

CAR

265

23

Ron Dayne

DEN

265

24

Domanick Davis

HOU

264

25

Jamal Lewis

BAL

261

26

Cedric Benson

CHI

260

27

Chris Brown

TEN

255

28

Tatum Bell

DEN

246

29

Dominic Rhodes

IND

240

30

Fred Taylor

JAX

236

31

Cedric Houston

NYJ

234

32

DeAngelo Williams

CAR

222

33

Ahman Green

GB

220

34

Thomas Jones

CHI

212

35

Frank Gore

SF

211

36

Reggie Bush

NO

203

37

Kevan Barlow

SF

195

38

Mewelde Moore

MIN

174

39

Marion Barber

DAL

168

40

Mike Anderson

BAL

160

41

Joseph Addai

IND

160

42

Greg Jones

JAX

156

43

Derrick Blaylock

NYJ

154

44

Laurence Maroney

NE

154

45

Duce Staley

PIT

149

46

T.J. Duckett

ATL

145

47

Chris Perry

CIN

136

48

Ryan Moats

PHI

134

49

Samkon Gado

GB

130

50

Antowain Smith

HOU

129

Projected 2006 WR Look Leaders

RANK

PLAYER

TEAM

LOOK

1

Larry Fitzgerald

ARI

179

2

Terrell Owens

DAL

177

3

Chris Chambers

MIA

168

4

Plaxico Burress

NYG

166

5

Anquan Boldin

ARI

165

6

Torry Holt

STL

162

7

Chad Johnson

CIN

162

8

Steve Smith

CAR

160

9

Randy Moss

OAK

154

10

Donald Driver

GB

154

11

Derrick Mason

BAL

154

12

Marvin Harrison

IND

152

13

Reggie Wayne

IND

136

14

Laveranues Coles

NYJ

136

15

Muhsin Muhammad

CHI

135

16

Hines Ward

PIT

134

17

T.J. Houshmandzadeh

CIN

134

18

Santana Moss

WAS

133

19

Ernest Wilford

JAX

133

20

Darrell Jackson

SEA

133

21

Drew Bennett

TEN

132

22

Andre Johnson

HOU

131

23

Javon Walker

DEN

130

24

Joey Galloway

TB

128

25

Deion Branch

NE

128

26

Jerry Porter

OAK

126

27

Michael Clayton

TB

126

28

Joe Horn

NO

125

29

Roy Williams

DET

123

30

Matt Jones

JAX

123

31

Nate Burleson

SEA

122

32

Lee Evans

BUF

120

33

Rod Smith

DEN

120

34

Reggie Brown

PHI

116

35

Eddie Kennison

KC

116

36

Amani Toomer

NYG

112

37

Donte' Stallworth

NO

107

38

Koren Robinson

MIN

107

39

Marty Booker

MIA

105

40

Justin McCareins

NYJ

104

41

Keenan McCardell

SD

104

42

Antonio Bryant

SF

102

43

David Givens

TEN

102

44

Keyshawn Johnson

CAR

101

45

Joe Jurevicius

CLE

98

46

Michael Jenkins

ATL

96

47

Roddy White

ATL

94

48

Kevin Curtis

STL

93

49

Eric Moulds

HOU

92

50

Travis Taylor

MIN

91

51

Terry Glenn

DAL

91

52

Peerless Price

BUF

90

53

Samie Parker

KC

89

54

Robert Ferguson

GB

88

55

Braylon Edwards

CLE

88

56

Greg Jennings

GB

87

57

Troy Williamson

MIN

86

58

Cedrick Wilson

PIT

86

59

Mark Clayton

BAL

85

60

Reggie Williams

JAX

85

Projected 2006 TE Look Leaders

RANK

PLAYER

TEAM

LOOK

1

Antonio Gates

SD

157

2

L.J. Smith

PHI

136

3

Todd Heap

BAL

133

4

Jeremy Shockey

NYG

128

5

Alge Crumpler

ATL

126

6

Chris Cooley

WAS

119

7

Randy McMichael

MIA

114

8

Tony Gonzalez

KC

112

9

Jason Witten

DAL

106

10

Ben Troupe

TEN

96

11

Jermaine Wiggins

MIN

92

12

Eric Johnson

SF

86

13

Kellen Winslow

CLE

83

14

Jerramy Stevens

SEA

75

15

Erron Kinney

TEN

72

16

Dallas Clark

IND

66

17

Benjamin Watson

NE

66

18

Vernon Davis

SF

65

19

Heath Miller

PIT

65

20

Jeb Putzier

HOU

65

21

Alex Smith

TB

64

22

Zachary Hilton

NO

62

23

Courtney Anderson

OAK

57

24

Doug Jolley

NYJ

56

25

Desmond Clark

CHI

56

26

Joe Klopfenstein

STL

53

Projected 2006 Touch Leaders

RANK

PLAYER

TEAM

TOUCH

1

Larry Johnson

KC

420

2

LaDainian Tomlinson

SD

419

3

Clinton Portis

WAS

408

4

Shaun Alexander

SEA

383

5

Rudi Johnson

CIN

379

6

Edgerrin James

ARI

376

7

Tiki Barber

NYG

370

8

LaMont Jordan

OAK

368

9

Willis McGahee

BUF

367

10

Ronnie Brown

MIA

365

11

Steven Jackson

STL

358

12

Chester Taylor

MIN

357

13

Reuben Droughns

CLE

356

14

Carnell Williams

TB

332

15

Julius Jones

DAL

308

16

Corey Dillon

NE

305

17

Willie Parker

PIT

294

18

Warrick Dunn

ATL

287

19

Kevin Jones

DET

273

20

Brian Westbrook

PHI

266

21

Deuce McAllister

NO

266

22

DeShaun Foster

CAR

265

23

Ron Dayne

DEN

265

24

Domanick Davis

HOU

264

25

Jamal Lewis

BAL

261

26

Cedric Benson

CHI

260

27

Chris Brown

TEN

255

28

Tatum Bell

DEN

246

29

Dominic Rhodes

IND

240

30

Fred Taylor

JAX

236

31

Cedric Houston

NYJ

234

32

DeAngelo Williams

CAR

222

33

Ahman Green

GB

220

34

Thomas Jones

CHI

212

35

Frank Gore

SF

211

36

Reggie Bush

NO

203

37

Kevan Barlow

SF

195

38

Mewelde Moore

MIN

174

39

Marion Barber

DAL

168

40

Mike Anderson

BAL

160

41

Joseph Addai

IND

160

42

Greg Jones

JAX

156

43

Derrick Blaylock

NYJ

154

44

Laurence Maroney

NE

154

45

Duce Staley

PIT

149

46

T.J. Duckett

ATL

145

47

Chris Perry

CIN

136

48

Ryan Moats

PHI

134

49

Samkon Gado

GB

130

50

Antowain Smith

HOU

129

Projected 2006 WR Look Leaders

RANK

PLAYER

TEAM

LOOK

1

Larry Fitzgerald

ARI

179

2

Terrell Owens

DAL

177

3

Chris Chambers

MIA

168

4

Plaxico Burress

NYG

166

5

Anquan Boldin

ARI

165

6

Torry Holt

STL

162

7

Chad Johnson

CIN

162

8

Steve Smith

CAR

160

9

Randy Moss

OAK

154

10

Donald Driver

GB

154

11

Derrick Mason

BAL

154

12

Marvin Harrison

IND

152

13

Reggie Wayne

IND

136

14

Laveranues Coles

NYJ

136

15

Muhsin Muhammad

CHI

135

16

Hines Ward

PIT

134

17

T.J. Houshmandzadeh

CIN

134

18

Santana Moss

WAS

133

19

Ernest Wilford

JAX

133

20

Darrell Jackson

SEA

133

21

Drew Bennett

TEN

132

22

Andre Johnson

HOU

131

23

Javon Walker

DEN

130

24

Joey Galloway

TB

128

25

Deion Branch

NE

128

26

Jerry Porter

OAK

126

27

Michael Clayton

TB

126

28

Joe Horn

NO

125

29

Roy Williams

DET

123

30

Matt Jones

JAX

123

31

Nate Burleson

SEA

122

32

Lee Evans

BUF

120

33

Rod Smith

DEN

120

34

Reggie Brown

PHI

116

35

Eddie Kennison

KC

116

36

Amani Toomer

NYG

112

37

Donte' Stallworth

NO

107

38

Koren Robinson

MIN

107

39

Marty Booker

MIA

105

40

Justin McCareins

NYJ

104

41

Keenan McCardell

SD

104

42

Antonio Bryant

SF

102

43

David Givens

TEN

102

44

Keyshawn Johnson

CAR

101

45

Joe Jurevicius

CLE

98

46

Michael Jenkins

ATL

96

47

Roddy White

ATL

94

48

Kevin Curtis

STL

93

49

Eric Moulds

HOU

92

50

Travis Taylor

MIN

91

51

Terry Glenn

DAL

91

52

Peerless Price

BUF

90

53

Samie Parker

KC

89

54

Robert Ferguson

GB

88

55

Braylon Edwards

CLE

88

56

Greg Jennings

GB

87

57

Troy Williamson

MIN

86

58

Cedrick Wilson

PIT

86

59

Mark Clayton

BAL

85

60

Reggie Williams

JAX

85

Projected 2006 TE Look Leaders

RANK

PLAYER

TEAM

LOOK

1

Antonio Gates

SD

157

2

L.J. Smith

PHI

136

3

Todd Heap

BAL

133

4

Jeremy Shockey

NYG

128

5

Alge Crumpler

ATL

126

6

Chris Cooley

WAS

119

7

Randy McMichael

MIA

114

8

Tony Gonzalez

KC

112

9

Jason Witten

DAL

106

10

Ben Troupe

TEN

96

11

Jermaine Wiggins

MIN

92

12

Eric Johnson

SF

86

13

Kellen Winslow

CLE

83

14

Jerramy Stevens

SEA

75

15

Erron Kinney

TEN

72

16

Dallas Clark

IND

66

17

Benjamin Watson

NE

66

18

Vernon Davis

SF

65

19

Heath Miller

PIT

65

20

Jeb Putzier

HOU

65

21

Alex Smith

TB

64

22

Zachary Hilton

NO

62

23

Courtney Anderson

OAK

57

24

Doug Jolley

NYJ

56

25

Desmond Clark

CHI

56

26

Joe Klopfenstein

STL

53

RB Touches

Larry Johnson, LaDainian Tomlinson, and Clinton Portis look to be the only members of the 400-plus touch club. Shaun Alexander and Rudi Johnson would also join them if they were utilized more as receivers. Last season, Tiki Barber (411) and Edgerrin James (404) were the only two backs with more than 400 touches. Barber figures to see a somewhat smaller load this season, and James will lose some touches thanks to Arizona's aerial show.

Players who figure to see the biggest gains and are near the top of the list are Ronnie Brown (239 touches in 2005), Steven Jackson (297), and Chester Taylor (158). Brown no longer will be competing with Ricky Williams for touches, Jackson is finally out of Marshall Faulk's literal shadow, and Taylor joins the Vikings as their featured back after four seasons as an understudy in Baltimore.

There are currently at least eight non-injury related platoons or platoon-like situations. They include: Atlanta (Warrick Dunn, T.J. Duckett), New Orleans (Deuce McAllister, Reggie Bush), Denver (Ron Dayne, Tatum Bell, Mike Bell?!), Baltimore (Jamal Lewis, Mike Anderson), Chicago (Cedric Benson, Thomas Jones), Indianapolis (Dominic Rhodes, Joseph Addai), San Francisco (Frank Gore, Kevan Barlow), and the New York Jets (Cedric Houston, Derrick Blaylock, Curtis Martin?).

The most recent news regarding Curtis Martin's status came via an August 7 article in The Star-Ledger, in which a Jets team official, speaking on the condition of anonymity, said that the veteran's knee is "bone on bone." Statements like "there is growing concern that Martin's career is in jeopardy" and "If Martin does play this season, it's unlikely it will be at the start of the season" were also contained in the piece. Considering all the factors, the projections for the Jets here assume that Martin makes little to no impact as a player this season. Cedric Houston filled in reasonably well for Martin late last season, so he is the assumed starter with Derrick Blaylock getting some consistent touches, as well. Rumors are circulating that the Jets are pursuing the Titans' Chris Brown and the Bears' Thomas Jones, with Brown being a more likely candidate for a trade. Obviously, any trade would affect the numbers for both of the backfields of the teams involved.

WR Looks

The Cardinals offense will produce the most looks for a single receiver for the second consecutive season, but Larry Fitzgerald (165 looks in 2005) replaces teammate Anquan Boldin (171) atop the list. Fitzgerald, already one of the top talents in the game, will be entering mythical fantasy territory as a wide receiver in his third NFL season and, if history is any indication, Boldin will likely miss at least one game to injury.

One of the biggest gainers in looks this coming season will, of course, be Terrell Owens (92 looks in 2005). Owens played just seven games last season after pulling a series of "Terrell Owens'" that eventually led to his eventual dismissal from the Eagles. Cowboys coach Bill Parcells will likely reap the benefits from and the accolades for a reformed Owens this season, but fantasy owners who get production from Owens for the full season (barring injury) have the hard line that the Eagles took to thank. Anything beyond this season is still a crapshoot, however.

Also likely to be among the biggest gains in looks are Jaguars wideouts Matt Jones (69 looks in 2005) and Ernest Wilford (74). Jimmy Smith saw 128 looks in 2005, and his retirement presents great opportunities for Jacksonville's big, young receivers. The 6-foot-4 Wilford has done nothing but impress in camp and is poised for a breakout campaign as option No.1 for Byron Leftwich. The 6-foot-6 Jones has been battling a recent ankle sprain, but is the most intriguing "talent" and, according to reports, is facing very little competition for a starting role from the ever-disappointing Reggie Williams, who happens to be 6-foot-4 himself.

You don't have to be listed as WR1 to make a serious fantasy impact. Players currently listed as WR2 who figure to be among the top 40 most targeted receivers include: Reggie Wayne, T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Javon Walker, Jerry Porter, Michael Clayton, Matt Jones, Nate Burleson, Amani Toomer, Donte' Stallworth, and Marty Booker.

TE Looks

Antonio Gates will once again top the leaderboard at TE, as he lead the position with 140 looks in 2005. With Philip Rivers taking over at quarterback in San Diego, his importance as a safety valve and dependable target in general will be even more paramount this season.

Gates would face serious fantasy competition from Ben Troupe if the Titans weren't so happy with spreading the ball around. Titans tight ends, including Troupe (80 looks in 2005), Erron Kinney (72) and Bo Scaife (56) combined for 211 looks, easily the most in the league. Baltimore finished second, targeting Todd Heap and company 170 times, and San Diego finished third with 160.

L.J. Smith could be a big fantasy surprise at tight end. He is currently the 10th tight end drafted in Yahoo! leagues on average. However, with the Eagles' wide receiver corps average at best, Smith is likely to be targeted by Donovan McNabb an exceptional amount, and his fourth NFL season should easily be his best.

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