NBA Top Plays: Sunday 3/21

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Louis Cangiano
·5 min read
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Point Guard

New York Knicks Point Guards - (vs. Philadelphia 76ers)

Ben Simmons is questionable for tonight‘s game against the New York Knicks. If Simmons is confirmed out, the daily fantasy masses will flock towards Shake Milton. I have no problem with Milton. I believe he hits value if Simmons is in fact out. With that said, to be different let’s pivot to the Knicks point guard situation. As of now, Elfrid Payton is questionable along with Quickley. Alec Burks is available. The pivot plays off of a chalky Shake Milton play aren’t necessarily players like Tobias Harris or Danny Green. You can also pivot off Milton by investing in the opponent, which in this case will be Payton, Quickley, or Burks. Monitor the confirmed lineups closer to lock using the NBC Sports Edge Starting Lineups tool.

Other PG Option: Kyle Lowry - Toronto Raptors (vs. Cleveland Cavaliers)

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Shooting Guard

Fred VanVleet - Toronto Raptors (vs. Cleveland Cavaliers)

The Cleveland Cavaliers lead the league in allowed blocks at an average of six per game. The Cleveland Cavaliers also lead the league in steals allowed per game with 8.6. The Cleveland Cavaliers allow their opponents to shoot 39.1% from beyond the arc, which is ranked second highest in the league. I love targeting the Cavaliers because their weaknesses are extremely glaring. The question you have to ask yourself is, which player on the Toronto Raptors would benefit most from a team that allows massive blocks, steals, and three-point balls? The answer to that question is obviously Fred VanVleet. VanVleet is currently averaging 19.8 points per game and shooting 37.4% from beyond the arc. He is averaging 1.8 steals per game and .8 blocks per game. Kyle Lowry and Pascal Siakam also have solid matchups in this game. Load up on the Toronto Raptors tonight and feel confident betting the spread which is currently at - 7 points favoring the Raptors with a 217.5 O/U Courtesy of Pointsbet.com.

Other SG Option: Furkan Korkmaz - Philadelphia 76ers (vs. New York Knicks)

Small Forward

Deni Avdija - Washington Wizards (vs. Brooklyn Nets)

With Davis Bertans out tonight, Washington is missing a major role player in their offense. Keeping up with an offensive juggernaut like the Nets requires as much scoring ability as possible. It is imperative that the second unit for Washington produces without their three-point shooting big man. Deni Avdija should receive extra usage and minutes in a game that will require the Wizards to score at least 120 points in order to win. We know Westbrook and Beal will do their part but somebody else on the Wizards must step up. Another candidate for this role is Rui Hachimura. With the absence of Bertans on the second unit, look for Hachimura and Avdija to receive extended usage as they are necessary to keep the score close. The Wizards are currently + 8.5 point underdogs with a massive 248.5 O/U Courtesy of Pointsbet.com.

Other SF Options: Isaac Bonga - Washington Wizards (vs. Brooklyn Nets)

Power Forward

Dean Wade - Cleveland Cavaliers (vs. Toronto Raptors)

Kyle Lowry and Fred VanVleet are becoming shut down defenders. The Toronto Raptors are allowing 26.6 assists per game (good for second-highest in the league). Sexton and Garland will have major problems creating opportunities against Toronto’s two veteran guards in Lowry & VanVleet. This leaves Cleveland leaning on Jarret Allen and Larry Nance Jr. Here’s the thing, I went back to Nance and Allen’s stats in 2019-2020, specifically against the Toronto Raptors, both Nance and Allen struggled for their respective teams against the Toronto Raptors. Allen averaged only 6.8 points with 8.5 rebounds over 22.5 minutes per game. The numbers for Nance weren’t any better. Nance averaged 8.0 points over three games against the Raptors. He only played an average of 22.7 MPG. Siakam is seemingly a defensive problem for both Nance and Allen. So...If the Cavaliers guards are in very tough matchups against Lowry and VanVleet and Nance/Allen have poor game logs against the Raptors, who does Cleveland lean on? Dean Wade, that’s who! Beware this is a risky GPP play. Wade has played 16.5 minutes per game since the All-Star break. When given the opportunity this kid thrives. His ceiling on the year is sitting at 31.0 DK points which he just recorded against the Pacers on March 3rd, 2021. If he gets the minutes, he’ll hit value. The Cavaliers are + 7.5 point underdogs with a 217.5 O/U Courtesy of Pointsbet.com.

Other PF Option: Rui Hachimura - Washington Wizards (vs. Brooklyn Nets)

Center

Deandre Ayton - Phoenix Suns (vs. Los Angeles Lakers)

The center position has me perplexed today. My gut tells me that Ayton will be the highest-rostered player at the center position. If by chance he is not, Ayton becomes my top GPP play of the day. The Phoenix Suns are favored by - 10 points with a 214.5 O/U Courtesy of Pointsbet.com. Without LeBron James, the Lakers are expected to underperform resulting in increased rebounds, blocks/steals, and shot attempts for the Suns’ big man. The Los Angeles Lakers do not allow many blocks nor do they allow many steals. With that said, I expect their offense to be out of sorts without the ability to play Anthony Davis and LeBron James. Lock in Ayton for a high floor and hopefully a higher ceiling.

Other C Option: Mason Plumlee - Detroit Pistons (vs. Chicago Bulls)

Bargain Bin

PG Matthew Dellavedova *monitor status - potential season debut*

SG Josh Jackson

SF Isaac Bonga

PF Dean Wade

C Robert Williams *early game*