History lesson: Second-round QBs carry major bust factor

Len Pasquarelli, The Sports Xchange
The SportsXchange

History is always a component of the draft, and when one considers the recent track record of quarterbacks chosen in the second round, it's arguably a little easier to understand how/why some franchises "reach" and elevate players at the position into the initial stanza.

In the past 10 years, there have been 11 quarterbacks selected in the second round, and the "bust rate" of the group is alarming. It includes washouts such as Pat White (Miami, 2009), Brian Brohm (Buffalo, 2008), Jimmy Clausen (Carolina, 2010), Drew Stanton (Detroit, 2007), John Beck (Miami, 2007) and Kellen Clemens (New York Jets, 2006).

Beyond Andy Dalton of Cincinnati, who started all 16 games as a rookie in 2011 and took the Bengals to a wild card berth, there's been little production.

In fairness, it should be noted that the jury is still out on 2011 second-rounder Colin Kaepernick (49ers), that Chad Henne and Kevin Kolb can still have solid careers and that Tarvaris Jackson will vie with Matt Flynn for the starting job in Seattle this year.

By and large, though, quarterbacks chosen in the second round have bombed.

In fact, the league went four straight drafts, 2002-2005, without a single second-round quarterback. In the past 10 years, the second-round has featured more than two quarterbacks only once, in 2007, when Kolb, Stanton and Beck were chosen.

Of the 31 starting jobs projected for 2012 -- excluding the Seahawks' situation -- just three are peopled by former second-rounders. By comparison, there are two sixth- and seventh-rounders each, and two who entered the NFL as undrafted free agents.

And so teams that may consider waiting until the second round next week to grab a candidate such as Brandon Weeden of Oklahoma State might want to consider the history.