2007 Looks/Touches Projections

The following projections are made with assumed 16-game health for the majority of players. In cases where players have a consistent history of missing games (DeShaun Foster, Darrell Jackson, etc), or a player's contributions will likely be limited in at least the early going of this coming season (Dominic Rhodes, Kevin Jones, etc), the projections are qualified based on the anticipation of time or effectiveness lost.

Touches is defined as the number of times a running back carried or caught the football.
Looks is defined as the number of times a player was the intended target of a pass.

Projected 2007 Touch Leaders

RANK

PLAYER

TEAM

TOUCH

1

LaDainian Tomlinson

SD

402

2

Steven Jackson

STL

399

3

Larry Johnson

KC

391

4

Edgerrin James

ARI

385

5

Joseph Addai

IND

382

6

Willie Parker

PIT

374

7

Frank Gore

SF

356

8

Rudi Johnson

CIN

347

9

Travis Henry

DEN

345

10

Willis McGahee

BAL

339

11

Ronnie Brown

MIA

328

12

Cedric Benson

CHI

323

13

Jamal Lewis

CLE

316

14

Thomas Jones

NYJ

315

15

Shaun Alexander

SEA

313

16

Brandon Jacobs

NYG

306

17

Brian Westbrook

PHI

304

18

Carnell Williams

TB

299

19

Laurence Maroney

NE

291

20

Clinton Portis

WAS

274

21

Ahman Green

HOU

259

22

Reggie Bush

NO

256

23

Julius Jones

DAL

252

24

Marshawn Lynch

BUF

251

25

DeAngelo Williams

CAR

237

26

Vernand Morency

GB

236

27

Deuce McAllister

NO

235

28

LaMont Jordan

OAK

232

29

Jerious Norwood

ATL

226

30

Maurice Jones-Drew

JAC

225

31

Tatum Bell

DET

222

32

LenDale White

TEN

215

33

Fred Taylor

JAC

212

33

Adrian Peterson

MIN

212

35

Warrick Dunn

ATL

207

35

Ladell Betts

WAS

207

37

Marion Barber III

DAL

193

37

DeShaun Foster

CAR

193

39

Chester Taylor

MIN

189

40

Anthony Thomas

BUF

179

41

Brandon Jackson

GB

177

42

Dominic Rhodes

OAK

167

43

Ron Dayne

HOU

164

44

Kevin Jones

DET

152

45

Adrian Peterson

CHI

137

46

Leon Washington

NYJ

136

47

Reuben Droughns

NYG

129

48

Michael Pittman

TB

112

49

Mike Bell

DEN

106

50

Lorenzo Booker

MIA

104

Projected 2007 WR Look Leaders

RANK

PLAYER

TEAM

LOOK

1

Torry Holt

STL

173

2

Donald Driver

GB

165

3

Terrell Owens

DAL

156

4

Andre Johnson

HOU

155

5

Anquan Boldin

ARI

154

6

Chad Johnson

CIN

152

7

T.J. Houshmandzadeh

CIN

150

8

Steve Smith

CAR

149

9

Marvin Harrison

IND

146

10

Laveranues Coles

NYJ

144

11

Lee Evans

BUF

142

12

Roy Williams

DET

142

13

Reggie Wayne

IND

142

14

Larry Fitzgerald

ARI

139

15

Randy Moss

NE

136

16

Plaxico Burress

NYG

136

17

Javon Walker

DEN

135

18

Chris Chambers

MIA

135

19

Deion Branch

SEA

130

20

Braylon Edwards

CLE

129

21

Greg Jennings

GB

129

22

Marques Colston

NO

128

23

Jerricho Cotchery

NYJ

128

24

Joey Galloway

TB

125

25

Santana Moss

WAS

119

26

Mark Clayton

BAL

118

27

Hines Ward

PIT

114

28

Bernard Berrian

CHI

112

29

Jerry Porter

OAK

112

30

Joe Horn

ATL

110

31

Derrick Mason

BAL

107

32

D.J. Hackett

SEA

107

33

Calvin Johnson

DET

104

33

Vincent Jackson

SD

104

35

Reggie Brown

PHI

103

35

Troy Williamson

MIN

98

37

Mike Furrey

DET

97

37

Marty Booker

MIA

96

39

Kevin Curtis

PHI

96

40

Muhsin Muhammad

CHI

95

41

Bobby Wade

MIN

91

42

Devery Henderson

NO

91

43

Darrell Jackson

SF

91

44

Isaac Bruce

STL

91

45

Terry Glenn

DAL

89

46

Dwayne Jarrett

CAR

88

47

Ronald Curry

OAK

88

48

Santonio Holmes

PIT

88

49

Ernest Wilford

JAC

87

50

Brandon Jones

TEN

86

51

Drew Bennett

STL

82

52

Michael Jenkins

ATL

80

53

Eddie Kennison

KC

78

54

Matt Jones

JAC

77

55

Michael Clayton

TB

77

56

Keary Colbert

CAR

76

57

Kevin Walter

HOU

76

58

Steve Smith

NYG

76

59

Arnaz Battle

SF

76

60

Bobby Engram

SEA

74

Projected 2007 TE Look Leaders

RANK

PLAYER

TEAM

LOOK

1

Antonio Gates

SD

126

2

Todd Heap

BAL

116

3

Jeremy Shockey

NYG

115

4

Alge Crumpler

ATL

112

5

Chris Cooley

WAS

111

6

Tony Gonzalez

KC

104

7

Vernon Davis

SF

98

8

Kellen Winslow

CLE

91

9

Jason Witten

DAL

91

10

L.J. Smith

PHI

85

11

Benjamin Watson

NE

84

12

Heath Miller

PIT

67

13

Owen Daniels

HOU

60

14

Bo Scaife

TEN

59

15

Daniel Graham

DEN

58

16

Dallas Clark

IND

58

17

Eric Johnson

NO

56

18

Marcus Pollard

SEA

55

19

David Martin

MIA

55

20

Randy McMichael

STL

54

21

Greg Olsen

CHI

53

22

Donald Lee

GB

50

23

Desmond Clark

CHI

49

24

Chris Baker

NYJ

46

25

Marcedes Lewis

JAC

45

Projected 2007 Touch Leaders

RANK

PLAYER

TEAM

TOUCH

1

LaDainian Tomlinson

SD

402

2

Steven Jackson

STL

399

3

Larry Johnson

KC

391

4

Edgerrin James

ARI

385

5

Joseph Addai

IND

382

6

Willie Parker

PIT

374

7

Frank Gore

SF

356

8

Rudi Johnson

CIN

347

9

Travis Henry

DEN

345

10

Willis McGahee

BAL

339

11

Ronnie Brown

MIA

328

12

Cedric Benson

CHI

323

13

Jamal Lewis

CLE

316

14

Thomas Jones

NYJ

315

15

Shaun Alexander

SEA

313

16

Brandon Jacobs

NYG

306

17

Brian Westbrook

PHI

304

18

Carnell Williams

TB

299

19

Laurence Maroney

NE

291

20

Clinton Portis

WAS

274

21

Ahman Green

HOU

259

22

Reggie Bush

NO

256

23

Julius Jones

DAL

252

24

Marshawn Lynch

BUF

251

25

DeAngelo Williams

CAR

237

26

Vernand Morency

GB

236

27

Deuce McAllister

NO

235

28

LaMont Jordan

OAK

232

29

Jerious Norwood

ATL

226

30

Maurice Jones-Drew

JAC

225

31

Tatum Bell

DET

222

32

LenDale White

TEN

215

33

Fred Taylor

JAC

212

33

Adrian Peterson

MIN

212

35

Warrick Dunn

ATL

207

35

Ladell Betts

WAS

207

37

Marion Barber III

DAL

193

37

DeShaun Foster

CAR

193

39

Chester Taylor

MIN

189

40

Anthony Thomas

BUF

179

41

Brandon Jackson

GB

177

42

Dominic Rhodes

OAK

167

43

Ron Dayne

HOU

164

44

Kevin Jones

DET

152

45

Adrian Peterson

CHI

137

46

Leon Washington

NYJ

136

47

Reuben Droughns

NYG

129

48

Michael Pittman

TB

112

49

Mike Bell

DEN

106

50

Lorenzo Booker

MIA

104

Projected 2007 WR Look Leaders

RANK

PLAYER

TEAM

LOOK

1

Torry Holt

STL

173

2

Donald Driver

GB

165

3

Terrell Owens

DAL

156

4

Andre Johnson

HOU

155

5

Anquan Boldin

ARI

154

6

Chad Johnson

CIN

152

7

T.J. Houshmandzadeh

CIN

150

8

Steve Smith

CAR

149

9

Marvin Harrison

IND

146

10

Laveranues Coles

NYJ

144

11

Lee Evans

BUF

142

12

Roy Williams

DET

142

13

Reggie Wayne

IND

142

14

Larry Fitzgerald

ARI

139

15

Randy Moss

NE

136

16

Plaxico Burress

NYG

136

17

Javon Walker

DEN

135

18

Chris Chambers

MIA

135

19

Deion Branch

SEA

130

20

Braylon Edwards

CLE

129

21

Greg Jennings

GB

129

22

Marques Colston

NO

128

23

Jerricho Cotchery

NYJ

128

24

Joey Galloway

TB

125

25

Santana Moss

WAS

119

26

Mark Clayton

BAL

118

27

Hines Ward

PIT

114

28

Bernard Berrian

CHI

112

29

Jerry Porter

OAK

112

30

Joe Horn

ATL

110

31

Derrick Mason

BAL

107

32

D.J. Hackett

SEA

107

33

Calvin Johnson

DET

104

33

Vincent Jackson

SD

104

35

Reggie Brown

PHI

103

35

Troy Williamson

MIN

98

37

Mike Furrey

DET

97

37

Marty Booker

MIA

96

39

Kevin Curtis

PHI

96

40

Muhsin Muhammad

CHI

95

41

Bobby Wade

MIN

91

42

Devery Henderson

NO

91

43

Darrell Jackson

SF

91

44

Isaac Bruce

STL

91

45

Terry Glenn

DAL

89

46

Dwayne Jarrett

CAR

88

47

Ronald Curry

OAK

88

48

Santonio Holmes

PIT

88

49

Ernest Wilford

JAC

87

50

Brandon Jones

TEN

86

51

Drew Bennett

STL

82

52

Michael Jenkins

ATL

80

53

Eddie Kennison

KC

78

54

Matt Jones

JAC

77

55

Michael Clayton

TB

77

56

Keary Colbert

CAR

76

57

Kevin Walter

HOU

76

58

Steve Smith

NYG

76

59

Arnaz Battle

SF

76

60

Bobby Engram

SEA

74

Projected 2007 TE Look Leaders

RANK

PLAYER

TEAM

LOOK

1

Antonio Gates

SD

126

2

Todd Heap

BAL

116

3

Jeremy Shockey

NYG

115

4

Alge Crumpler

ATL

112

5

Chris Cooley

WAS

111

6

Tony Gonzalez

KC

104

7

Vernon Davis

SF

98

8

Kellen Winslow

CLE

91

9

Jason Witten

DAL

91

10

L.J. Smith

PHI

85

11

Benjamin Watson

NE

84

12

Heath Miller

PIT

67

13

Owen Daniels

HOU

60

14

Bo Scaife

TEN

59

15

Daniel Graham

DEN

58

16

Dallas Clark

IND

58

17

Eric Johnson

NO

56

18

Marcus Pollard

SEA

55

19

David Martin

MIA

55

20

Randy McMichael

STL

54

21

Greg Olsen

CHI

53

22

Donald Lee

GB

50

23

Desmond Clark

CHI

49

24

Chris Baker

NYJ

46

25

Marcedes Lewis

JAC

45

RB Touches

Last season, Larry Johnson (457), Steven Jackson (436), and LaDainian Tomlinson (404) logged more than 400 touches. I'm only expecting a repeat performance from Tomlinson – Johnson will have a lighter load coming off an NFL record 416 carries and Jackson will see his role in the passing game scaled back a bit after finishing seventh in the league in receptions, but Tomlinson's workload should remain virtually unchanged.

Players who make the most substantial moves up the leaderboard – Joseph Addai (266 touches in 2006), Brandon Jacobs (107), and Laurence Maroney (197). Addai is now a featured back after sharing the load with Dominic Rhodes (223) last season – Edgerrin James averaged 372 touches from 2002-05 with the Colts. Jacobs – all 6-foot-4, 264 pounds of him – will be given every opportunity to receive the lion's share of the workload for the Giants, even if Reuben Droughns is a fairly respectable backup. Maroney may give way to Kevin Faulk on many passing downs, but he'll be on the field much more often than not now that Corey Dillon (214) is no longer a member of the same backfield.

There's never been more reason to grab two undisputed starters at RB1 with your first two picks, as plenty of platoon or platoon-like situations either already exist or appear very likely to be in place at some point during the season. They include: Atlanta (Warrick Dunn, Jerious Norwood), Carolina (DeShaun Foster, DeAngelo Williams), Dallas (Julius Jones, Marion Barber III), Detroit (Tatum Bell, Kevin Jones (INJ)), Green Bay (Vernand Morency, Brandon Jackson), Jacksonville (Fred Taylor, Maurice Jones-Drew), Minnesota (Chester Taylor, Adrian Peterson), New Orleans (Reggie Bush, Deuce McAllister), Oakland (LaMont Jordan, Dominic Rhodes (SUSP)), and Washington (Clinton Portis, Ladell Betts).

WR Looks

I wouldn't anticipate the top five changing much from last season's final standings. Torry Holt has averaged 11.4 looks per game over the past two seasons; Brett Favre once again figures to lean heavily on Donald Driver (9.7 looks per game in 2005-06); everyone involved is happier when Terrell Owens gets plenty of looks; Andre Johnson remains the only reliable option at wideout in the Houston passing game; and new Arizona coach Ken Whisenhunt has promised that Boldin will be at least as active in the offensive game-plan as he has been. The one change – don't expect Chris Chambers to once again see more looks than all but a few WR in the game.

Players among the biggest anticipated gainers for the upcoming season include: Deion Branch (101 looks in 2006), D.J. Hackett (67), Jerry Porter (4), Vincent Jackson (56), and Kevin Curtis (56). Branch and Hackett take over as WR1 and WR2 for the Seahawks with the departure of Darrell Jackson. Porter revolted against the Art Shell hiring in Oakland and barely saw the field in 2006, but he's back as the WR1 for the new regime. The 6-foot-5, 241 pound Jackson emerged late last season and is expected to be a solid WR1 for Philip Rivers and the Chargers. Curtis should see plenty of action as the WR2 in Philly – Donte' Stallworth averaged 6.5 looks in 12 games at the position for the Eagles last season.

TE Looks

There's little reason to expect Antonio Gates (120 looks in 2006) to finish anywhere but comfortably at the top of the TE leaderboard.

Notable TE with question marks: Alge Crumpler (103) is as physically gifted as any player at his position, but a new offense and a new QB make it hard to project his numbers. Tony Gonzalez isn't getting any younger, his looks have declined in consecutive seasons (from 148 to 116 to last season's 103), and the Chiefs' QB situation is very unsettled. Kellen Winslow is coming off of yet another surgical procedure on his knee.

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