In last week’s column I took a deep dive into all the new bottlenecks that were either broken or introduced during the Run It Back drop, and this week, I’ll be at it again following Thursday’s Archive Set pack drop.
It’s expected that a majority of the Summer 2021 Series Archive Set will be released in this second drop, and they will be adding some new players to the list, which will create new bottlenecks for Full Team Set completions.
They will also be adding some cheaper options (via the Archive Set) to the Run It Back Moments that were released in the first drop for a two-option bottleneck. Like last time, the Moments in this Archive Set will be from the 2005-06 season and the 2013-14 season.
The new Moments released in the second Archive Set drop are as follows:
Note: a checkmark indicates a Moment that is breaking up a previous bottleneck.
ATL: Josh Smith √
BOS: Rajon Rondo
DAL: Dirk Nowitzki
HOU: Tracy McGrady √
LAL: Luke Walton
MIN: Wally Szczerbiak
NYK: Stephon Marbury √
ORL: Steve Francis
OKC (actually SEA): Ray Allen √
PHI: Lou Williams √
UTA: Rudy Gobert (rookie year)
One final note before we delve into these new bottlenecks, Top Shot indicated that there will be more historical drops during Series 3, and while they stated that these Moments will not have overlap with the Summer 2021 Series Run It Back Moments – they didn’t make that declaration about Archive Set Moments. That means the bottlenecks that are exclusive to the Archive Set may not last for all of Series 3.
Teams that were impacted by the recent Archive drop are highlighted in yellow.
Note: Players who had their bottlenecks uncorked in the recent drop will have an asterisk by their former bottleneck Moment to indicate that it is no longer a bottleneck. Graphs provided by Moment Ranks.
Atlanta – 8 Series 1 Moments / 15 Series 2 Moments
Series 1: Dennis Schroder
New Archive: Josh Smith
The Series 1 Dennis Schroder bottleneck is likely safe here because it’s unlikely Top Shot would give Schroder an Archive Moment from his Atlanta days. He’s not that popular of a player and he no longer plays in Atlanta, so that one should be safe.
Fernando, Knight, Snell and Hill are all safe as bottlenecks because they now play for different teams, but Mays, Sweet Lou and almost certainly Huerter’s bottleneck will be broken during Series 3.
I speculated in my initial column that J. Smoov was such a popular player in Atlanta that he would likely have his bottleneck snapped in the future, but I didn’t anticipate it lasting just two weeks. It’s still somewhat of a bottleneck with only two options, but the introduction of the cheaper option has the potential to lower the value of his RIB bottleneck, although we have not seen that happen to this point. I’d anticipate Al Harrington’s Archive Moment to be relatively safe, though, as he only spent two years in Atlanta and he’s not an incredibly popular player.
Josh Smith RIB:
Boston – 7 Series 1 Moments / 13 Series 2 Moments
Series 1: Kelly Olynyk
New Player Added (10/14): Paul Pierce (Archive & RIB)
New Archive: Rajon Rondo
Waters, Theis, Ojeleye and Thompson will all be safe as bottlenecks, as they are no longer in Boston, but Nesmith and G. Williams will almost assuredly have theirs snapped during Series 3, so that’s something to think about if you’re holding them for the bottleneck.
Pierce isn’t a true bottleneck with two options, and he could have this two-option bottleneck snapped during one of Series 3’s historical drops, but I do see potential here to buy his Archive Moment on the dip for a flip. I also think there’s a chance that Top Shot may want to do a challenge involving players from the Top-75 list, so Pierce is a guy I’ll be targeting.
Rondo is another popular Boston player who could have his bottleneck snapped during Series 3, but given that it will be his first Moment as a Celtic, I think that’ll give this Archive Moment some additional value.
Brooklyn – 9 Series 1 Moments / 16 Series 2 Moments
I’d expect all the Series 1 bottlenecks to be safe here, perhaps BroLo could get another throwback Moment, but I seriously doubt they’ll do that for KG and Pierce; it’s already weird that they got Brooklyn Moments in the first place.
All the Series 2 bottlenecks here are safe as well, as all these players are on different teams now.
Kidd and Carter were another pair of players that I felt could get their bottlenecks snapped in the future, but like with all these, I’m surprised to see theirs uncorked so quickly. As you will see in this column, a common theme of having expensive bottlenecks uncorked with significantly cheaper options tends to result in the pricier Moments losing quite a bit of value.
Charlotte – 6 Series 1 Moments / 12 Series 2 Moments
Series 1: Multiple Moments of every player
New Player Added (10/14): Gerald Wallace (Archive & RIB)
Martin will likely have his bottleneck broken during Series 3, but the rest of the guys are safe, as they’re all wearing different uniforms this season.
Wallace is another two-option bottleneck, but his Archive Set is another one with a 20K Edition Size, so I wouldn’t be holding that one as a squeeze option.
Chicago – 6 Series 1 Moments / 13 Series 2 Moments
Series 1: Jimmy Butler
Jimmy Buckets could certainly have his Series 1 bottleneck uncorked at some point, but it’ll be safe for all of Series 3.
All the Series 2 bottlenecks here are safe, as all these guys are on different teams now.
I’m surprised that Top Shot elected to go with Tyson Chandler as a Run It Back Moment, as he wasn’t particularly good during his time in Chicago, and they have a wealth of different legends to pull from – but alas – this is a classic Top Shot move. I doubt they’ll make another one of him, so he should be safe, and I’ll be looking to buy some cheap Gordon’s once his full 20K set is released.
Cleveland – 8 Series 1 Moments / 15 Series 2 Moments
Series 1: Anderson Varejao
New Player Added (10/14): LeBron James (Archive & RIB)
I would be shocked if Top Shot decided to release another Anderson Varejao Cavs’ Moment (or any additional Varejao Moments in general), so Sideshow Bob should be a safe bottleneck for many years to come.
Hartenstein, Prince and Dotson’s Series 2 bottlenecks will be safe, as all these guys play for different teams now, but Stevens, Wade, Osman, Windler and Love will likely have theirs uncorked in Series 3.
LeBron James previously didn't have any Moments in a Cavs uniform, so his two-option bottleneck is an attractive one. His Archive Set Moment's lowest ask is currently $233, so if he dips below that when the remainder of the Archive Set is released, I would consider buying in. He certainly could have this bottleneck snapped in future packs (we've yet to get a rookie LeBron), but this chokehold will last for all of Series 3, making it a required Moment for anyone attempting to complete the Full Cavs Team Set.
Dallas – 9 Series 1 Moments / 13 Series 2 Moments
New Players Added (10/14): Jerry Stackhouse (Archive & RIB)
New Archive: Dirk Nowitzki
Marion’s bottleneck should hold for at least one more season, but when Top Shot released a new Nowitzki Moment, they uncorked a massive bottleneck at Series 1.
The only Dallas bottleneck from Series 2 that is safe is Redick’s, as he’s now retired, but the rest of the guys (particularly DFS, Powell, Kleber and Marjanovic) will almost assuredly have their bottleneck snapped during Series 3.
Stackhouse is another two-option bottleneck, with his Archive Set being of the risky, 20K variety. He was a great player, but he had his best years in Detroit, so why Top Shot elected to give him a Dallas Moment is a bit beyond me. Because of that, I think this two-option bottleneck will hold for many years.
Nowitzki is finally having a cheaper version of one of his Moments introduced via the Archive Set, and because of that, his Series 1 Moment has taken a massive hit. This will forever be a risk with holding bottlenecks, and it’s proof that not even a Series 1 Moment of a superstar with a Top Shot debut badge is safe.
Denver – 7 Series 1 Moments / 14 Series 2 Moments
Series 1: Multiple Moments of every player
Millsap and Harris are both safe Series 2 bottlenecks since Millsap is now in Brooklyn and Harris is in Orlando, but the rest of the guys will likely be uncorked in Series 3.
I think that Miller’s bottleneck should hold for at least Series 3, but I wouldn’t be so sure about Melo’s, given how popular he is. Martin and Camby should be relatively safe bottlenecks through Series 3, though.
Detroit – 7 Series 1 Moments / 14 Series 2 Moments
KCP was a weird call by Top Shot, but because no one is clamoring for another KCP In Detroit Moment, I think that bottleneck will be safe for a very long time. Mr. Big Shot is another legend who had his Series 1 bottleneck uncorked with the release of the Run It Back pack, and while that didn’t initially kill the value of that Series 1 bottleneck at the time, the announcement of a cheaper option with the Archive Set Moment tanked the Series 1 Moment.
Chauncey Billups S1:
Wright, DSJ, Griffin, Doumbouya and Rose are safe as Series 2 bottlenecks, but Lee and Jackson will likely receive new Moments in Series 3.
I will definitely be looking to buy the dip on Big Ben Wallace’s Archive Moment. He’s a Detroit legend, and while not a true bottleneck, I just want this Moment from a fandom standpoint. Like we saw with Chauncey’s Series 1 bottleneck, when collectors became aware of a cheaper option on the horizon for Rip Hamilton, his RIB Moment began to tank.
Richard Hamilton RIB:
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Golden State – 8 Series 1 Moments / 13 Series 2 Moments
Series 1: Andrew Bogut
Bogut did get some new Moments in the Run It Back pack, but luckily, they were for Milwaukee and not Golden State, so his Series 1 bottleneck remains safe.
Paschall and Mannion’s Series 2 bottlenecks are safe but expect more Moments from Looney, Lee and Poole in Series 3.
The Bay Area legends B. Diddy and J-Rich will assuredly have more Moments introduced in later Series, but their two-option bottlenecks should hold for a decent amount of time.
Houston – 6 Series 1 Moments / 18 Series 2 Moments
Series 1: Multiple Moments of every player
New Players Added (10/14): Stomile Swift (Archive), Tracy McGrady* (RIB)
New Archive: Tracy McGrady
Olynyk, Tucker, Jeffries, Brown, Jones and Harden’s Series 2 bottlenecks will be safe for a while, although I could see Top Shot adding another Harden Houston Moment in a future Run It Back drop down the line. Brooks, DJA, Nwaba and House will likely have there’s uncorked during Series 3, though.
Given the guys that played for that 2005-06 Rockets team (Rafer “Skip 2 My Lou” Alston, Yao Ming, Dikembe Mutombo), Stromile Swift was certainly an odd choice by Top Shot, and because of how weird it is I’d expect that bottleneck to hold forever. It’s a 20K Moment that will get even cheaper when the entire set is released, but I am regularly flummoxed by the choices Top Shot makes with regards to whom gets a Moment. I thought McGrady’s RIB would be safe for Series 3, but just two weeks after his introduction they decided to release a much cheaper option, and since then his RIB has been very volatile.
Tracy McGrady RIB:
Indiana – 10 Series 1 Moments / 14 Series 2 Moments
New Player Added (10/14): Jermaine O’Neale (Archive & RIB)
Here is another instance where we saw the Run It Back pack bust open another Series 1 bottleneck with a Danny Granger RIB and Archive Set Moment, and while it did see somewhat of a dip, it’s a rare instance where the Series 1 Top Shot debut was able to hold most of its value.
Danny Granger S1:
McDermott, A. Holiday, Sampson and Oladipo are now all on different teams, thus rendering their Series 2 bottlenecks safe, but Bitadze, J. Holiday, Lamb and LeVert will most likely get more Moments introduced during Series 3.
O’Neale is another two-option bottleneck, and I’d say both his Archive Set and RIB are currently being undervalued. As of writing this column, the lowest ask on his RIB is $123, so I’m going to be keeping my eye on that Moment and buy it if it dips under $100. His Archive Set Moment is also fairly attractive, as its Edition Size is just 10K.
L.A. Clippers – 10 Series 1 Moments / 12 Series 2 Moments
Series 1: Chris Paul
New Player Added (10/14): Elton Brand (Archive & RIB)
CP3 could get another Run It Back Clipper Moment down the line, but his Series 1 bottleneck is safe for another year.
Lemon Pepper Lou and Boogie Cousins’ bottlenecks will hold, but Kennard is assuredly getting more Moments in Series 3.
Brand had his best years in L.A., so it wouldn’t be shocking to see him get another one down the line, but for this year at least he should hold as a two-option bottleneck for the Clippers Full Team Set completion. His Archive Moment is a 10K one, so I think that’s something I’ll be looking to buy on the dip.
L.A. Lakers – 10 Series 1 Moments / 12 Series 2 Moments
Series 1: Steve Nash
New Archive: Luke Walton
Nash was at the end of his career in Los Angeles, so I’d be surprised for Top Shot to give him another one wearing the jersey that most people weren’t/aren’t used to seeing him in.
All of the Series 2 bottlenecks will hold here, as all these guys are sporting different jerseys this season.
Making Smush Parker a bottleneck Moment for the Full Team Set completion to Los Angeles feels like Top Shot trolling Laker fans – I’d be curious to know who made that decision. But because he was far from beloved in L.A., I doubt he’ll receive another one in the future. Odom spent his best years with the Lakers, and he was a part of multiple championship teams, so this bottleneck could be broken down the line. Luke Walton’s bottleneck should hold for a while, though.
Memphis – 7 Series 1 Moments / 12 Series 2 Moments
Series 1: Marc Gasol
Gasol was a legend in Memphis, so don’t be surprised to see his Series 1 bottleneck eventually broken, but he’ll be safe for Series 3.
All the Series 2 bottlenecks here are safe, but none of them are particularly attractive. McDermott is the most expensive because he’s a quadruple-badge rookie, but he’s literally not even in the league right now.
I’ll be targeting Warrick and Randolph on the dip, Warrick due to his badges and Z-Bo due to his status in Memphis. Battier’s Memphis bottleneck will likely last a good long while, as I feel that he’s not a guy Grizzlies’ fans are clamoring to have more options of.
Miami – 12 Series 1 Moments / 12 Series 2 Moments
Haslem had his Series 1 bottleneck uncorked with this most recent release, and his Moment responded accordingly. I could see the same thing happening with Bosh and Allen in future historic drops.
Udonis Haslem S1:
Bradley and Iguodala are safe as bottlenecks, and Oladipo will be safe for a while as we have no idea when he’s expected to make it back to the court, but Okpala and Strus will likely be uncorked during Series 3.
As has been the theme here, when collectors became aware that they’d be able to get Shaq significantly cheaper with the Archive Set, his more expensive bottleneck started to tank. It didn’t matter that it’s a Rare Moment of a superstar with both a Top Shot debut and championship badge, people seem to want the more affordable option when completing Full Team Sets. It probably also didn’t help that his RIB Moment was a not-very-cool-looking layup. Obviously, Mourning, Shaq and Wade will be Archive Moments I’ll be targeting on the dip.
Milwaukee – 6 Series 1 Moments / 12 Series 2 Moments
Series 1: Multiple Moments of every player
Merrill is now in Memphis, so his bottleneck will hold, but Nwora will definitely get a Series 3 Moment, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see Thanasis get another one too. So, the only true Series 2 bottleneck here is Merrill.
Bogut and Redd are both bottlenecks, but luckily, they have a cheaper counterpart. Targeting these Archive Set Moments on the dip makes sense to me.
Minnesota – 5 Series 1 Moments / 13 Series 2 Moments
Series 1: Multiple Moments of every player
New Player Added (10/14): Kevin Garnett (Archive & RIB)
New Archive: Wally Szczerbiak
Hernangomez and Culver’s bottlenecks are safe, but the rest of these guys will likely get more Moments in Series 3.
Garnett is a two-option bottleneck, but because he’s such a legend, there’s not much of a discount on his Archive Set Moment (lowest ask $73). It also only has an Edition Size of 10K, so he may not see a significant dip when the full set is released, but that’s a Moment I’ll have my eyes on when the dip happens.
Wally Szczerbiak will be introduced as an Archive Set bottleneck to Minnesota, and this is another guy I think could hold for a while, as he’s not all that well known to casuals.
New Orleans – 5 Series 1 Moments / 11 Series 2 Moments
Series 1: Multiple Moments of every player
New Player Added (10/14): Chris Paul (Archive & RIB)
Johnson’s Series 2 bottleneck is safe as he’s in Brooklyn now, but Lewis Jr. and Marshall will assuredly get more Moments in Series 3.
These Chris Paul bottlenecks are particularly valuable as they both come from his rookie season, so putting the diamond hands on those makes sense to me.
New York – 7 Series 1 Moments / 12 Series 2 Moments
Summer 21: Quintin Richardson, Stephon Marbury
New Archive: Stephon Marbury
STAT and Melo will assuredly get more NY, and it’s possible that it could happen during one of Series 3s historical drops, so keep that in mind if you are holding onto these guys.
Payton and Rivers’ Series 2 bottlenecks will be safe, but they’re also unattractive bottlenecks. You can expect more Noel, Gibson, Burks and Knox Moments during Series 3.
Just as I predicted in my initial column, Richardson’s bottleneck will continue to hold, but Marbury is having his snapped already, which has been a drain on the value of his RIB. Robinson’s two-option bottleneck looks interesting as these are Moments from his rookie season. His Archive Set has an Edition Size of 12K, so he could be another guy to target on the dip.
Oklahoma City – 10 Series 1 Moments / 14 Series 2 Moments
New Archive: Ray Allen
Collison should be safe forever as a bottleneck Moment, but I wouldn’t be surprised at all to see another OKC KD at some point.
Hill, Brown, Diallo and Svi’s bottlenecks will hold, but these are also unattractive targets. Muscala, Williams, Jerome and Roby could all have their bottlenecks uncorked during Series 3.
Ridnour was yet another curious choice by Top Shot, and I’d expect his bottleneck to hold for a very long time. No one wanted this in the first place. Lewis and Allen have a lot more star power, though, and while Lewis is safe for now, Allen’s RIB bottleneck has already been uncorked. When news was announced of the cheaper Archive Set option, his RIB Moment initially tanked, but it has since recovered. This gives me some hope that the tanking due to the Archive Set may only be a temporary thing on two-option bottlenecks.
Ray Allen RIB:
Orlando – 8 Series 1 Moments / 14 Series 2 Moments
New Player Added (10/14): Dwight Howard (Archive & RIB)
New Archive: Steve Francis
Nelson and Oladipo’s bottlenecks should hold for quite some time. Oladipo hasn’t been good since his initial knee injury and while Nelson was the starting point guard for Orlando’s 2009 Finals team, there are a wealth of other players from Orlando’s history that I think fans would love to have.
All of these Series 2 bottlenecks are safe, but none of them are particularly attractive, as they’re either nobodies or have 35-40K Edition Sizes on their Moments.
D12 could certainly get another throwback, Orlando Moment down the line, but this two-option bottleneck should be safe for at least a few years. Keep an eye on his 20K Archive Moment during the dip.
Stevie Franchise oddly gets an Orlando Moment, despite making his name in Houston, and this particular Moment is coming from a season in which he was traded to the Knicks (2005-06). For that reason, I’d expect this his Orlando bottleneck to hold for a good while. I do think Francis could have additional Moments introduced down the line, but it would make more sense to give him a Moment from his Houston days.
Philadelphia – 7 Series 1 Moments / 11 Series 2 Moments
Series 1: Michael Carter-Williams
New Archive: Lou Williams
MCW’s Series 1 bottleneck is safe and I seriously doubt they’ll make another one of these anytime soon. He’s a bust.
Joe and Korkmaz will almost assuredly be getting more Moments during Series 3, so don’t expect these bottlenecks to hold.
Iverson is one of the NBA’s biggest superstars, so I suspect he’ll have more Moments introduced down the line, but his RIB bottleneck should hold for all of Series 3.
Sweet Lou was another guy who had his RIB bottleneck snapped with this Archive Set drop, although thus far it hasn’t dramatically impacted the value of his RIB. Perhaps the rookie badge gives his RIB some more allure.
Lou Williams RIB:
Phoenix – 7 Series 1 Moments / 12 Series 2 Moments
Series 1: Leandro Barbosa
Barbosa’s bottleneck should be safe for some time. He was a popular player in Phoenix, but other legends will likely get a debut Moment before Barbosa gets a second one.
Carter, Moore and Craig are, unattractive, but safe bottlenecks, while Smith will likely get his uncorked during Series 3. Saric tore his ACL in July, so who knows if he’ll play this season? Even if he does, he won’t get out there until later in the year and in a limited capacity, so it could be a while before Top Shot creates another one of him.
Diaw’s Archive Set Moment has an Edition Size of 20K, so you’ll likely be able to get him on the dip for close to $5, but Marion’s Archive Set has a slightly safer floor with a 10K Edition Size. I think anyone who has a Nash or Marion RIB should diamond fist those to the moon.
Portland – 7 Series 1 Moments / 9 Series 2 Moments
Series 1: Mo Williams
I doubt we’ll get another Mo Williams in Portland Moment again anytime soon, so that bottleneck should hold for a long time.
Both Little and RoCo are back with the team, so neither of these bottlenecks are safe for Series 3.
Jack makes for an interesting bottleneck given his Moment comes with a rookie badge, so I’ll be looking to buy his 12K Archive Moment to try and squeeze this set once all the Archives are released.
Sacramento – 7 Series 1 Moments / 12 Series 2 Moments
Series 1: DeMarcus Cousins
Cousins had his best years in Sacramento, so I could see him eventually getting another throwback Moment for this team, possibly during one of the Series 3 historical drops.
Whiteside and Robinson III bottlenecks are safe, but Harkless could have his snapped during Series 3. Bagley, while he remains in Sacramento, is currently out of the rotation, so it’s not a sure bet that he’ll be uncorked in Series 3; the same could be said for Jones. So, if you’re looking to complete the Kings’ Full Team Set, you might want to delay purchasing Harkless.
Wells did have his best season playing for the Kings, so I get why he got a 20K Archive Moment, but I don’t think this bottleneck will have too much long-term value. Martin and Bibby are diamond-hand Moments, though. As a reminder, Top Shot explicitly stated that they will not release Moments during Series 3 that impact the Summer 2021 Series Run It Back Moments.
San Antonio – 10 Series 1 Moments / 13 Series 2 Moments
New Players Added (10/14): Robert Horry
This was the most brutal bottleneck that got broken up during the Run It Back drop, as all three Spurs’ legends had their Series 1 bottlenecks uncorked. The introduction of a cheaper alternative didn’t impact the lowest ask for TP’s Series 1, but Manu and Duncan took some serious hits with the introduction of an Archive Moment. This is a reminder of how dangerous it can be to hold bottlenecks, as they could get uncorked at any time (or at least with any Series), so the Spurs no longer have any true bottlenecks for Series 1.
Tim Duncan S1:
Manu Ginobili Series 1:
Mills, Lyles, LMA and Gay are safe as Series 2 bottlenecks, but Eubanks and Poeltl will likely have new Moments introduced during Series 3.
Because this recent Run It Back set uncorked all these Series 1, Spurs bottlenecks, now the only remaining bottleneck (before we get to Series 3) is Robert Horry, so that 20K Archive Moment is highly enticing to me, as is Michael Finley’s.
Toronto – 7 Series 1 Moments / 13 Series 2 Moments
Series 1: Terence Davis*
Davis’ Series 1 bottleneck was uncorked during Series 2, but it remains a bottleneck for the Series 1 Team Set completion. His Series 2 bottleneck is also safe because he now plays in Sacramento.
Johnson, Bembry and Baynes are the only other safe Series 2 bottlenecks, while you can count on Flynn, Trent Jr. and Watanabe to get more Moments in Series 3.
Bosh’s RIB will be safe for Series 3, but it’s possible Morris Peterson could get another Moment introduced during Series 3.
Utah – 7 Series 1 Moments / 9 Series 2 Moments
Series 1: Multiple Moments for every player
New Players Added (10/14): Deron Williams (Archive & RIB), Andri Kirilenko (Archive & RIB)
New Archive: Rudy Gobert (rookie)
The only bottleneck from this group that is safe is Georges Niang, but he’s a lame one. If you’re going after completing the full Utah Team Set, make sure you pick up a cheap version of Deron Williams and AK. Gobert’s Archive Moment is also one worth targeting due to the rookie badge.
Gobert isn’t a bottleneck, but this Moment should hold some solid value given it’s the first one we have from his rookie season. This is one that you should target on the dip.
Washington – 8 Series 1 Moments / 15 Series 2 Moments
Series 1: Otto Porter Jr.
Otto Porter Jr.’s Series 1 bottleneck will hold as long as OPJ doesn’t return to Washington.
Smith, Len, Brown Jr., Hutchison, Bonga, Lopez and Mathews are all boring Series 2 bottlenecks, while Neto and Bryant could be uncorked during Series 3 (although Bryant is still out and doesn’t have an official timetable).
Giving Jeffries any Top Shot Moments at all is quite peculiar to me, but Top Shot gonna Top Shot. Jamison (lowest ask $144) and Butler (lowest ask $155) seem like they’re undervalued bottlenecks at the Moment.