Every factor indicates that Hawaii should win this game. It has the No. 1 passing, scoring and total offense in the country, and the nation's most prolific QB in Colt Brennan. The Warriors are playing a home game (where they average 48 points per game) and, at 10-3, have a chance to win the most games ever in a Hawaii season.
Arizona St. is playing with a lame duck head coach in Dirk Koetter and has an offense that has struggled all season. This year's Sun Devil team was supposed to possibly contend for the conference title, but limped home at 7-5 going just 4-4 in conference play.
Hawaii has given up a lot of points this year, but so has ASU. So, even if State scores a bunch, Hawaii should be able to come right back with even more.
There is always the "win the last one for coach" angle, but if ASU were able to elivate its game, it probably would have happened during the regular season when it could have actually saved his job.